Foolish-Effector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

427

Trades

790

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-28 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

78% 85% +$3

Crypto

18% 85% +$1

Politics

3% 75% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Sports

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	3	$134	67	67	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	4	$110	55	55	+0	No	+$0	07-21 15:14
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	4	$103	52	52	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?	7	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	05-26 03:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	3	$87	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-27 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 29?	3	$85	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-28 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	4	$75	54	22	+32	No	+$0	07-10 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 26?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-26 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 25?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-24 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 20?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 03:02
xrp above 1pt4 on july 23 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-21 15:14
will russia capture stavky by july 31	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-30 17:15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-22 22:59
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 19:45
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-19 07:36
will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-31 09:27
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 4?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-03 14:34
greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-31 03:17
will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-30 17:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-29 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on July 24?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 10:10
bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-26 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 11:10
Will ALO be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on July 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-30 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:17:31	Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xca8c4e…
10-19 20:19:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe58ac5…
10-19 03:23:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf1055…
10-13 15:39:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x830375…
10-13 09:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x064f7f…
10-12 13:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbaa9ea…
10-12 09:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa3e766…
10-12 09:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xa341c5…
10-12 00:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf9ee98…
10-11 23:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3f7b18…
10-10 06:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x54ec72…
10-10 03:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7a2a4c…
10-02 00:08:39	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9be047…
10-01 22:32:05	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7ed293…
10-01 05:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x941f7d…
09-28 03:37:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfceec…
09-27 19:04:17	bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa2da48…
09-23 10:12:31	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x97bba6…
09-23 05:14:52	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3d3bc8…
09-23 03:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x0c8cca…
09-22 23:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xec9183…
09-21 20:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x89174d…
09-18 17:17:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb77b25…
09-18 02:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x510f6d…
09-13 04:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on September 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x978468…
09-11 01:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x822257…
09-07 17:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on September 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaf88ce…
09-06 21:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xabe616…
09-06 06:55:51	Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1fe67…
09-05 09:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x38eb76…
09-05 04:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1a49a…
09-04 20:12:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5269f1…
09-04 17:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe937a7…
09-04 10:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf8d4e1…
09-04 00:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe657cf…
09-03 22:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x636368…
09-03 05:17:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xdbea11…
09-02 14:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x187d30…
09-02 11:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x09a9fb…
09-02 05:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 2?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb16212…
09-01 11:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x810283…
09-01 03:14:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x217af2…
08-31 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b7f20…
08-31 01:20:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0f7d2d…
08-30 19:26:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe7cee1…
08-30 13:43:34	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd8bca4…
08-29 23:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcd3598…
08-29 19:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd8131…
08-29 07:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdd1aa5…
08-28 21:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe6c67a…
08-28 19:33:03	Will "Hazel Eyes" - Sam Smith first week album sales be between 25k and 30k?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe5c9bd…
08-27 09:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7012a1…
08-27 07:02:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd940f5…
08-26 22:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf0b5b4…
08-26 19:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa354e…
08-26 17:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ac898…
08-26 09:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb431e5…
08-25 09:42:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdb2ef1…
08-25 04:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xda29ae…
08-24 21:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc6ef18…
08-24 19:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x2a36c8…
08-24 07:31:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x825209…
08-24 03:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe9983b…
08-23 19:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x83ae7a…
08-14 15:54:37	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x05f1f1…
08-14 06:18:31	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8d825c…
08-13 17:51:54	ethereum above 1600 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdbe2d7…
08-13 16:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf9740f…
08-13 10:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf3128…
08-13 07:27:18	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbe4211…
08-12 23:03:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x143a6e…
08-12 06:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbe01cc…
08-12 01:46:22	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x580edf…
08-11 23:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf3ad1e…
08-11 14:48:46	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbefcdb…
08-11 13:22:31	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07b4e7…
08-10 23:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcafd29…
08-10 20:39:37	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe58c32…
08-10 13:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb6e565…
08-10 11:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7988c8…
08-09 12:22:03	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x584205…
08-09 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfac7bc…
08-09 05:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xadaeef…
08-09 03:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x377711…
08-08 17:42:15	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x615203…
08-08 07:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x283b4d…
08-08 00:46:13	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xba543a…
08-07 20:03:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2efa64…
08-07 16:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5df833…
08-07 10:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x20cb94…
08-07 10:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x878d81…
08-06 06:25:48	bitcoin above 58k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb30ed8…
08-06 03:42:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x32404d…
08-06 00:12:42	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7bca94…
08-05 21:29:54	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6d922d…
08-05 17:40:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f6ab3…
08-05 15:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x404a5c…
07-31 09:27:38	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x740c2d…
07-31 05:10:27	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb8cf46…
07-31 03:17:27	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6b09e3…