Harmless-Limit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

911

Trades

2,097

lifetime

Volume

$4.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-05 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 83% -$65

Other

11% 56% -$16

Sports

1% 53% +$10

Politics

1% 40% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$2	72¢	$4	+$2	06-05 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 25 8am et	25	$70	102	102	+0	Up	+$3	02-25 13:46
bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	16	$36	127	127	+0	Down	+$1	02-26 15:40
bitcoin up or down february 25 10am et	9	$27	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	02-25 15:26
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	4	$26	37	16	+21	No	-$12	05-11 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 05:45 UTC	5	$25	30	20	+10	Up	+$1	02-12 05:45
bitcoin up or down february 25 9am et	16	$25	281	26	+255	Up	-$3	02-25 14:55
bitcoin up or down february 26 11am et	14	$24	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	02-26 16:37
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	2	$21	143	143	+0	No	+$1	01-28 07:19
bitcoin up or down march 3 10pm et	12	$21	86	15	+71	Down	-$8	03-04 03:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 04:00 UTC	2	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 04:03
bitcoin up or down february 27 12pm et	11	$20	49	49	+0	Up	+$1	02-27 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:15 UTC	7	$18	19	19	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 14:23
bitcoin up or down march 3 7pm et	19	$18	41	41	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 00:36
solana up or down february 27 9am et	13	$17	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	02-27 14:48
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	2	$17	17	17	+0	No	-$3	03-19 02:53
bitcoin up or down march 1 8pm et	12	$17	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 01:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:30 UTC	4	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 14:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:45 UTC	5	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 14:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:30 UTC	3	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	02-12 00:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:15 UTC	5	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	02-12 01:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 01:00 UTC	2	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	02-12 01:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:15 UTC	5	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	02-12 00:16
us strikes iran by feb 28 odds 30 by friday	3	$13	17	11	+6	Yes	-$1	02-04 18:02
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	4	$13	62	54	+7	Yes	+$6	02-02 04:26
bitcoin up or down march 3 6pm et	24	$12	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 19:25 UTC	4	$12	17	16	+0	Down	+$2	02-24 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:30 UTC	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$0	02-08 22:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:45 UTC	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	02-12 00:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:30 UTC	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	02-08 22:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:30 UTC	4	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	02-08 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:37:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd324f4…
06-05 02:37:00	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcd090f…
06-05 02:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77fc17…
06-05 02:21:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x41d18b…
06-05 02:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf2d88…
06-05 02:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc41f5d…
06-05 02:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd4c929…
06-05 02:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdab95e…
06-05 02:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x35fc76…
06-05 01:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x454eb9…
06-05 01:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x627646…
06-04 23:25:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2d8f3b…
06-04 21:56:21	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c43cc…
06-04 21:56:04	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x40e3dc…
06-04 21:54:21	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x465ebc…
05-23 04:53:02	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x288614…
05-23 04:52:25	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x421870…
05-23 04:22:16	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa5b68f…
05-23 01:45:28	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2c5115…
05-20 02:53:52	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd505ee…
05-11 10:13:21	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xed3a43…
05-10 14:53:09	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9c3a11…
05-10 14:52:06	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xed5c81…
05-10 14:51:08	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xfd47d8…
05-01 21:45:30	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5a9280…
05-01 00:26:46	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf607ba…
05-01 00:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0c3801…
04-25 06:37:36	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x81ae08…
04-22 02:22:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x4ab2c7…
04-22 02:21:08	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbb2de6…
04-21 20:52:38	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x8a9532…
04-18 05:31:26	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd98c64…
04-18 05:30:46	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x26944b…
04-11 21:33:15	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x61e7bc…
04-11 03:12:33	bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xe8337b…
04-11 03:11:19	bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xad7a4f…
04-11 03:11:11	bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf6e7fb…
04-11 03:11:11	bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe5a462…
04-11 03:11:11	bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x3ee8ec…
04-10 23:48:05	khamenei of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 20 24	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x48cfc3…
04-10 23:30:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xa08298…
04-10 23:30:13	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xde7e73…
04-10 23:30:13	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x8bf718…
04-10 23:16:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xac0169…
04-10 23:16:01	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb27e50…
04-10 23:15:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xff9088…
04-10 23:10:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf75f3c…
04-10 23:10:21	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa79997…
04-10 23:10:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xc39595…
04-10 23:04:01	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf28315…
04-10 22:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x67d685…
04-10 22:44:01	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfac7a3…
04-10 22:29:21	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc74dcc…
04-10 22:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x99f06b…
04-10 22:24:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x61d55d…
04-10 22:23:23	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf2474b…
04-10 22:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5e4009…
04-10 22:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x695683…
04-07 22:08:55	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x3ce9c9…
04-07 22:06:13	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe3eaf5…
04-07 21:55:59	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcd1714…
03-29 04:32:16	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4d8299…
03-29 04:28:14	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8dcbf1…
03-29 04:24:10	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x4a9477…
03-29 04:18:14	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe2a2ac…
03-25 03:13:11	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x0cf856…
03-25 03:07:35	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4fe06c…
03-24 23:27:11	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1fb09d…
03-24 23:12:41	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x12da2a…
03-24 22:07:41	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4d217c…
03-24 22:05:23	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xe6c194…
03-21 20:41:29	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x2ab5fc…
03-21 19:54:35	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x57c202…
03-21 10:43:39	highest temperature in atlanta on march 24 2026 64 65f	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xc6ebea…
03-21 08:07:27	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xaa8021…
03-21 05:06:47	highest temperature in atlanta on march 24 2026 64 65f	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x8dbb05…
03-21 04:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xe47efd…
03-21 04:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcbe56e…
03-21 00:27:27	highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x347365…
03-21 00:24:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 24 2026 64 65f	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5fdce2…
03-21 00:07:49	ethereum up or down march 20 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1dc131…
03-21 00:05:09	ethereum up or down march 20 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x501aea…
03-20 22:45:23	highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbba312…
03-20 22:01:39	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0670db…
03-20 21:56:27	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xa2c7bc…
03-19 16:09:25	highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 86 87f	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xd36b88…
03-19 07:38:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x4e923e…
03-19 03:58:11	highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x2285cb…
03-19 03:51:51	highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xabdf09…
03-19 03:09:19	highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 62 63f	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x8d083c…
03-19 02:53:39	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x58627b…
03-19 02:46:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x37ac27…
03-19 02:46:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2e2b32…
03-19 02:46:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x30a1c8…
03-18 23:42:25	highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8f956e…
03-18 23:35:57	highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 86 87f	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaa9a70…
03-18 23:35:51	highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xde4469…
03-18 22:55:49	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x99a8d7…
03-18 06:22:51	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 88 89f	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xf0c1eb…
03-18 05:38:15	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 88 89f	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x439447…