Mountainous-Bird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-10 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

100% 40% +$12

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	4	$428	229	229	+0	No	+$28	04-02 01:51
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	3	$304	154	154	+0	No	+$1	05-27 03:56
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	6	$242	282	282	+0	No	-$38	06-26 11:20
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	2	$237	138	138	+0	No	+$37	06-26 11:02
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	3	$227	155	107	+48	No	-$13	06-26 11:02
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$198	101	101	+0	No	-$2	04-20 08:10
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	4	$156	185	68	+118	No	-$6	06-26 11:42
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	3	$118	235	104	+132	No	-$79	05-28 07:50
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	3	$114	171	162	+9	Yes	-$97	02-14 02:34
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	06-07 23:43
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$100	130	0	+130	No	+$30	05-15 11:34
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	1	$94	129	0	+129	Yes	-$94	07-11 10:34
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	1	$50	66	0	+66	Yes	+$16	05-25 21:59
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	2	$42	37	37	+0	No	-$2	08-10 14:24
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	3	$38	44	30	+14	Yes	-$7	06-26 11:42
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	3	$32	40	0	+40	No	+$6	03-24 04:45
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	07-18 06:27
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	1	$20	293	0	+293	Yes	+$273	06-07 23:43
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$17	32	32	+0	No	-$3	07-18 06:27
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$15	13	13	+0	Yes	-$5	04-20 08:10
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	05-24 10:31
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$15	25	24	+1	No	-$5	04-20 08:10
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	2	$12	25	25	+0	No	-$11	06-19 08:05
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	+$15	05-15 11:34
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$10	46	0	+46	No	-$10	05-15 11:34
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	1	$10	48	0	+48	No	-$10	07-11 10:34
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	1	$10	36	0	+36	No	-$10	06-26 11:42
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	07-11 10:34
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	1	$6	8	0	+8	No	-$6	06-07 23:43
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-24 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:24:00	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0x9b46f4…
08-10 13:04:13	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xd7808d…
07-18 06:27:22	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0xa6e5e2…
07-18 06:27:19	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x3e32e8…
07-17 14:57:46	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2a7f89…
07-17 14:57:45	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x74815f…
07-11 10:34:53	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	No	BUY	129	72¢	$94	0xf4704b…
07-11 10:34:53	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x709e86…
07-11 10:34:53	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6e645a…
06-26 11:42:43	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x950bc8…
06-26 11:42:43	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6ce8b6…
06-26 11:42:43	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0b76b6…
06-26 11:20:29	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xe05ecb…
06-26 11:20:10	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe03f9e…
06-26 11:02:43	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x75cebd…
06-26 11:02:40	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xc8424d…
06-26 11:02:37	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x464e09…
06-26 11:02:35	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0xe70f0e…
06-26 09:30:14	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	SELL	68	24¢	$16	0xd92b7e…
06-24 23:02:59	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa5de69…
06-24 23:02:59	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x919bf6…
06-24 23:02:59	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x59de8f…
06-24 22:34:55	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xa1a147…
06-24 22:34:55	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x72c394…
06-24 22:34:55	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x27a1fa…
06-24 22:15:32	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xc3345a…
06-24 22:15:32	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x90d707…
06-24 22:15:32	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x887d8b…
06-19 08:05:07	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xdd4ea8…
06-16 03:39:57	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xd93864…
06-07 23:43:34	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd4cad5…
06-07 23:43:34	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x6b202a…
06-07 23:43:34	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	293	7¢	$20	0x2c1cbb…
05-28 07:50:33	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	SELL	104	19¢	$20	0x59878f…
05-27 03:56:44	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0x97145d…
05-25 22:20:26	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x9a81f1…
05-25 22:20:26	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x201f60…
05-25 21:59:09	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xa3878e…
05-25 21:59:09	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x89dd16…
05-25 21:59:09	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x3dfe01…
05-24 10:31:21	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x139031…
05-24 10:27:56	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5b8eb…
05-20 18:02:03	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc1729b…
05-20 18:02:03	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x0626d2…
05-15 11:34:38	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xa32e36…
05-15 11:34:38	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x820dfb…
05-15 11:34:38	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6408f8…
04-20 08:10:14	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xf54a60…
04-20 08:10:12	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x412e98…
04-20 08:10:10	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x37d815…
04-20 08:00:10	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfd8a7c…
04-20 08:00:10	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x42bc64…
04-20 08:00:10	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x363079…
04-02 01:51:45	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	SELL	228	99¢	$227	0x22f1d6…
04-02 01:50:33	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b2a76…
04-01 22:56:45	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x30a588…
04-01 22:54:29	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x986ef7…
03-24 04:45:31	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xc1bd71…
03-23 19:38:33	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x866f09…
03-23 19:35:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x12beda…
03-23 19:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x36d01a…
02-14 02:34:59	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa2d1f7…
02-14 02:34:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	SELL	162	5¢	$9	0x3e1366…
02-11 03:32:49	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	BUY	162	60¢	$97	0xb552e4…