Barren-Warlord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

153

Trades

633

lifetime

Volume

$5.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-01 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

97% 67% +$1,065

Politics

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes		+9	-$4	35¢	$3	+$7	10-09 18:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	36	$622	1,564	269	+1,295	Yes	+$228	10-05 01:33
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	26	$323	386	386	+0	No	+$2	09-20 15:13
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	7	$255	202	160	+42	open	—	11-01 11:52
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	7	$216	350	350	+0	Yes	+$53	09-11 21:48
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$184	103	103	+0	No	+$21	10-15 05:46
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$175	210	0	+210	No	+$35	10-24 02:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$162	100	100	+0	No	+$2	10-05 06:29
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$150	347	344	+2	No	+$53	10-05 01:32
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	12	$149	229	0	+229	No	+$81	10-08 09:02
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	14	$148	562	476	+86	Yes	+$111	09-21 02:42
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	15	$140	344	344	+0	Yes	+$44	09-25 21:40
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	9	$124	145	7	+138	No	+$28	10-22 14:37
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	8	$114	224	224	+0	No	-$92	10-25 02:35
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$100	157	0	+157	No	+$57	10-09 17:58
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$100	117	0	+117	No	+$17	10-09 17:57
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$91	553	553	+0	No	-$49	10-24 06:32
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	3	$87	60	50	+10	No	+$4	08-22 16:59
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	3	$86	56	40	+16	No	+$9	06-26 11:44
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	7	$82	118	118	+0	No	+$5	05-31 00:00
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	14	$80	119	119	+0	No	+$4	05-30 16:59
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$75	93	0	+93	No	+$18	10-24 02:35
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$74	259	259	+0	No	+$9	10-12 01:37
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	9	$72	197	194	+3	No	+$9	08-22 08:34
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$67	323	0	+323	Yes	+$256	10-20 04:24
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	13	$65	61	61	+0	No	-$1	06-24 22:18
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$65	358	358	+0	No	-$41	10-24 04:41
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	9	$60	110	57	+53	No	-$5	06-08 00:01
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	18	$60	47	47	+0	Yes	+$17	05-23 03:28
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$58	62	10	+52	No	+$11	09-02 12:33
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	4	$55	75	37	+37	Yes	-$3	06-21 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:52:40	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x762d0f…
10-30 10:29:43	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd8d9cd…
10-30 10:29:40	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2be5a2…
10-30 06:42:31	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x990b97…
10-29 21:48:42	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	88	81¢	$71	0xe30e45…
10-29 21:48:42	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2b6b96…
10-29 08:22:47	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x06d330…
10-29 08:10:08	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9a2924…
10-29 00:16:10	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x8b2b6d…
10-28 22:09:55	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x844145…
10-28 06:15:53	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x060c67…
10-28 06:07:41	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xde1813…
10-27 10:38:27	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x58542a…
10-27 10:38:23	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x7c564e…
10-27 09:07:41	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3ad272…
10-26 10:21:17	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd44f21…
10-25 02:35:18	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x1eb805…
10-24 06:32:03	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xbe8e06…
10-24 05:40:44	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xbd5fb0…
10-24 05:40:36	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	388	2¢	$7	0xa3a4e9…
10-24 05:40:35	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	108	14¢	$15	0x14cad7…
10-24 04:52:02	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xc1b9fe…
10-24 04:41:15	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	333	2¢	$8	0xdd5361…
10-24 02:49:30	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x49c709…
10-24 02:47:26	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	123	1¢	$1	0x05d819…
10-24 02:46:23	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x8bd432…
10-24 02:38:20	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	199	50¢	$99	0x7adeaf…
10-24 02:36:39	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x73e563…
10-24 02:36:21	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x9a1ebc…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0xe974e2…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	553	13¢	$70	0xe541d3…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	87	81¢	$70	0xde96f6…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xac5ef5…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x561eef…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	358	15¢	$53	0x4ef343…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	83	7¢	$6	0x37250f…
10-24 02:35:08	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x19b8c9…
10-23 04:32:06	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xbc4d50…
10-22 14:37:54	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9def54…
10-22 14:37:54	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6714ad…
10-22 14:37:53	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0xcfda5c…
10-22 14:37:53	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x8dd298…
10-22 14:37:53	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	84	84¢	$71	0x79b70d…
10-22 14:37:53	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	87	81¢	$71	0x12c407…
10-20 19:13:03	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xfc98b2…
10-20 04:30:23	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xa6294a…
10-20 04:30:23	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x9dbd83…
10-20 04:24:35	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	323	21¢	$67	0x1fbca2…
10-20 03:01:03	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x13beee…
10-19 18:59:15	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8715f2…
10-19 07:55:36	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0b36ac…
10-18 01:16:00	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3c2432…
10-18 01:12:33	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x871b54…
10-16 22:07:02	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x185e28…
10-16 19:54:44	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc76817…
10-16 19:53:27	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x25d262…
10-16 17:18:15	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7c40aa…
10-16 15:16:58	will there be 6 earthquakes of 5pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xe164e8…
10-16 15:16:55	will there be 6 earthquakes of 5pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1958bd…
10-16 15:16:51	will there be 6 earthquakes of 5pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x449e57…
10-16 15:13:45	will there be 0 earthquakes of 6pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x378cef…
10-16 14:28:40	will there be 6 earthquakes of 5pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9a1cef…
10-16 13:37:01	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x207100…
10-16 13:36:57	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xaec381…
10-15 05:46:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xdbf63d…
10-12 04:39:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0xe49b37…
10-12 04:39:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x950f85…
10-12 01:37:27	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	169	13¢	$21	0x2264df…
10-11 15:04:09	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x47b144…
10-11 13:54:30	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xc266c7…
10-09 20:34:01	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xc86074…
10-09 20:32:35	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0x46ef96…
10-09 20:32:34	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x63d331…
10-09 20:30:50	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x322a79…
10-09 20:27:59	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	136	15¢	$20	0x131c0d…
10-09 20:27:16	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	249	13¢	$31	0xc88d4f…
10-09 18:02:53	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xa20525…
10-09 18:01:10	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x01b371…
10-09 17:59:40	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x52488a…
10-09 17:58:50	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x20fedf…
10-09 17:57:53	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xd5ec07…
10-09 17:57:52	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x263127…
10-09 17:57:47	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x07c122…
10-09 17:57:46	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xf17e67…
10-09 17:57:46	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x8c1cd8…
10-09 17:57:46	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	85	85¢	$72	0x71b18c…
10-08 09:02:34	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$54	0x48b669…
10-06 18:35:12	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x87c308…
10-06 18:35:06	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x302857…
10-06 18:35:05	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x9bf271…
10-06 18:35:05	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x8470ce…
10-06 18:35:05	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	92	59¢	$54	0x7b2c9c…
10-06 16:58:24	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x123cef…
10-06 03:17:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf05fe…
10-05 06:29:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x375aef…
10-05 05:01:04	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5b12fc…
10-05 01:33:07	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbfdadd…
10-05 01:33:02	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf37c39…
10-05 01:32:59	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xdd4bbe…
10-05 01:32:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe1e222…