Frivolous-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,813

lifetime

Volume

$224.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-14 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

17% 100% +$184

Crypto

12% 0% $-424

Tech

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	53	$26.9K	23,110	22,910	+200	open	—	08-12 10:53
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	102	$22.3K	20,559	20,559	+0	open	—	04-21 22:23
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	105	$20.4K	29,920	31,219	-1,299	open	—	03-25 18:31
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	72	$14.0K	40,422	40,422	+0	open	—	07-18 18:54
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	54	$10.5K	13,163	13,163	+0	open	—	06-29 17:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$7.6K	6,433	6,433	+0	open	—	04-20 20:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	17	$7.3K	8,674	8,674	+0	open	—	05-04 17:13
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	53	$6.4K	3,974	81,954	-77,979	open	—	08-14 15:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	9	$5.9K	3,272	5,281	-2,009	open	—	06-05 16:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	45	$5.7K	6,188	6,188	+0	open	—	07-07 01:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	17	$5.7K	5,723	5,723	+0	open	—	04-20 19:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$4.8K	58,707	58,707	+0	open	—	03-01 01:31
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	205	$4.2K	2,279	2,366	-87	open	—	06-16 12:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	38	$4.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	02-10 12:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	14	$3.5K	4,061	1,061	+3,000	open	—	06-12 17:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$3.4K	3,562	3,562	+0	open	—	04-21 22:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	52	$3.0K	49,967	70,817	-20,850	open	—	05-28 22:59
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$2.9K	2,208	2,208	+0	open	—	06-20 23:21
cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	8	$2.9K	2,801	2,801	+0	open	—	06-20 15:18
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	21	$2.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	06-21 17:35
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	19	$2.8K	18,153	7,803	+10,350	open	—	01-03 21:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$2.4K	25,423	25,423	+0	open	—	01-31 01:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	04-06 11:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$1.9K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	03-01 19:14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	12	$1.8K	3,174	3,174	+0	open	—	02-08 15:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 14	11	$1.7K	10,279	10,279	-0	open	—	01-14 15:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	28	$1.6K	19,118	19,118	+0	open	—	05-15 15:12
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	4	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-11 19:19
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	3	$1.4K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	03-26 00:23
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	8	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-21 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 15:57:15	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52,925	4¢	$1,927	0x2f91e1…
08-14 12:55:48	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0xb588c2…
08-13 12:16:18	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	487	10¢	$48	0xbd9006…
08-12 10:53:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5,614	80¢	$4,491	0xf3dbed…
08-12 10:52:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,926	77¢	$1,483	0xb6979f…
08-12 09:38:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	518	63¢	$328	0xe59dc8…
08-11 21:09:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3,869	71¢	$2,729	0xd36e2f…
08-11 21:05:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0xdb51ac…
08-11 14:21:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	868	65¢	$564	0x78dfec…
08-11 11:07:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,700	76¢	$1,285	0x085162…
08-11 00:20:57	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x283782…
08-10 20:15:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,200	74¢	$884	0x63faa7…
08-10 19:11:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2,068	73¢	$1,518	0xb0fbd4…
08-10 19:10:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	41	75¢	$31	0x83716d…
08-10 18:35:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb77614…
08-10 18:35:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x90709d…
08-10 18:34:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xdb4452…
08-10 18:33:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd246cb…
08-10 18:31:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x70d026…
08-10 18:31:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x86fc7d…
08-10 18:31:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xa18aae…
08-10 18:28:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3d9ae9…
08-10 18:26:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x7d0a5c…
08-10 18:26:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xce6d58…
08-10 18:22:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x7c46ac…
08-10 18:18:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x170956…
08-10 18:16:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xa3cc63…
08-10 18:13:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xbda48a…
08-10 18:00:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	20	77¢	$16	0xb3a44f…
08-10 17:57:34	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5d32a0…
08-10 12:55:12	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0x693fc7…
08-10 10:22:54	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	600	7¢	$42	0x9daf8b…
08-10 10:05:12	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0xdcdea9…
08-10 09:48:28	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0xb7c801…
08-10 08:47:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x93c56f…
08-10 08:11:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1,476	6¢	$89	0x520a56…
08-10 01:53:36	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4c3f8a…
08-09 21:49:28	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe2c8f2…
08-09 17:09:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$140	0x5d8b10…
08-09 14:38:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x855a3f…
08-09 03:07:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x2f23e8…
08-09 01:54:15	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0xea7df2…
08-08 18:03:19	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0xefe3d2…
08-08 14:53:24	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa91b42…
08-08 12:53:22	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4e2b31…
08-08 06:46:39	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xfc8c55…
08-08 01:30:48	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	738	10¢	$74	0x0d56c9…
08-07 19:04:03	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x7e3a53…
08-07 19:03:57	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x836eae…
08-07 19:03:39	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x0bb3ca…
08-07 19:03:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xb93b65…
08-07 19:03:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4c7b0c…
08-07 19:03:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x91828f…
08-07 19:03:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x72c6dd…
08-07 19:03:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x6a2970…
08-07 19:03:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe7e99c…
08-07 19:03:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x9ecfb4…
08-07 19:03:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6672ee…
08-07 19:02:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xb1f87e…
08-07 19:02:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	2,671	8¢	$214	0x9f7ca4…
08-07 17:02:18	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	2,046	10¢	$205	0x2a2514…
08-06 20:07:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	2,107	10¢	$211	0x990ce8…
08-06 20:05:23	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1,272	9¢	$114	0xdcb69c…
08-06 14:41:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x668317…
08-06 14:40:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	635	25¢	$159	0x9299f3…
08-04 17:59:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x418435…
08-04 15:42:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0x0d9c2d…
08-04 15:36:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	370	34¢	$124	0x72bdb6…
08-04 01:13:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xde1a3a…
08-04 01:13:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x27bf5b…
08-04 01:13:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	555	38¢	$211	0xc88f1d…
08-04 01:12:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	640	38¢	$243	0x5c5fad…
08-04 00:49:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	201	42¢	$84	0x8195a8…
08-02 02:26:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x8bc77e…
08-02 02:26:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0xe9dd0c…
08-02 02:23:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,000	38¢	$760	0x0e36b3…
08-01 05:35:51	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x72a005…
07-28 22:10:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4,500	42¢	$1,890	0x854f40…
07-28 00:48:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	4,000	4¢	$171	0x823de5…
07-28 00:09:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$98	0xfcb959…
07-27 23:56:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	2,000	4¢	$90	0x1bc352…
07-27 15:47:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	333	43¢	$143	0xf8e2a1…
07-27 15:46:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5,534	44¢	$2,440	0x199e05…
07-24 21:38:49	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	284	10¢	$28	0xd74ee9…
07-24 21:25:13	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8fea00…
07-23 22:03:06	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xacc811…
07-23 17:25:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x316b1c…
07-22 15:12:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,700	51¢	$862	0x8ded2f…
07-22 12:38:42	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa42072…
07-22 01:33:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,000	51¢	$505	0x0a1575…
07-21 18:41:03	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8,479	14¢	$1,212	0x1d8765…
07-21 17:30:52	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,692	14¢	$808	0x79326b…
07-20 21:05:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2,300	59¢	$1,348	0xe60e2f…
07-20 19:43:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,462	59¢	$863	0x029b54…
07-20 19:03:43	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$4	0xbcbfce…
07-20 17:47:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	27	59¢	$16	0xb0173b…
07-20 12:23:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	482	52¢	$253	0xc6d502…
07-20 11:46:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	304	52¢	$158	0x7c255d…
07-20 11:46:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	703	51¢	$359	0xc59114…
07-19 12:35:43	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x7ae460…