Ajar-Cummerbund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-20 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

63% 67% +$0

Crypto

30% 40% $-0

Politics

6% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	04-13 20:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	4	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	05-17 21:41
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	6	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-05 23:51
highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 10c	1	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	03-29 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 26?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 07:24
highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 88 89f	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 07:13
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	3	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-25 11:12
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 13?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-13 06:59
highest temperature in warsaw on april 16 2026 20corhigher	5	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-15 22:03
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	3	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-04 13:32
highest temperature in istanbul on march 30 2026 14corhigher	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	03-30 04:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	3	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-16 20:54
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 08:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 02:52
will solana dip to 75 on april 19	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 02:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-26 17:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 02:02
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	05-10 08:09
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 14:00
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 36corhigher	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 07:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 1	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-01 10:42
highest temperature in jeddah on april 20 2026 31c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 06:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 10:19
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 22:43
xrp above 1pt7 on april 20	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 02:41
will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-16 11:58
highest temperature in dallas on march 30 2026 98forhigher	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-30 07:28
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 5 2026 37c	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-05 09:17
Will Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-13 03:12
highest temperature in helsinki on april 6 2026 9c	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-06 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 16:25:26	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc667cc…
05-20 15:32:36	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc80d84…
05-20 14:34:13	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb18bd0…
05-20 11:44:42	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb02704…
05-20 06:18:49	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe84612…
05-19 23:54:05	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xab0fd2…
05-19 15:31:01	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb67596…
05-19 15:27:48	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x39af60…
05-19 15:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc31feb…
05-19 09:16:10	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd46fc5…
05-19 07:27:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc9059…
05-19 05:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xad3bb8…
05-19 03:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e2d5d…
05-17 21:41:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf79299…
05-17 20:52:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xac53ec…
05-17 18:14:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x33d254…
05-17 10:01:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6053fc…
05-16 20:54:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd489ff…
05-16 20:54:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1dc874…
05-16 19:03:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfbec75…
05-15 21:21:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf403c…
05-15 18:55:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb054d2…
05-14 10:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc0e41e…
05-14 09:48:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8168a7…
05-14 03:56:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf6bfdb…
05-13 20:47:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x62a263…
05-13 06:59:01	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 13?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd8c45b…
05-12 14:16:00	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x579cbb…
05-11 23:28:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7224ca…
05-11 13:29:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8b7464…
05-11 08:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f912a…
05-11 02:39:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x623744…
05-10 11:46:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae48f…
05-10 08:09:47	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa6c3df…
05-10 08:08:38	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xed19a9…
05-10 04:41:21	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cf1bb…
05-09 23:22:48	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x223e7a…
05-09 22:31:12	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xba34d0…
05-09 16:49:03	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4cfd8…
05-08 10:58:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a8f64…
05-07 23:48:32	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2b1019…
05-07 23:08:31	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x18ec57…
05-07 17:51:54	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe69eb4…
05-05 23:51:54	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x03505d…
05-05 22:19:04	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfa07dd…
05-05 22:19:04	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe063c9…
05-05 14:12:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe0e3d2…
05-05 10:56:28	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9a1a52…
05-05 00:02:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x919ef5…
05-05 00:02:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfe3678…
05-04 23:59:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xab46bc…
05-04 23:56:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3bec4f…
05-04 22:40:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x248601…
05-04 20:44:32	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x039d70…
05-04 13:32:16	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x03d253…
05-04 11:24:32	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xbd249a…
05-04 02:02:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5de422…
05-03 16:39:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe6ae12…
05-03 14:02:50	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe0a7a7…
05-01 21:47:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xbac79b…
05-01 20:49:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9be699…
05-01 17:45:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93bbe4…
05-01 10:20:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x1cd604…
04-30 21:27:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x104baa…
04-30 21:09:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6899ff…
04-30 18:36:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xad8dd9…
04-30 15:50:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x50162a…
04-30 08:01:18	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4c1648…
04-30 02:52:54	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x56c15a…
04-29 18:48:18	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x82b8fe…
04-29 13:27:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x11f5d4…
04-29 04:44:16	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3658f7…
04-28 21:24:42	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1707ee…
04-28 15:25:26	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c3b27…
04-27 16:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x865123…
04-27 16:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x767b06…
04-27 16:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2511a…
04-27 16:05:30	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x71a396…
04-27 15:18:22	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x984a37…
04-27 14:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa434f8…
04-27 11:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa566e6…
04-27 03:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2ca92d…
04-26 20:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0de3cc…
04-26 17:58:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf0792…
04-26 17:16:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbea98b…
04-26 08:38:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x73fa0a…
04-26 07:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3b2cc8…
04-25 16:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe853ac…
04-25 11:12:30	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7a4d34…
04-25 11:12:30	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x2f0a38…
04-24 22:43:58	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5bc248…
04-24 22:06:08	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9baae1…
04-24 18:12:00	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x08d5e8…
04-24 16:30:36	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0253da…
04-24 16:03:44	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb77c4b…
04-24 16:03:44	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x52b985…
04-24 12:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d9144…
04-24 11:09:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x294f7a…
04-24 09:11:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0e08e2…
04-24 05:51:20	highest temperature in jakarta on april 24 2026 38corhigher	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x19174b…