Bold-Carry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

438

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-16 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

76% 79% +$2

Crypto

17% 80% +$0

Politics

4% 73% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	3	$124	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-21 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	3	$101	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-25 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 10?	3	$99	49	49	+0	No	+$0	07-10 14:08
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	3	$92	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	07-20 21:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 26?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-26 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 12:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 26?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-25 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on July 24?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-23 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 26?	5	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 12:34
will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-26 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 25?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:15
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 12:10
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-31 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on July 10?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-10 14:10
xrp above 1pt2 on july 28 2026	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-28 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	6	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-24 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on July 11?	6	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-11 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 30?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:56
will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-24 20:20
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	4	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-26 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 18:32
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-27 08:47
will googl reach 390 by july 6 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-10 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 19?	6	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 06:22
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-30 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on July 25?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 06:16
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 04:44:10	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8357ff…
10-13 15:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x732013…
10-13 09:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xea84d2…
10-12 15:37:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x832e35…
10-12 15:37:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1bfe64…
10-12 07:31:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x545c44…
10-12 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x22aba2…
10-12 04:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x83ba25…
10-12 04:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4d4284…
10-12 02:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4acf1f…
10-11 18:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc043b6…
10-10 08:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0f1804…
10-07 20:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa1fe31…
10-05 08:14:01	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6313f2…
10-02 01:37:08	bitcoin above 90k on october 2 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xee8476…
10-01 22:50:35	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf51d8b…
10-01 05:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3d2baa…
09-28 04:26:08	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xccdac4…
09-27 21:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf4de77…
09-23 07:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x823ae3…
09-23 04:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3760a4…
09-23 01:03:49	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xac24ab…
09-22 20:59:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1ca91b…
09-22 20:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4321d9…
09-21 21:38:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa65d9e…
09-18 23:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x231866…
09-18 00:12:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x84d580…
09-17 12:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x995f0c…
09-13 03:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 102°F or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdd898d…
09-11 21:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x06170f…
09-11 02:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x23f3a0…
09-10 19:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb8d60b…
09-07 15:13:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8196a1…
09-06 21:26:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe724a2…
09-06 08:08:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd133d9…
09-05 23:10:30	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x2c5b2d…
09-05 05:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe71883…
09-05 02:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6eec07…
09-04 23:12:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on September 4?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7fe34a…
09-04 18:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7704e5…
09-04 11:23:34	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8ea794…
09-04 05:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x891420…
09-03 21:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbbcc43…
09-03 12:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x71331a…
09-02 22:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd29b25…
09-02 20:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3d3734…
09-02 09:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x095805…
09-02 07:01:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xeb5655…
09-02 01:27:01	Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x39006c…
09-01 11:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8d687d…
09-01 04:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa2ab32…
08-31 03:10:34	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5eed52…
08-31 01:32:15	Kash Patel out by August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb32aaf…
08-30 19:54:31	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf1610…
08-30 12:11:49	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0e2511…
08-30 08:16:13	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3ed6e6…
08-29 18:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd7d02f…
08-29 07:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa75e50…
08-28 15:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3b0c27…
08-28 12:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaa95cf…
08-27 10:22:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73cbff…
08-27 04:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x89a872…
08-27 03:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a153b…
08-26 20:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8cac7f…
08-26 15:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8dd6c5…
08-26 08:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x95903d…
08-25 09:44:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x075de7…
08-25 03:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xb2d6a3…
08-24 23:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1c810e…
08-24 22:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd98950…
08-24 11:23:33	Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x20b6d6…
08-24 02:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x86c90b…
08-23 18:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1d36da…
08-23 15:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcef3f1…
08-14 15:38:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xccbde7…
08-13 18:38:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07aa51…
08-13 18:07:36	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 200k and 240k?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf9766b…
08-13 08:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x53453a…
08-13 05:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x07401f…
08-12 21:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa7e988…
08-12 06:05:30	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x260068…
08-12 05:00:06	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x393cfa…
08-11 22:43:13	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf30bf2…
08-11 22:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf05387…
08-11 13:51:37	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6aad7…
08-10 23:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0fa447…
08-10 20:00:28	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc07c0b…
08-10 13:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x71a1d7…
08-10 12:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xe2568b…
08-09 17:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xefa35a…
08-09 07:28:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8a7aa7…
08-09 05:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 9?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x77b71d…
08-09 03:25:12	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x3028c9…
08-08 18:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x39af4d…
08-08 08:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf82182…
08-08 06:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x455e5e…
08-07 22:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc04275…
08-07 15:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x550b1a…
08-07 10:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1096cf…
08-07 09:58:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x93a838…