Frivolous-Fiction 0xe74d49…4722fd Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$28.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.86K
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
252
Trades
3,546
lifetime
Volume
$531.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$38.3K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
35% 42% +$11,632
Politics
26% 47% +$16,709
Tech
16% 56% +$4,918
Crypto
14% 17% -$6,219
Sports
9% 57% +$1,741
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +18,844 $14,321 95¢ $18.0K +$3,637 11-01 19:22
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -104,645 -$7,481 5¢ $-4918 +$2,563 10-07 14:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,500 $2,437 82¢ $4.5K +$2,073 11-05 00:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +4,625 $1,695 82¢ $3.8K +$2,074 10-26 14:22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +12,606 $4,101 22¢ $2.8K -$1,264 11-04 23:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No -2,849 -$2,160 74¢ $-2122 +$38 11-04 01:29
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +1,514 $849 62¢ $934 +$85 11-05 02:24
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +4,551 $1,180 17¢ $774 -$406 11-04 18:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +6,953 $187 3¢ $229 +$43 11-05 02:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +3,279 $87 5¢ $175 +$88 11-03 12:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +327 $142 18¢ $61 -$81 09-26 17:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Yes +990 $60 2¢ $22 -$38 08-01 11:57
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -189 -$65 6¢ $-12 +$53 04-29 23:04