Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 5?
open
Total volume
$305
$4,715 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$3,279
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 16:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $10 | $295 | $285 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 7 | — | $183 | $183 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 9 | $0 | $82 | $82 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legitimate-Look 0x26fc…4c27 | Yes | +1,111 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-05 12:10 |
| Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 06:50 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 15:54 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Burdensome-Pagan 0x2bb8…411e | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-05 01:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-05 16:07 |
| Front-Meantime 0x599b…2cec | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-05 02:05 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 09:30 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 01:00 |
| Perfumed-Run 0x54fb…ce30 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:34 |
| Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 12:10 |
| Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 12:10 |
| Quick-Wild 0x6856…db62 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 06:15 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 08:05 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 09:31 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 09:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 16:27:38 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6eee48… |
| 05-05 16:07:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x340a9f… |
| 05-05 15:54:56 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5c5b41… |
| 05-05 15:32:22 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x161f5b… |
| 05-05 15:17:22 | Cheap-Beneficiary 0x5046…7676 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b86d4… |
| 05-05 12:10:24 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5bcda9… |
| 05-05 12:10:22 | Legitimate-Look 0x26fc…4c27 | Yes | BUY | 556 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x0678d3… |
| 05-05 12:10:22 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf8fad5… |
| 05-05 12:10:22 | Legitimate-Look 0x26fc…4c27 | Yes | BUY | 556 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x1641a2… |
| 05-05 09:31:22 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f8723… |
| 05-05 09:31:16 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xbf3c51… |
| 05-05 09:31:12 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x349db5… |
| 05-05 09:31:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x245f71… |
| 05-05 09:30:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bb93f… |
| 05-05 09:30:10 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x01248a… |
| 05-05 08:05:14 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x560985… |
| 05-05 07:50:20 | Perfumed-Run 0x54fb…ce30 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xab5b89… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f0a3a… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe32550… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f127d… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68d9e2… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb9ca8… |
| 05-05 06:50:16 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xd92b01… |
| 05-05 06:15:44 | Quick-Wild 0x6856…db62 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x0e06ff… |
| 05-05 04:00:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ec584… |
| 05-05 02:05:22 | Front-Meantime 0x599b…2cec | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x868807… |
| 05-05 01:54:58 | Burdensome-Pagan 0x2bb8…411e | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x129ffd… |
| 05-05 01:00:10 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x69de68… |
| 05-04 21:34:30 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x257c7c… |