Frivolous-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,730

lifetime

Volume

$200.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-24 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

19% 100% +$184

Crypto

12% 0% $-424

Tech

10% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	102	$22.3K	20,559	20,559	+0	open	—	04-21 22:23
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	105	$20.4K	29,920	31,219	-1,299	open	—	03-25 18:31
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	72	$14.0K	40,422	40,422	+0	open	—	07-18 18:54
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	54	$10.5K	13,163	13,163	+0	open	—	06-29 17:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$7.6K	6,433	6,433	+0	open	—	04-20 20:13
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	12	$7.4K	6,589	6,489	+100	open	—	07-23 17:25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	17	$7.3K	8,674	8,674	+0	open	—	05-04 17:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	9	$5.9K	3,272	5,281	-2,009	open	—	06-05 16:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	45	$5.7K	6,188	6,188	+0	open	—	07-07 01:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	17	$5.7K	5,723	5,723	+0	open	—	04-20 19:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$4.8K	58,707	58,707	+0	open	—	03-01 01:31
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	40	$4.4K	3,133	29,029	-25,896	open	—	07-24 21:38
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	205	$4.2K	2,279	2,366	-87	open	—	06-16 12:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	38	$4.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	02-10 12:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	14	$3.5K	4,061	1,061	+3,000	open	—	06-12 17:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$3.4K	3,562	3,562	+0	open	—	04-21 22:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	52	$3.0K	49,967	70,817	-20,850	open	—	05-28 22:59
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$2.9K	2,208	2,208	+0	open	—	06-20 23:21
cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	8	$2.9K	2,801	2,801	+0	open	—	06-20 15:18
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	21	$2.8K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	06-21 17:35
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	19	$2.8K	18,153	7,803	+10,350	open	—	01-03 21:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$2.4K	25,423	25,423	+0	open	—	01-31 01:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2.0K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	04-06 11:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$1.9K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	03-01 19:14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	12	$1.8K	3,174	3,174	+0	open	—	02-08 15:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 14	11	$1.7K	10,279	10,279	-0	open	—	01-14 15:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	28	$1.6K	19,118	19,118	+0	open	—	05-15 15:12
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	4	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-11 19:19
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	3	$1.4K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	03-26 00:23
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game3	8	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-21 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 21:38:49	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	284	10¢	$28	0xd74ee9…
07-24 21:25:13	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8fea00…
07-23 22:03:06	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xacc811…
07-23 17:25:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x316b1c…
07-22 15:12:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,700	51¢	$862	0x8ded2f…
07-22 12:38:42	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa42072…
07-22 01:33:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,000	51¢	$505	0x0a1575…
07-21 18:41:03	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8,479	14¢	$1,212	0x1d8765…
07-21 17:30:52	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,692	14¢	$808	0x79326b…
07-20 21:05:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2,300	59¢	$1,348	0xe60e2f…
07-20 19:43:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1,462	59¢	$863	0x029b54…
07-20 19:03:43	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$4	0xbcbfce…
07-20 17:47:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	27	59¢	$16	0xb0173b…
07-20 12:23:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	482	52¢	$253	0xc6d502…
07-20 11:46:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	304	52¢	$158	0x7c255d…
07-20 11:46:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	703	51¢	$359	0xc59114…
07-19 12:35:43	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x7ae460…
07-18 19:14:46	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0x9feb1d…
07-18 18:54:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	670	16¢	$109	0xdf8cc2…
07-18 18:53:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	8,582	17¢	$1,466	0xee44ee…
07-18 18:52:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x65ed6a…
07-18 18:52:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x79bb84…
07-18 17:27:13	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x3299f6…
07-17 17:36:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,500	63¢	$1,575	0x56cef2…
07-17 15:51:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xbf46d3…
07-17 15:42:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,986	11¢	$219	0xc144cd…
07-17 10:15:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,508	12¢	$181	0x8458ba…
07-17 10:10:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8ed956…
07-17 10:09:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xb20181…
07-17 10:08:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xe380a0…
07-17 09:41:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	492	12¢	$59	0x399ae1…
07-17 05:34:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0xe7083c…
07-16 20:25:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0xd04034…
07-16 20:22:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,102	0xd5581b…
07-16 11:11:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,500	14¢	$210	0x1e78dd…
07-16 10:38:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,510	14¢	$211	0x6af0ea…
07-16 03:02:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	511	15¢	$77	0x456272…
07-16 02:59:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	133	15¢	$20	0xa2700f…
07-16 02:48:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x72ffc3…
07-16 02:20:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xb250df…
07-16 01:50:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	610	15¢	$92	0x26ce36…
07-16 01:47:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xd03d04…
07-16 01:33:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0x0fab64…
07-16 01:30:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1d5052…
07-16 01:22:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x991e12…
07-16 01:12:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x793cad…
07-16 00:35:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,226	12¢	$147	0xdf0f0e…
07-16 00:27:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x465b1d…
07-16 00:25:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	199	15¢	$30	0x533e6d…
07-15 23:13:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	182	15¢	$27	0xf6e1e8…
07-15 23:08:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,870	15¢	$281	0xb4b330…
07-15 19:55:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x3e76c5…
07-15 18:49:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	4,723	14¢	$661	0x0786a5…
07-15 18:44:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0x8d741e…
07-15 17:56:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5,740	16¢	$918	0x19c967…
07-13 15:17:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	2,353	29¢	$682	0xde592f…
07-13 15:16:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	2,279	28¢	$646	0xb87636…
07-13 15:14:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	382	31¢	$118	0xc2ed3d…
07-13 15:09:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	3,157	28¢	$890	0xa5a2e2…
07-12 18:13:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,000	16¢	$320	0xc0b6dd…
07-12 12:56:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,660	18¢	$479	0x323b6f…
07-12 09:41:28	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x736591…
07-11 07:31:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x4229bd…
07-10 23:06:53	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x12ab8b…
07-10 21:45:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x9fc0ff…
07-10 21:45:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	493	13¢	$64	0xbc39e0…
07-10 20:39:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	495	42¢	$209	0x5ef027…
07-10 20:05:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,737	11¢	$301	0x38370c…
07-10 19:41:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x9cb630…
07-10 19:40:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,237	11¢	$136	0x97d016…
07-10 13:33:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	3,000	13¢	$390	0xb390f1…
07-10 13:32:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,000	13¢	$390	0xa81927…
07-10 11:35:56	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x58725e…
07-10 11:12:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	980	15¢	$147	0xeb422d…
07-09 23:12:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0x72c1b9…
07-09 23:10:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xb9607b…
07-09 23:09:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	958	16¢	$153	0x0e1b9a…
07-09 22:16:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	2,302	16¢	$368	0xac7cb6…
07-09 10:22:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	705	16¢	$113	0x909266…
07-09 00:44:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xac1a8b…
07-09 00:39:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x1be104…
07-09 00:31:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,400	19¢	$266	0xf9d04c…
07-09 00:19:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	127	16¢	$20	0x3ab430…
07-09 00:00:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	1,322	17¢	$219	0x5fdef8…
07-08 22:08:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	SELL	2,717	24¢	$652	0xddac31…
07-08 21:28:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	2,000	26¢	$520	0xcb9913…
07-08 20:56:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xfdb7f9…
07-08 20:40:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xfb5046…
07-08 20:40:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	339	25¢	$85	0x3506be…
07-08 20:35:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0x9d0b73…
07-08 20:35:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe23253…
07-08 20:35:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xa5fdca…
07-08 20:35:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x242ddd…
07-08 20:17:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0xfb6a80…
07-08 20:14:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	SELL	1,157	24¢	$278	0xfbf576…
07-08 20:13:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0xe3ad55…
07-08 18:34:32	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x82d2e6…
07-08 00:23:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	936	18¢	$169	0xac2c04…
07-08 00:16:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	442	18¢	$80	0xddbe5f…
07-08 00:14:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	2,779	17¢	$460	0x0cbb3a…