Frivolous-Fiction 0xe74d49…4722fd Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.1K
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved (90d)
66
Trades (90d)
928
3,655 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$216.1K
$540.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$55.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-08 20:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
35% 41% +$11,558
Politics
26% 47% +$16,709
Tech
17% 56% +$4,918
Crypto
13% 17% -$6,219
Sports
9% 57% +$1,741
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +18,844 $14,321 97¢ $18.2K +$3,872 11-01 19:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +9,587 $4,776 80¢ $7.7K +$2,942 11-06 15:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +7,311 $3,804 70¢ $5.2K +$1,351 11-06 18:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $2,002 89¢ $4.5K +$2,448 11-06 09:04
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -104,645 -$7,481 3¢ $-3610 +$3,871 10-07 14:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +13,166 $4,234 26¢ $3.4K -$811 11-07 08:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No -2,849 -$2,160 78¢ $-2222 -$62 11-04 01:29
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +1,636 $399 70¢ $1.1K +$739 10-28 23:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,564 $905 72¢ $1.1K +$221 10-28 18:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +1,825 $752 55¢ $1.0K +$252 11-08 01:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,800 $928 16¢ $957 +$29 11-07 18:20
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,463 $712 38¢ $924 +$212 10-28 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,678 $814 33¢ $890 +$76 11-08 13:15
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No +3,797 $750 18¢ $684 -$66 11-05 00:27
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +2,071 $463 25¢ $518 +$55 11-07 19:53
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +2,112 $1,114 24¢ $509 -$605 11-07 02:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? Yes +518 $300 66¢ $339 +$40 11-06 23:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? Yes +1,352 $110 24¢ $331 +$221 11-08 20:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +428 $307 67¢ $286 -$21 11-08 12:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4,500 $296 6¢ $277 -$20 11-07 18:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? Yes +568 $183 40¢ $230 +$47 11-06 21:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +327 $131 65¢ $213 +$81 11-06 12:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +6,953 $187 3¢ $205 +$18 11-05 02:28
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +4,142 $1,106 5¢ $197 -$910 11-06 00:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +3,279 $87 4¢ $143 +$56 11-03 12:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +192 $79 67¢ $129 +$49 11-06 12:22
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? Yes +468 $102 24¢ $115 +$13 11-08 02:02
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026? Yes +388 $39 20¢ $76 +$38 11-07 13:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +327 $142 20¢ $64 -$78 09-26 17:54
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? No +1,030 $51 6¢ $63 +$12 10-31 21:35