Grumpy-Beetle-Hovel 0x37daae…47d2db
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
28.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
62
lifetime
Volume
$204
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$75
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-01 20:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
43% — —
Other
42% 100% +$1
Tech
12% — —
Crypto
3% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +16 $13 86¢ $14 +$1 07-01 14:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 $-12 88¢ $-12 $-0 07-01 19:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 07-01 14:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +13 $8 62¢ $8 +$0 07-01 14:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-22 11:57
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-22 12:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $3 95¢ $4 +$0 07-01 20:09
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 07-01 14:41
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -3 $-3 84¢ $-2 +$0 07-01 19:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 20:01