Ajar-Cummerbund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

335

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$8.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-26 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

76% 84% +$2

Crypto

14% 82% +$0

Politics

9% 86% +$0

Sports

1% 88% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	10-24 16:42
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	09-21 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 7?	3	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:28
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	10	$115	57	57	+0	No	+$0	05-20 01:52
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	2	$98	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 20:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	4	$89	45	45	+0	No	$0	05-17 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	3	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	05-11 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 17?	3	$83	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-17 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	5	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-15 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 7?	3	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-07 03:40
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	6	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-05 23:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 7?	5	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-06 15:02
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-16 17:21
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-16 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on May 7?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-06 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on May 10?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-10 00:04
highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 10c	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	03-29 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on May 6?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-06 11:09
Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?	5	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-02 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 5?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-05 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-14 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-12 10:02
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-05 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on May 5?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 17?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-16 22:02
Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-11 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 29?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-29 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 15?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-15 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 26?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-26 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C or below on May 3?	6	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-02 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 13?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-12 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:38:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x780bc3…
10-24 16:42:00	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71afa6…
10-10 03:47:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7e90ba…
09-28 10:24:18	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3476fa…
09-28 10:23:24	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x188f0d…
09-28 10:22:33	Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x27d2d1…
09-28 10:21:38	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc09acf…
09-28 10:20:44	Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd84a21…
09-21 15:59:22	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8cbcea…
09-14 15:47:40	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0531bf…
09-12 01:43:37	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd40174…
09-05 07:36:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x95d080…
08-11 02:36:33	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdae1f0…
07-31 05:15:45	Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x6c4484…
07-27 13:21:52	Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea8c93…
07-23 19:44:52	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x241698…
07-20 22:29:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03ea09…
07-20 22:28:30	Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xd16b80…
07-05 20:54:08	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x372faf…
07-05 20:53:13	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe13eb1…
07-03 13:42:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad7331…
06-28 13:36:56	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x09fcc4…
06-24 11:08:13	Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xd6c153…
06-23 18:08:52	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeb5511…
06-19 00:37:37	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99b565…
05-25 02:30:00	Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1a7c6…
05-20 16:25:26	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc667cc…
05-20 15:32:36	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc80d84…
05-20 15:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 21?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5d14fc…
05-20 14:34:13	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb18bd0…
05-20 12:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2f6203…
05-20 11:44:42	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb02704…
05-20 06:18:49	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe84612…
05-20 01:52:56	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x834181…
05-20 01:34:11	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x194b88…
05-19 23:54:05	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xab0fd2…
05-19 15:31:01	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb67596…
05-19 15:27:48	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x39af60…
05-19 15:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc31feb…
05-19 09:16:10	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd46fc5…
05-19 07:27:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc9059…
05-19 05:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xad3bb8…
05-19 03:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e2d5d…
05-19 00:34:08	Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb15c2a…
05-18 23:03:45	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84a054…
05-18 20:59:35	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6629b8…
05-18 16:06:37	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4947b…
05-18 15:55:09	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa3b1a8…
05-18 12:32:25	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5caae9…
05-18 11:51:12	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x593e36…
05-18 11:12:03	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1e2709…
05-18 11:07:02	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5574ca…
05-18 10:54:53	Will Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x57be58…
05-18 10:33:16	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa6de5d…
05-18 10:24:33	Will Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f96bc…
05-18 08:06:14	Will Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1416b8…
05-18 07:53:07	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa49cbd…
05-18 06:29:57	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xeaafe0…
05-18 05:58:03	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd45b31…
05-18 05:40:19	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x99708c…
05-18 05:33:56	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x130aa9…
05-18 05:17:37	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2c1835…
05-18 04:28:58	Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x69f2f4…
05-18 02:39:24	Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x73d2a3…
05-18 01:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x87f52d…
05-17 23:04:26	Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe95368…
05-17 22:01:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x85d7d4…
05-17 21:41:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf79299…
05-17 20:52:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xac53ec…
05-17 19:35:01	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda9a1a…
05-17 18:14:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x33d254…
05-17 17:00:09	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4e0ebd…
05-17 15:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf7e15a…
05-17 15:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1de470…
05-17 15:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc92511…
05-17 13:40:47	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x39233a…
05-17 10:01:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6053fc…
05-17 06:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x649b04…
05-17 06:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xae3111…
05-17 05:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 17?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xa83f57…
05-17 05:23:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd04907…
05-17 05:08:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xdd6790…
05-17 04:04:20	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x949c1f…
05-17 02:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa78cf3…
05-17 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9b1467…
05-17 00:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x623014…
05-16 23:25:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x767964…
05-16 22:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 17?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2b7ce4…
05-16 21:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xc15f4b…
05-16 21:16:48	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc125ee…
05-16 21:16:48	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9e1aed…
05-16 20:54:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd489ff…
05-16 20:54:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1dc874…
05-16 19:03:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfbec75…
05-16 17:21:43	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x28ea24…
05-16 15:06:14	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3b6bfb…
05-16 14:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5e8441…
05-16 12:44:52	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8587e8…
05-16 12:31:02	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x97131c…
05-16 12:23:39	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x937941…