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whale
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$545
Unrealized P&L
+$9.19K
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved (30d)
33
Trades (30d)
469
3,568 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$100.9K
$537.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$48.5K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-06 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
35% 42% +$11,632
Politics
26% 47% +$16,709
Tech
17% 56% +$4,918
Crypto
13% 17% -$6,219
Sports
9% 57% +$1,741
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +18,844 $14,321 95¢ $17.9K +$3,627 11-01 19:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +9,419 $4,684 61¢ $5.7K +$1,062 11-06 09:06
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -104,645 -$7,481 5¢ $-4971 +$2,511 10-07 14:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,000 $2,002 88¢ $4.4K +$2,398 11-06 09:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +6,117 $3,153 56¢ $3.5K +$303 11-06 02:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +12,962 $4,187 24¢ $3.1K -$1,077 11-05 09:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No -2,849 -$2,160 73¢ $-2080 +$81 11-04 01:29
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,564 $905 76¢ $1.2K +$276 10-28 18:59
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +1,636 $399 70¢ $1.1K +$739 10-28 23:14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,463 $712 42¢ $1.0K +$335 10-28 18:03
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No +3,797 $750 18¢ $665 -$85 11-05 00:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +4,142 $1,106 14¢ $559 -$547 11-06 00:42
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +1,779 $999 31¢ $556 -$444 11-05 19:53
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +2,550 $564 18¢ $459 -$105 11-04 19:13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +6,953 $187 4¢ $292 +$105 11-05 02:28
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +692 $278 39¢ $270 -$8 11-06 12:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +3,279 $87 5¢ $172 +$85 11-03 12:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? Yes +327 $131 42¢ $137 +$6 11-06 12:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +327 $142 39¢ $128 -$14 09-26 17:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +192 $79 48¢ $91 +$12 11-06 12:22
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? Yes +595 $178 12¢ $74 -$103 11-06 12:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Yes +990 $60 4¢ $35 -$25 08-01 11:57
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -189 -$65 6¢ $-12 +$53 04-29 23:04