Frivolous-Fiction 0xe74d49…4722fd Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.9K
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved (90d)
66
Trades (90d)
930
3,658 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$216.3K
$540.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$55.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-08 23:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
35% 41% +$11,558
Politics
26% 47% +$16,709
Tech
17% 56% +$4,918
Crypto
13% 17% -$6,219
Sports
9% 57% +$1,741
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +18,844 $14,321 97¢ $18.2K +$3,872 11-01 19:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +9,587 $4,776 80¢ $7.7K +$2,894 11-06 15:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +7,311 $3,804 72¢ $5.3K +$1,497 11-06 18:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $2,002 89¢ $4.5K +$2,448 11-06 09:04
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -104,645 -$7,481 3¢ $-3610 +$3,871 10-07 14:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +13,166 $4,234 24¢ $3.1K -$1,140 11-07 08:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No -2,849 -$2,160 78¢ $-2222 -$62 11-04 01:29
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +1,636 $399 70¢ $1.1K +$739 10-28 23:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,564 $905 72¢ $1.1K +$221 10-28 18:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +1,825 $752 56¢ $1.0K +$279 11-08 01:57
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,463 $712 38¢ $924 +$212 10-28 18:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,800 $928 16¢ $899 -$29 11-07 18:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,678 $814 32¢ $866 +$52 11-08 13:15
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No +3,797 $750 18¢ $684 -$66 11-05 00:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +2,112 $1,114 26¢ $549 -$565 11-07 02:29
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +2,071 $463 24¢ $487 +$24 11-07 19:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? Yes +1,352 $110 26¢ $358 +$248 11-08 20:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? Yes +775 $276 44¢ $341 +$65 11-08 23:07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? Yes +518 $300 66¢ $339 +$40 11-06 23:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +428 $307 68¢ $290 -$17 11-08 12:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4,500 $296 6¢ $272 -$24 11-07 18:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +327 $131 65¢ $213 +$81 11-06 12:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +6,953 $187 3¢ $202 +$15 11-05 02:28
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? Yes +758 $176 26¢ $197 +$21 11-08 23:43
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +4,142 $1,106 5¢ $197 -$910 11-06 00:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +3,279 $87 4¢ $146 +$59 11-03 12:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +192 $79 70¢ $133 +$54 11-06 12:22
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +467 $53 19¢ $88 +$35 11-08 23:44
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026? Yes +388 $39 20¢ $76 +$37 11-07 13:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +327 $142 20¢ $65 -$77 09-26 17:54