Bold-Carry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-08 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Crypto

31% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 23:44
ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	06-08 22:16
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 9c	5	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 11:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 06:19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-31 02:24
highest temperature in los angeles on april 19 2026 55forbelow	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 10:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-28 13:22
will im the problem morgan wallen be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 25	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 10:11
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-31 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 25?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 21:27
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 13:36
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 19corhigher	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 02:35
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 00:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 21:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 16?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 22:59
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	3	$29	15	15	-0	open	—	05-01 03:35
highest temperature in manila on april 20 2026 39corhigher	5	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 08:42
will xrp dip to 1pt3 on april 17	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 02:54
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 58 59f	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 14:08
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 26c	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 14:12
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-21 18:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-27 08:52
will bitcoin reach 82k on april 21	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 02:36
lowest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 4c	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 17:52
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29corhigher	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 17:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 16:19
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 12:51
will another outcome occur in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	3	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 22:10
highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 28c	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-22 02:38
will elizabeth taylor taylor swift be the billboard hot 100 1 song for the week of april 25	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:16:21	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1a5305…
06-08 17:49:54	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x52587a…
06-01 17:56:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc57e3b…
06-01 13:36:55	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x45a2d7…
06-01 11:54:06	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb425d8…
05-31 23:44:33	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcbaf25…
05-31 22:23:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xadb263…
05-31 21:05:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x60d562…
05-31 02:24:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf30642…
05-31 00:50:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe8afdb…
05-30 14:37:03	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x6ef548…
05-29 15:36:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf88935…
05-29 01:58:05	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0a8110…
05-28 23:09:23	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd87d2c…
05-28 21:22:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x73376c…
05-28 16:58:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4cff76…
05-28 13:22:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xba2e55…
05-28 13:04:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x87c1c3…
05-28 09:53:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8337f8…
05-27 08:52:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x844825…
05-26 16:21:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xe4c2bc…
05-25 09:45:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95c29d…
05-25 06:19:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xba84b4…
05-25 06:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8516dd…
05-22 07:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb7636e…
05-21 18:35:56	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf99e40…
05-21 07:58:58	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x93cc1d…
05-20 17:32:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8b1c4d…
05-19 12:13:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c3fce…
05-16 22:59:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb3421f…
05-16 18:55:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x081ee7…
05-16 02:47:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c9049…
05-15 00:04:51	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x62a3d9…
05-14 23:57:46	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02e04f…
05-14 22:01:28	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7e4442…
05-14 16:44:35	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x40df51…
05-10 13:28:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x497b8c…
05-10 10:17:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x558f74…
05-08 16:19:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x908f8d…
05-08 12:23:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd4b92b…
05-07 23:29:20	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x261d4f…
05-07 22:24:07	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f026f…
05-04 12:52:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x95e4c9…
05-01 10:26:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x07ccef…
05-01 03:35:44	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe06610…
05-01 03:06:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc48e60…
04-30 20:05:40	Will Microsoft reach $450 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xb8408c…
04-30 16:06:14	Will Microsoft reach $450 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x5d45d8…
04-30 12:51:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xff2fb0…
04-30 08:01:18	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4c1648…
04-29 10:50:46	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa5776…
04-28 17:41:20	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x29ca3f…
04-27 21:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -3°C or below on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x36f117…
04-27 14:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7fd486…
04-27 13:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x25313d…
04-27 13:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x53c393…
04-27 11:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -3°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37a373…
04-26 13:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb5ac6a…
04-26 11:11:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdac6a5…
04-26 07:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa17aa3…
04-25 01:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x342dd9…
04-24 21:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2701e7…
04-24 20:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96560d…
04-24 18:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 25?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x270b0f…
04-24 18:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9c0766…
04-24 17:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2380fc…
04-24 12:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c5644…
04-24 11:41:00	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 9c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcb4a5b…
04-24 11:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaebeae…
04-24 11:16:22	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 9c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x839c14…
04-24 10:41:06	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 9c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa27794…
04-24 10:28:18	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 9c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x46caba…
04-24 10:01:18	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 20corhigher	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8929f4…
04-24 10:01:14	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 20corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9cadfd…
04-24 10:00:34	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 20corhigher	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0e4cab…
04-24 09:27:04	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 9c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x63b79a…
04-24 07:57:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x871d9d…
04-24 07:33:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27f58d…
04-23 17:56:28	highest temperature in jakarta on april 23 2026 37corhigher	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0e8b13…
04-23 17:55:12	highest temperature in san francisco on april 23 2026 54 55f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbaf66b…
04-23 17:53:58	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29corhigher	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf3cb0a…
04-23 17:52:54	lowest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 4c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x349ecd…
04-23 14:04:50	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x1603fc…
04-23 03:51:44	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2bcff4…
04-23 02:44:58	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29corhigher	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x72a9fa…
04-22 23:48:46	lowest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 4c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb59396…
04-22 23:00:06	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd47a1…
04-22 22:39:14	highest temperature in jakarta on april 23 2026 37corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xf09159…
04-22 22:24:34	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x02ca29…
04-22 19:42:40	highest temperature in chongqing on april 23 2026 21c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xed1853…
04-22 18:01:14	highest temperature in san francisco on april 23 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe919f9…
04-22 14:12:24	highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 26c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x709a68…
04-22 11:31:50	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4ba50a…
04-22 05:23:02	highest temperature in helsinki on april 22 2026 8c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2514fb…
04-22 04:18:26	highest temperature in munich on april 22 2026 11c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53f71e…
04-22 04:10:26	highest temperature in munich on april 22 2026 11c	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6b8ab1…
04-22 04:10:26	highest temperature in munich on april 22 2026 11c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x654a73…
04-22 04:02:50	highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 26c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xab2fa2…
04-22 02:38:18	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 28c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x19f0b9…
04-22 02:36:46	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 21	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x49e38e…