Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
28.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
44
lifetime
Volume
$119
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$43
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-01 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47%
Other
30% 100% +$1
Tech
18%
Crypto
5% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:47
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:30
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-01 19:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-01 19:25