Frivolous-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

+$557

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,612

lifetime

Volume

$171.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$901

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-03 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Other

22% 100% +$184

Crypto

13% 0% $-424

Tech

12% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes		-8,270	$-1,458	11¢	$-901	+$557	06-30 03:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	102	$22.3K	20,559	20,559	+0	open	—	04-21 22:23
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	105	$20.4K	29,920	31,219	-1,299	open	—	03-25 18:31
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	54	$10.5K	13,163	13,163	+0	open	—	06-29 17:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$7.6K	6,433	6,433	+0	open	—	04-20 20:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	17	$7.3K	8,674	8,674	+0	open	—	05-04 17:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	9	$5.9K	3,272	5,281	-2,009	open	—	06-05 16:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	17	$5.7K	5,723	5,723	+0	open	—	04-20 19:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$4.8K	58,707	58,707	+0	open	—	03-01 01:31
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	205	$4.2K	2,279	2,366	-87	open	—	06-16 12:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	38	$4.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	02-10 12:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	14	$3.5K	4,061	1,061	+3,000	open	—	06-12 17:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$3.4K	3,562	3,562	+0	open	—	04-21 22:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	52	$3.0K	49,967	70,817	-20,850	open	—	05-28 22:59
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$2.9K	2,208	2,208	+0	open	—	06-20 23:21
cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	8	$2.9K	2,801	2,801	+0	open	—	06-20 15:18
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	21	$2.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	06-21 17:35
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	19	$2.8K	18,153	7,803	+10,350	open	—	01-03 21:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$2.4K	25,423	25,423	+0	open	—	01-31 01:57
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	26	$2.4K	2,548	14,857	-12,309	open	—	06-30 03:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	04-06 11:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$1.9K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	03-01 19:14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	12	$1.8K	3,174	3,174	+0	open	—	02-08 15:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 14	11	$1.7K	10,279	10,279	-0	open	—	01-14 15:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	28	$1.6K	19,118	19,118	+0	open	—	05-15 15:12
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	4	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-11 19:19
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	3	$1.4K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	03-26 00:23
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	8	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-21 18:03
ethereum above 2300 on april 8	2	$1.4K	4,200	3,915	+285	open	—	04-07 23:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$1.2K	771	771	+0	open	—	03-13 18:04
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	14	$1.2K	30,145	30,145	+0	open	—	02-08 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 02:48:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	188	22¢	$41	0xadc80d…
07-03 01:32:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	58	27¢	$16	0x8e0672…
07-03 01:20:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xbaec4d…
07-03 01:20:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9	29¢	$2	0x93f0b4…
07-03 01:16:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0xbcb31f…
07-03 01:15:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	252	16¢	$40	0xdb8232…
07-03 01:15:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7ae2bb…
07-03 01:15:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x41354e…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfff830…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeb190f…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe9e7cd…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc32914…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xae026d…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x98d000…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7d24e8…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x63e2b8…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x39a359…
07-03 01:15:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3955de…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfe4e33…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfca59a…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd5c079…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa3d5fa…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9831b0…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x77735e…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x593190…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x55a0f3…
07-03 01:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x02bdb8…
07-03 01:15:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe9059a…
07-03 01:14:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x8b4052…
07-03 01:14:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,596	16¢	$255	0x0a2958…
06-30 03:31:07	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,036	15¢	$446	0xa69448…
06-29 22:54:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	192	29¢	$56	0xa08ff7…
06-29 22:53:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x43ac5b…
06-29 21:23:53	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	2,000	35¢	$700	0xdec09a…
06-29 19:56:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0xac6922…
06-29 17:13:43	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	299	56¢	$167	0xe5250c…
06-29 14:04:41	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	299	59¢	$177	0x5c8123…
06-29 13:32:58	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	256	60¢	$154	0xf9dfbd…
06-29 12:12:10	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x69e89b…
06-28 21:33:04	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	2,536	69¢	$1,759	0x537021…
06-27 21:42:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	371	68¢	$254	0xc9c0fa…
06-27 16:12:23	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3eac46…
06-27 14:55:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	124	69¢	$85	0x70e227…
06-27 00:12:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	197	69¢	$135	0x907c69…
06-26 16:26:47	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	1,092	66¢	$718	0x24b2ca…
06-26 15:37:16	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xaf6cf4…
06-25 19:11:58	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xd3b653…
06-25 17:11:43	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x45830a…
06-25 13:54:40	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	237	58¢	$138	0x4a06cc…
06-25 10:36:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	167	50¢	$82	0x50a185…
06-25 10:35:46	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xecbd4b…
06-25 10:34:40	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	277	56¢	$155	0x4a435b…
06-25 10:34:23	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	1,868	59¢	$1,095	0xb6aa51…
06-24 16:40:04	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xe9c0d8…
06-24 06:30:07	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x1b30f4…
06-23 19:59:32	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x75c29f…
06-23 19:59:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	583	50¢	$292	0x3248ad…
06-23 16:26:20	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	280	49¢	$137	0x5a7919…
06-23 16:09:17	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	228	65¢	$148	0x0f6609…
06-23 16:05:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	250	49¢	$123	0xe74b1d…
06-23 15:03:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	2,041	10¢	$204	0xecebcf…
06-23 13:57:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x2a04c5…
06-23 11:41:01	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	4,500	56¢	$2,526	0x8f848a…
06-22 23:07:32	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	130	15¢	$20	0xaa0c4e…
06-22 23:02:08	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x3552e9…
06-22 22:08:50	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0x904bbe…
06-22 20:03:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,250	9¢	$202	0x60767b…
06-22 18:55:41	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xa80633…
06-22 18:44:38	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	54	38¢	$20	0xd9cdd7…
06-22 08:44:04	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	117	19¢	$22	0xc1c36b…
06-21 23:56:53	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	2,150	17¢	$365	0xc4c7bc…
06-21 20:35:52	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x1b8e98…
06-21 18:41:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	374	15¢	$56	0x5b03e7…
06-21 18:03:50	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	SELL	233	94¢	$219	0xb4a219…
06-21 18:03:49	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x847ad7…
06-21 18:03:49	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	SELL	82	94¢	$77	0x4096a1…
06-21 17:54:10	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	SELL	207	70¢	$145	0xa2b037…
06-21 17:54:04	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x237c4f…
06-21 17:54:02	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	SELL	250	70¢	$175	0xb809ac…
06-21 17:49:16	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	BUY	861	62¢	$534	0xd85177…
06-21 17:49:14	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	Team Falcons	BUY	139	62¢	$86	0x3ed482…
06-21 17:35:10	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x1117db…
06-21 17:31:14	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x4138ab…
06-21 17:22:14	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	572	89¢	$509	0xdbe482…
06-21 17:22:10	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	299	89¢	$266	0xfb563c…
06-21 17:22:01	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xd4e9ef…
06-21 17:21:49	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x03dfe1…
06-21 17:21:46	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x875d8a…
06-21 17:21:46	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x7f1630…
06-21 17:21:43	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x1c559f…
06-21 17:21:35	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	112	89¢	$100	0xd34335…
06-21 17:21:34	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	211	89¢	$188	0x3f31e3…
06-21 17:21:20	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xf86665…
06-21 17:21:17	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xc79139…
06-21 17:21:16	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x370662…
06-21 17:21:10	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6cf990…
06-21 17:21:10	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	112	89¢	$100	0x1e6f5b…
06-21 17:21:07	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	SELL	203	89¢	$181	0xe4cd2e…
06-21 15:45:22	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa6382a…
06-21 11:38:38	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6307f1…