Flickering-Cousin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$210

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

3,976

Trades

39,507

lifetime

Volume

$152.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-18 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

58% 62% +$91

Crypto

21% 82% +$11

Sports

19% 55% +$106

Politics

2% 88% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 4543 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Hilal Saudi Club		+10	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-05 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Games Total: O/U 4.5	382	$3.0K	3,204	1,155	+2,049	open	—	04-27 04:23
Games Total: O/U 3.5	176	$1.3K	1,360	800	+560	open	—	04-27 05:16
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	49	$520	794	138	+656	open	—	04-26 03:08
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	43	$398	675	119	+556	open	—	04-26 21:48
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	35	$365	431	236	+195	open	—	04-26 19:47
Pistons vs. Magic	35	$362	446	200	+246	open	—	04-25 19:39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	33	$332	320	280	+40	open	—	04-25 20:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	59	$326	249	229	+20	open	—	04-30 22:12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	35	$323	265	154	+111	open	—	04-25 15:40
Lakers vs. Rockets	30	$316	461	119	+342	open	—	04-27 03:31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	29	$311	261	207	+54	open	—	04-25 15:23
Stars vs. Wild	33	$291	509	89	+420	open	—	04-26 00:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	40	$287	278	214	+64	open	—	04-25 15:16
Celtics vs. 76ers	24	$275	381	59	+322	open	—	04-27 00:48
Rainbow Six Siege: LFO No Name vs Help Us LFO (BO3) - Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: North Decider Brackets	37	$273	292	150	+142	open	—	04-27 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	29	$240	432	20	+412	open	—	04-26 16:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	59	$238	152	147	+5	open	—	04-22 23:25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	50	$237	421	43	+378	open	—	05-17 11:59
Thunder vs. Suns	18	$215	271	60	+211	open	—	04-25 21:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	45	$214	389	15	+374	open	—	05-01 15:12
Knicks vs. 76ers	44	$214	363	46	+317	Knicks	+$5	05-09 01:35
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	24	$213	351	60	+291	open	—	04-27 00:12
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	46	$210	358	40	+318	open	—	04-23 05:53
Rainbow Six Siege: LFO No Name vs Help Us LFO - Game 1 Winner	30	$203	210	139	+71	open	—	04-27 03:33
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	40	$197	319	37	+282	Spurs	$-1	05-09 04:15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	15	$190	197	80	+117	open	—	04-25 20:51
Lightning vs. Canadiens	24	$184	232	127	+105	open	—	04-27 01:41
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	20	$183	369	0	+369	open	—	04-27 01:11
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	21	$180	356	0	+356	open	—	04-26 21:58
hr1 vuk gor 2026 04 22 total 2pt5	53	$180	247	0	+247	open	—	04-22 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 09:36:30	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x26572d…
05-18 09:33:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x8d963d…
05-18 09:31:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x1a643c…
05-18 09:25:03	Bitcoin above 76,200 on May 18, 6AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe045da…
05-18 09:19:46	bitcoin above 78600 on may 18 2026 6am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fdaa7…
05-18 09:10:40	bitcoin above 78200 on may 18 2026 6am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x246d10…
05-18 08:47:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x24dc6e…
05-18 08:41:56	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x23717c…
05-18 08:25:55	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x635a87…
05-18 08:25:22	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x85fceb…
05-18 08:19:46	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Pharco FC	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc344c0…
05-18 08:07:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x01a3f9…
05-18 07:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x1712b2…
05-18 07:48:11	bitcoin above 78600 on may 18 2026 5am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70e1c1…
05-18 07:29:19	Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x46ec17…
05-18 07:26:17	Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf11220…
05-18 07:23:13	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6f06e4…
05-18 06:51:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x7bf25f…
05-18 06:34:48	Will "Gamble" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ba7e7…
05-18 06:23:31	Valorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner	Gen.G Esports	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0c13fe…
05-18 05:56:18	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x26b5a6…
05-18 05:55:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x164d18…
05-18 05:52:55	Bitcoin above 76,400 on May 18, 2AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3768c…
05-18 05:52:08	ethereum above 2150 on may 18 2026 2am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ff237…
05-18 05:42:48	Will "Disgusting" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x3c155c…
05-18 05:42:27	Ethereum above 2,165 on May 18, 2AM ET?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe3670…
05-18 05:40:47	ethereum above 2075 on may 18 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3898a…
05-18 05:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd81520…
05-18 05:24:29	ethereum above 2060 on may 18 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19ca86…
05-18 05:23:31	Will Trump post "Virus" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc25ad…
05-18 05:22:42	Will Trump post "No cards" or "All the cards" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3f622…
05-18 05:18:26	Ethereum above 2,045 on May 18, 2AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d6be1…
05-18 04:58:52	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x5c28fe…
05-18 04:51:45	Will "Squeaky" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa11418…
05-18 04:42:55	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x8b795f…
05-18 04:42:32	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xc34331…
05-18 04:39:04	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x7810ec…
05-18 04:36:54	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7b54f3…
05-18 04:33:51	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x4e68a3…
05-18 03:59:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x24356b…
05-18 03:46:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x391018…
05-18 03:45:50	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x70d2c7…
05-18 03:42:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x35f663…
05-18 03:39:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x8372b7…
05-18 03:37:03	Will "In the Grey" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa7f9e1…
05-18 03:36:07	Ethereum above 2,100 on May 18, 12AM ET?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa91276…
05-18 03:21:31	ethereum above 2130 on may 18 2026 12am et	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x152a73…
05-18 03:21:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x582e7e…
05-18 03:20:42	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x16a8c5…
05-18 03:15:07	Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 18, 12AM ET?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x1f1fb8…
05-18 03:13:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x40a030…
05-18 03:11:22	ethereum above 2130 on may 18 2026 12am et	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xe8ce4b…
05-18 02:30:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb14b7e…
05-18 02:15:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb856c5…
05-18 01:54:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd884af…
05-18 01:53:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf7ffd9…
05-18 01:51:28	Will "No Scope" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa730bb…
05-18 01:51:13	Will "Ladder" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x099137…
05-18 01:39:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x165902…
05-18 01:33:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xad935d…
05-18 01:19:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f8066…
05-18 00:57:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xb2d43d…
05-18 00:37:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xd6a2a8…
05-18 00:34:25	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xc8c420…
05-18 00:33:13	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc1df08…
05-18 00:20:18	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc840fb…
05-18 00:16:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcc7cd7…
05-18 00:16:57	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfae4d3…
05-18 00:11:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x28e00a…
05-17 23:59:42	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xf08de6…
05-17 23:59:35	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x47a0f3…
05-17 23:59:35	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Over	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x3dbd05…
05-17 23:59:35	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x168486…
05-17 23:59:21	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1eed06…
05-17 23:56:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x58b9c6…
05-17 23:56:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x07a4d0…
05-17 23:53:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x59b8be…
05-17 23:53:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf71f53…
05-17 23:51:32	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1e295f…
05-17 23:50:57	James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x12b656…
05-17 23:50:07	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x914136…
05-17 23:50:00	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x671ffa…
05-17 23:49:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x91dc8a…
05-17 23:49:21	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	MIBR	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x877f0e…
05-17 23:49:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x877b81…
05-17 23:49:12	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Under	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xbc5153…
05-17 23:49:04	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	MIBR	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x12554a…
05-17 23:48:30	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	MIBR	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x91965c…
05-17 23:48:27	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Under	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2c6c7a…
05-17 23:46:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x693cfe…
05-17 23:44:46	Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x28089e…
05-17 23:44:06	Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2503cd…
05-17 23:43:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09373b…
05-17 23:43:26	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x87ef6e…
05-17 23:43:26	Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x332447…
05-17 23:43:19	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xe5ea4d…
05-17 23:42:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc8931f…
05-17 23:41:39	Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	MIBR	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x247040…
05-17 23:41:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Under	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9c57f8…
05-17 23:41:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x816d38…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	638	$2.43M	87,995	05-18 01:37
Unnatural-Badge 0x5308…3221	599	$8.17K	1,747	05-17 23:40
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	588	$108.7K	11,013	05-18 01:06
Sorrowful-Bellows 0xa9f5…937f	564	$125.7K	4,979	05-18 02:29
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	560	$7.27M	39,184	05-18 02:21
Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de	559	$395.2K	1,913	05-18 01:53
(anonymous) 0xe697…708f	534	$21.9K	3,212	05-18 02:06
Supportive-Revelation 0xa07d…a037	517	$47.5K	6,935	05-15 09:20