Frivolous-Fiction 0xe74d49…4722fd Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.1K
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
89
3,581 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$37.4K
$539.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$53.1K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-07 02:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
35% 42% +$11,632
Politics
26% 47% +$16,709
Tech
17% 56% +$4,918
Crypto
13% 17% -$6,219
Sports
9% 57% +$1,741
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +18,844 $14,321 95¢ $18.0K +$3,656 11-01 19:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +9,587 $4,776 78¢ $7.4K +$2,654 11-06 15:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +7,311 $3,804 66¢ $4.9K +$1,058 11-06 18:15
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -104,645 -$7,481 5¢ $-4814 +$2,668 10-07 14:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $2,002 88¢ $4.4K +$2,423 11-06 09:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +12,962 $4,187 22¢ $2.9K -$1,336 11-05 09:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No -2,849 -$2,160 74¢ $-2122 +$38 11-04 01:29
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,564 $905 74¢ $1.2K +$253 10-28 18:59
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +1,636 $399 70¢ $1.1K +$739 10-28 23:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,463 $712 39¢ $961 +$249 10-28 18:03
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +2,112 $1,114 45¢ $948 -$166 11-07 02:29
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No +3,797 $750 19¢ $722 -$28 11-05 00:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +1,317 $540 50¢ $652 +$112 11-06 19:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? Yes +1,724 $392 32¢ $560 +$168 11-06 23:36
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +2,550 $564 21¢ $536 -$28 11-04 19:13
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +4,142 $1,106 10¢ $414 -$692 11-06 00:42
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? Yes +518 $300 72¢ $373 +$73 11-06 23:40
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +6,953 $187 4¢ $278 +$91 11-05 02:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? Yes +568 $183 47¢ $267 +$84 11-06 21:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +327 $131 54¢ $175 +$44 11-06 12:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +3,279 $87 5¢ $167 +$80 11-03 12:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +192 $79 62¢ $119 +$40 11-06 12:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +327 $142 22¢ $74 -$68 09-26 17:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Yes +990 $60 4¢ $35 -$25 08-01 11:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +220 $18 12¢ $27 +$9 11-06 23:22
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -189 -$65 6¢ $-12 +$53 04-29 23:04
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 9, 2026? Yes — +121 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 11-02 23:07