Vital-Gerbil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$1.06K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-02 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

81% 93% +$33

Crypto

12% 93% +$0

Politics

5% 100% +$13

Sports

2% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+631	$604	98¢	$620	+$16	10-25 04:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+224	$221	98¢	$220	$0	11-02 10:42
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+105	$104	99¢	$104	+$0	11-02 10:42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-180	-$68	38¢	$-68	$0	05-08 13:31
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$48	98¢	$49	+$1	11-02 10:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	1	$1.1K	1,136	0	+1,136	No	+$2	07-30 07:27
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$740	742	0	+742	No	+$2	05-16 01:49
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?	1	$736	737	0	+737	No	+$1	05-12 00:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25?	1	$701	702	0	+702	No	+$1	07-25 11:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$604	631	0	+631	open	—	10-25 04:11
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$546	549	0	+549	No	+$3	09-26 02:32
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?	1	$542	544	0	+544	No	+$2	05-10 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	1	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	04-28 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?	1	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	04-29 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	1	$449	450	0	+450	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$448	456	0	+456	No	+$8	05-26 07:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 15c	1	$433	434	0	+434	No	+$0	04-21 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?	1	$419	420	0	+420	Yes	+$1	05-13 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	3	$368	216	215	+1	No	-$9	04-24 10:02
lowest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15corhigher	2	$363	364	0	+364	No	+$1	04-21 02:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	2	$361	181	181	+0	No	+$1	06-12 09:09
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$346	348	0	+348	No	+$2	06-16 03:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$340	346	0	+346	No	+$6	04-05 03:24
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 26?	1	$332	333	0	+333	No	+$1	08-25 13:13
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 32corhigher	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	04-22 11:45
will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	08-04 09:59
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$295	300	0	+300	Yes	+$5	05-26 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	2	$277	139	139	+0	No	$0	04-28 09:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$1	04-21 02:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$221	224	0	+224	open	—	11-02 10:42
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 11?	1	$215	215	0	+215	No	+$0	08-10 12:46
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 25?	2	$208	208	0	+208	No	+$0	07-25 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?	1	$204	205	0	+205	No	+$1	05-13 03:24
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$201	103	103	+0	No	+$1	01-27 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 30?	1	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	06-30 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 10:42:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	224	98¢	$221	0x3b9566…
11-02 10:42:25	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x148192…
11-02 10:34:18	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x52e66c…
11-02 10:32:45	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc9ed70…
10-25 04:11:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	631	96¢	$604	0x090b7b…
10-02 05:40:50	Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x243604…
10-02 05:40:02	Will Solana dip to $60 in October?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x355cf3…
09-26 02:32:15	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0x97c7ae…
09-24 12:26:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x599363…
09-17 08:48:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x60a2ee…
09-17 08:41:01	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x9cba1c…
09-17 08:39:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x08482b…
09-17 08:38:21	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4d9c3f…
09-17 08:05:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x45e611…
09-17 08:01:43	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x388c60…
09-17 07:59:03	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6058d7…
09-13 10:47:27	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x80f593…
09-11 12:19:22	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xee7487…
09-10 21:05:28	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xd096fb…
09-09 10:58:36	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x3bc93d…
09-08 13:06:40	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x409387…
09-08 12:59:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x26e219…
08-25 13:13:40	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 26?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x1addb7…
08-25 13:13:21	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on August 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfaef36…
08-25 13:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$103	0xf25dbc…
08-25 13:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 26?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7d1e44…
08-25 13:02:45	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa448ee…
08-25 12:56:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x35e56a…
08-11 01:57:01	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe5ab76…
08-11 01:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 11?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x4dacb1…
08-11 01:55:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0x35b935…
08-11 01:52:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on August 11?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1e5885…
08-10 12:52:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 10?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xb4168b…
08-10 12:46:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x4ee60f…
08-10 12:46:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x2d6e06…
08-10 12:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 11?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xd75f05…
08-05 08:15:33	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x437841…
08-04 09:59:18	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xf3fa1e…
08-03 12:19:23	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x001e7b…
08-03 12:19:00	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf249f8…
07-30 07:27:11	hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	No	BUY	1,136	100¢	$1,134	0x6a09f6…
07-25 12:21:04	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x069371…
07-25 12:06:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa15853…
07-25 11:57:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 25?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xcfbd31…
07-25 11:53:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$701	0x28c110…
07-25 11:51:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 25?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xb9ccc7…
07-25 11:51:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x387fe2…
07-25 11:50:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5b833e…
07-25 11:34:46	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x6b887d…
06-30 10:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 30?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xb6e5f5…
06-30 10:47:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xced30f…
06-16 03:34:06	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	256	99¢	$254	0x4c5cc6…
06-16 03:33:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc61a86…
06-16 03:33:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xdecc11…
06-16 03:32:57	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x5ec0bd…
06-12 09:21:46	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x6b4d22…
06-12 09:20:12	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x82fe3b…
06-12 09:19:45	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x3c03b0…
06-12 09:14:30	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0xb10a2e…
06-12 09:11:34	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x47e606…
06-12 09:09:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x4aefab…
05-26 07:18:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	456	98¢	$448	0xe436a3…
05-26 07:06:08	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x4a1c72…
05-16 01:49:20	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	742	100¢	$740	0x6c8dad…
05-13 03:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x387d49…
05-13 03:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x9ec934…
05-13 03:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$86	0x33a085…
05-13 03:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	420	100¢	$419	0xe15492…
05-12 00:43:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	737	100¢	$736	0xd0477e…
05-10 13:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x5c3f4a…
05-10 12:58:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	544	100¢	$542	0x136dd7…
05-08 13:31:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	38¢	$68	0xc63b28…
05-08 13:30:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x74dec4…
05-08 13:30:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x5eb8d3…
04-29 13:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x18f2fb…
04-29 13:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe5cff…
04-29 13:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x1d7dbe…
04-28 09:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xcb7e15…
04-28 09:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0x0a013e…
04-28 09:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x0a2d9a…
04-27 10:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0xccc587…
04-27 10:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47df17…
04-24 10:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xc81d99…
04-24 10:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	SELL	215	84¢	$180	0x210e00…
04-24 10:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	102	87¢	$88	0x05cd60…
04-24 10:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x4e9720…
04-22 11:54:32	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 19c	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4a6bd5…
04-22 11:45:50	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xbed964…
04-22 11:35:34	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x580f04…
04-22 11:35:20	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 32corhigher	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xe7ede2…
04-21 22:23:02	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	434	100¢	$433	0xfd840c…
04-21 10:10:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x3bd6d0…
04-21 02:31:42	lowest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xac9dcb…
04-21 02:31:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4ecc4c…
04-21 02:30:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x435664…
04-21 02:27:54	lowest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xd11714…
04-20 12:35:14	highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 13c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x722606…
04-20 12:35:02	highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 14c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe010c1…
04-20 12:34:42	highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x065616…
04-20 12:34:20	highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 14c	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd74d1b…