Realized P&L
+$2.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$933
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
611
Trades
2,424
lifetime
Volume
$157.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$6.46K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-06 18:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Other
61% 76% +$1,590
Sports
36% 72% +$687
Politics
3% 55% +$207
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,843 $1,586 98¢ $1.8K +$220 11-04 22:36
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +865 $800 100¢ $862 +$63 10-23 12:10
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No +857 $822 96¢ $818 -$4 09-16 12:21
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? No +798 $731 87¢ $692 -$40 11-06 16:27
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes +534 $307 99¢ $531 +$225 11-01 00:11
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27? Yes +516 $350 74¢ $384 +$33 11-03 23:32
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? No +400 $307 84¢ $338 +$31 11-06 13:28
Will Kris Dunn lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27? No +257 $226 95¢ $243 +$17 11-04 20:19
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27? Yes +538 $192 36¢ $194 +$2 11-06 18:44
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election? No +130 $100 100¢ $130 +$30 10-21 15:34
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +300 $224 40¢ $119 -$105 11-05 20:02
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? No +140 $89 72¢ $101 +$12 11-03 01:56
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +107 $53 62¢ $67 +$14 09-30 11:05
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +64 $51 98¢ $63 +$12 09-15 14:07
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes +80 $57 75¢ $60 +$3 11-06 16:35
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +30 $25 66¢ $20 -$5 10-08 12:36
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +149 $30 12¢ $19 -$11 09-29 22:28
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +249 $51 3¢ $8 -$43 10-12 13:43
manchester city punishment announced by december 18 2026 Yes +20 $10 20¢ $4 -$6 09-27 21:03
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +0 -$484 2¢ $0 +$484 09-28 04:00