Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$133
$74 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$228
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 02:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $80 | $80 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $7 | $23 | $17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $75 | $75 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 7 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | +209 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:51 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-10 02:01 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:11 |
| Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $7 | 2 | 05-09 16:04 |
| Regal-Maelstrom 0x1f68…4148 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:23 |
| Shameful-Triad 0x86fc…6211 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:23 |
| Wild-Peen 0x7782…bd54 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Metallic-Vascular-Attraction 0xb8eb…c7bf | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:23 |
| Frosty-Symmetry 0xe72d…565d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Speedy-Decisionmaking 0x8c92…9d9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Outlandish-Hour-Sociology 0x836a…4dbf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 02:52:16 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x51fe69… |
| 05-10 02:47:06 | Flimsy-Teapot 0x399f…e8d8 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9ac36f… |
| 05-10 02:46:40 | Guilty-Junker 0xa70d…63be | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x0f1347… |
| 05-10 02:35:23 | Speedy-Decisionmaking 0x8c92…9d9e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x02bb38… |
| 05-10 02:35:07 | Wild-Peen 0x7782…bd54 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x9592d8… |
| 05-10 02:35:04 | Frosty-Symmetry 0xe72d…565d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbbca8f… |
| 05-10 02:23:59 | Metallic-Vascular-Attraction 0xb8eb…c7bf | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x6fb7ca… |
| 05-10 02:23:57 | Regal-Maelstrom 0x1f68…4148 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x14c3a4… |
| 05-10 02:23:50 | Shameful-Triad 0x86fc…6211 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x16d085… |
| 05-10 02:21:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cff65… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x504422… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d05d2… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f10b9… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x351c1a… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dd8ed… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e060c… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8a820… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf58fdf… |
| 05-10 02:11:45 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xce0e4a… |
| 05-10 02:01:38 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x1f85ce… |
| 05-10 01:51:34 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | BUY | 209 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x75162a… |
| 05-09 20:02:32 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x1c9e2d… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2cf08… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0ea097… |
| 05-09 19:52:58 | Kindly-Sentencing 0x437b…1840 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x981afe… |
| 05-09 16:04:43 | Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x114b61… |
| 05-09 15:04:03 | Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x2b12a2… |
| 05-08 15:16:43 | Outlandish-Hour-Sociology 0x836a…4dbf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x076ff6… |