Normal-Moonlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

433

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

72% 82% +$2

Crypto

22% 83% +$1

Politics

4% 85% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$117	58	58	+0	No	$0	07-24 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	4	$97	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-20 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 29?	3	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	05-29 02:27
Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	5	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	05-15 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 26?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-25 19:37
bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-24 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 25?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-25 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:52
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-30 00:27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on July 28?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 21:06
ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 22?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 19:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-17 13:30
will solana reach 90 in july 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-31 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on July 21?	5	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 18?	5	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-18 01:01
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-11 18:43
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:21
bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on July 30?	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-29 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-13 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-22 06:52
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-31 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on July 22?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 13:25
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 06:40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 23?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:37
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on July 20?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-19 14:32
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-27 21:08
will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-24 16:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	2	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	09-01 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x800416…
10-18 21:07:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x582c8c…
10-16 10:06:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x042796…
10-13 13:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x6d09ba…
10-13 08:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8f565b…
10-12 13:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x54d41f…
10-12 08:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3611c6…
10-12 07:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x207b48…
10-12 02:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x37c184…
10-11 22:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x536b30…
10-11 21:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc8f170…
10-11 19:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x344ada…
10-10 09:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xe684f4…
10-10 02:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x64ffc0…
10-05 09:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe9c6fe…
10-02 02:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfab8e0…
10-01 21:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x0970d2…
10-01 04:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x16ff7d…
09-28 03:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf8adcd…
09-27 21:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x980428…
09-23 03:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4657f…
09-23 01:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1836ff…
09-22 22:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5c80e…
09-22 13:28:52	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41df2d…
09-22 12:48:40	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x7a92a9…
09-21 21:07:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x50d9a6…
09-18 17:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5162f0…
09-17 23:34:57	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x450f21…
09-17 12:15:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x929ef1…
09-13 04:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0e872f…
09-11 18:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcd6dc3…
09-11 18:43:39	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x1c03dd…
09-11 02:17:04	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa59140…
09-10 20:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3b20f9…
09-07 15:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x663324…
09-06 14:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x655a60…
09-06 09:20:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x59390e…
09-05 22:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3df1fa…
09-05 09:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x799873…
09-05 03:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0fe3be…
09-04 20:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x240db1…
09-04 16:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2eb916…
09-04 06:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb407e5…
09-04 01:26:16	will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd99cdf…
09-03 21:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe20f6b…
09-03 07:28:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3e2f69…
09-03 04:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa9af12…
09-02 15:41:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe331b0…
09-02 10:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3c9bcb…
09-02 08:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ffccc…
09-01 13:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2450c9…
09-01 06:24:28	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6400da…
09-01 03:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb16bfe…
08-31 04:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8a1d08…
08-31 01:59:54	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in August?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9b24c0…
08-30 18:36:00	Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xceabec…
08-30 16:20:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5afc57…
08-30 05:40:54	ethereum above 2700 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1a50d0…
08-29 18:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x36a6a0…
08-28 20:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1855ec…
08-28 17:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c44b1…
08-28 06:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8209d2…
08-27 13:52:51	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0e5c14…
08-27 04:39:16	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd78c11…
08-27 03:05:45	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be at least 0.8%?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd7637f…
08-26 20:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x39c154…
08-26 16:06:01	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcc4834…
08-25 14:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x52aeda…
08-25 10:19:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6f9a97…
08-25 06:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3b86cd…
08-25 01:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6427d2…
08-24 18:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xac575d…
08-24 08:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37c412…
08-23 23:18:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x05a25f…
08-23 19:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x456e0e…
08-14 19:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe9aa1e…
08-14 09:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x915942…
08-13 18:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf6339d…
08-13 14:58:36	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4272f0…
08-13 09:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdf7fc…
08-13 06:31:52	solana above 70 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x3e3ce0…
08-12 22:22:01	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc157bc…
08-12 03:58:52	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e4e0a…
08-11 22:55:45	xrp above 0pt9 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b4cb9…
08-11 19:56:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3be13d…
08-11 12:33:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdab7b3…
08-10 22:04:03	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc9aebd…
08-10 20:35:31	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 10	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd82774…
08-10 13:04:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2a43c6…
08-10 12:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x4ff14a…
08-09 13:45:00	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3faae8…
08-09 06:41:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x0501a2…
08-09 05:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x643b45…
08-09 02:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xca62eb…
08-08 17:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd1cb36…
08-08 04:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x84a127…
08-08 00:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2591fe…
08-07 19:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x97ea7a…
08-07 16:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xbeb4e9…
08-07 13:06:03	ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9dd47d…