Every-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

188

Trades

2,232

lifetime

Volume

$90.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-24 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 50% -$3,694

Other

30% 56% -$4,115

Sports

22% 67% +$489

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$4.6K	7,263	6,826	+437	No	+$46	07-13 02:22
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$3.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$216	07-15 20:15
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	8	$2.8K	1,495	1,495	-0	No	+$208	06-25 00:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$2.7K	8,500	8,500	+0	Yes	+$155	07-14 20:19
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$2.3K	6,460	6,460	+0	No	+$206	07-15 20:52
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$2.2K	16,800	15,500	+1,300	No	-$18	07-06 14:10
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	12	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	No	+$55	06-17 19:23
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	No	+$81	06-16 05:15
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	2	$2.0K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$151	06-19 07:31
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.0K	2,700	0	+2,700	Yes	-$1,998	06-18 14:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	37	$1.9K	1,270	1,270	+0	Up	+$589	07-27 14:40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.9K	14,000	14,000	+0	No	-$70	07-01 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:20 UTC	47	$1.8K	1,194	1,194	+0	Down	+$597	07-27 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:20 UTC	21	$1.6K	3,400	0	+3,400	Down	+$1,768	07-13 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:00 UTC	44	$1.6K	3,200	0	+3,200	Up	-$1,600	07-29 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:30 UTC	90	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Down	+$105	07-13 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:55 UTC	2	$1.3K	3,300	0	+3,300	Down	-$1,346	07-27 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:05 UTC	4	$1.2K	816	816	+0	Up	+$408	07-20 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:25 UTC	33	$1.2K	816	816	+0	Down	+$408	07-27 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:25 UTC	14	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Up	+$384	07-28 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:30 UTC	40	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Up	+$384	07-28 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:25 UTC	11	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Down	+$400	07-28 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:55 UTC	2	$1.2K	2,400	0	+2,400	Down	-$1,176	07-27 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:40 UTC	74	$1.2K	2,358	0	+2,358	Down	-$1,156	07-27 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	48	$1.1K	2,300	0	+2,300	Up	-$1,127	07-27 14:00
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	37	$1.1K	919	329	+590	Yes	-$410	05-25 02:08
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	8	$1.0K	1,133	11	+1,122	Yes	-$1,031	06-27 04:33
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	15	$912	495	495	+0	No	+$36	05-20 18:08
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$900	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$20	06-30 00:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:20 UTC	9	$864	600	600	+0	Down	+$324	07-27 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 19:22:21	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xb38b19…
10-24 19:22:17	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9c94a8…
10-24 19:22:17	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x092759…
10-24 15:34:57	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x835862…
10-24 05:53:24	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x176f56…
10-24 04:25:42	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x9d3435…
10-22 15:16:18	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	118	36¢	$42	0xa9f8ed…
10-22 14:57:17	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x2b3211…
10-22 14:53:05	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe1b0c6…
10-22 14:53:05	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x277047…
10-22 14:51:03	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc723ca…
10-22 14:44:48	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8de472…
10-22 14:41:57	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	118	59¢	$70	0xd27893…
10-19 11:13:24	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x15fb04…
10-19 11:13:21	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x0aa026…
10-16 18:48:17	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xbd39b7…
10-16 03:48:19	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$115	0x3a7f66…
10-16 03:45:49	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0x659f39…
10-14 21:54:54	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xb94d02…
10-13 12:39:49	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	81	89¢	$72	0x2f6d64…
10-13 08:38:19	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xcf9236…
10-13 08:35:53	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x8e5c70…
10-13 06:11:15	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0x018da6…
10-10 14:07:36	Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0xb20068…
10-10 14:05:22	Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38020d…
10-10 09:57:43	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x31423b…
10-10 08:51:40	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xd62585…
10-09 23:04:11	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8cc334…
10-09 21:30:08	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x63b3bb…
10-09 20:44:29	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x9cfacf…
10-09 20:40:02	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0x2ae0e7…
10-09 20:38:49	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb57be5…
10-09 20:32:14	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$24	0xd72902…
10-09 20:32:14	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x0eb277…
10-09 18:05:20	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x493b96…
10-09 18:04:34	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	98	77¢	$75	0x795f81…
10-09 18:03:28	Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0x547e5b…
10-09 18:03:16	Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xdc1636…
10-09 18:03:16	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xa8e2e4…
10-09 18:03:16	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x43f420…
10-06 00:12:14	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x265b56…
10-06 00:09:59	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x02f17b…
10-06 00:09:56	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7ca0c7…
10-06 00:09:49	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xdadf85…
10-04 11:35:43	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x434f7f…
10-04 11:33:58	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xae0e48…
09-28 22:17:50	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x76c47f…
09-25 21:31:59	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	Yes	BUY	443	90¢	$399	0x29ec5d…
09-25 21:31:41	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5fd570…
09-25 21:31:32	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	Yes	BUY	277	90¢	$249	0x962f4e…
09-25 21:31:30	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	Yes	BUY	104	74¢	$76	0x799460…
09-25 21:31:11	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$42	0x24a1d1…
09-25 21:29:15	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x512b9c…
09-20 09:33:37	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd9b173…
09-20 09:33:37	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc3d9e5…
09-17 15:11:06	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa76333…
09-17 14:51:15	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x0052bd…
09-17 14:45:34	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x636a5b…
09-17 14:44:13	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0x82bff7…
09-17 14:41:49	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0x70eefe…
09-17 14:41:30	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	122	93¢	$114	0xb1cc67…
09-17 14:40:36	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xae1861…
09-17 14:32:31	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfa7733…
09-12 00:25:37	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x327ebc…
09-12 00:19:30	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xc0a9d4…
09-11 22:13:58	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0x62c55d…
09-11 21:45:09	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	198	96¢	$190	0x31801e…
09-11 21:42:12	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x3c778a…
09-06 04:24:55	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0xb84c37…
09-06 04:15:40	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0x8725d7…
09-05 17:18:48	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x626a5c…
09-05 17:09:12	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	135	95¢	$129	0x00feba…
09-05 15:02:42	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc6034b…
09-05 14:19:04	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x6a3585…
08-30 09:22:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x588093…
08-30 09:11:16	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$146	0xbc98b3…
08-24 14:16:19	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x029726…
08-22 08:40:34	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xe33aec…
08-22 08:40:31	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$24	0xd2d0b5…
08-22 08:40:28	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xdf4549…
08-22 08:40:28	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x6d198d…
08-22 08:40:22	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1a504d…
08-22 08:40:21	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x001040…
08-22 08:39:55	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xd73184…
08-22 08:37:06	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf58603…
08-22 08:36:28	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x386455…
08-22 08:36:16	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xd18f91…
08-22 08:33:33	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	236	96¢	$227	0x84059f…
08-20 18:48:16	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xef197f…
08-20 18:07:55	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x3372d2…
08-20 18:06:45	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	240	82¢	$196	0x1a0fec…
08-18 23:13:34	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x6e3f8e…
08-18 23:13:28	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x4bdf7c…
08-18 23:12:43	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xe03764…
08-18 23:12:37	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa4acfc…
08-18 23:12:22	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4544e9…
08-16 01:26:25	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xbbc043…
08-16 00:57:42	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x89bbf3…
08-16 00:42:40	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd1b456…
08-16 00:26:48	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x51c337…