Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$2,741
$15 in 24h
Trades
79
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$747
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 19:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $8 | $359 | $350 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $7 | $513 | $506 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $6 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $105 | $102 |
| Median | 18 | $3 | $480 | $477 |
| Below median | 22 | $3 | $375 | $372 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +1,711 | $1,709 | $1,709 | 1 | 05-16 18:16 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +150 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 05-16 03:44 |
| Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | +142 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:04 |
| Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | +140 | $140 | $140 | 2 | 05-16 16:01 |
| Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | +138 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:55 |
| Weary-Put 0x319e…c80b | No | +132 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 05-16 17:13 |
| Junior-Endpoint 0xa92f…c678 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 17:14 |
| Automatic-Pillbox 0x5069…3079 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 17:15 |
| Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-16 17:06 |
| Sure-Footed-Protocol 0xbffc…ad3c | No | +83 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-16 17:13 |
| Vibrant-Publisher 0x47dc…6663 | Yes | +75 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:07 |
| Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | Yes | +63 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +44 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 05-15 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c0f…652e | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | Yes | +37 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 17:46 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 18:01 |
| Ugly-Elongation 0x58d9…6b67 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-16 19:01 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Bronze-Legislator 0x29b1…9a6d | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 17:18 |
| Strong-Monument 0x97c5…48c4 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-16 16:21 |
| Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 09:15 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-16 17:37 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 17:37 |
| Double-Dose 0x098e…9209 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:55 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 18:14 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 02:19 |
| Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 07:14 |
| Quixotic-Bacterium 0xe418…28b5 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2242…89bc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:14 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 19:10:13 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36a860… |
| 05-16 19:09:20 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9abf7a… |
| 05-16 19:01:57 | Ugly-Elongation 0x58d9…6b67 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2b2a45… |
| 05-16 18:55:55 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 138 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2778c3… |
| 05-16 18:16:52 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 1,711 | 100¢ | $1,709 | 0x8a00db… |
| 05-16 17:46:53 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2c07d0… |
| 05-16 17:46:46 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeebd61… |
| 05-16 17:37:00 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6f21d8… |
| 05-16 17:37:00 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x111cf0… |
| 05-16 17:36:58 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x626e49… |
| 05-16 17:21:39 | Ugly-Elongation 0x58d9…6b67 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xfe34dd… |
| 05-16 17:18:02 | Bronze-Legislator 0x29b1…9a6d | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xf228e8… |
| 05-16 17:17:01 | Orderly-Proximity 0x5452…b7b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc18213… |
| 05-16 17:15:07 | Automatic-Pillbox 0x5069…3079 | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x4fb295… |
| 05-16 17:14:51 | Junior-Endpoint 0xa92f…c678 | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0xca826b… |
| 05-16 17:13:13 | Sure-Footed-Protocol 0xbffc…ad3c | No | BUY | 83 | 96¢ | $80 | 0x57e973… |
| 05-16 17:13:05 | Weary-Put 0x319e…c80b | No | BUY | 132 | 96¢ | $127 | 0xe1f208… |
| 05-16 17:07:46 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xa6e0b2… |
| 05-16 17:07:46 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xdade90… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdebce1… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x503e7f… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x52fc33… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf0b1ca… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Ecstatic-Ornament 0xdb26…2603 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x1c2961… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x13e6b9… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9e4503… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdbafaa… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3e58e5… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd41d01… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xaff9be… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x51e1f9… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x46e6d8… |
| 05-16 17:07:43 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xff6392… |
| 05-16 17:07:41 | Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | Yes | BUY | 63 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x182095… |
| 05-16 17:07:41 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5686bd… |
| 05-16 17:07:41 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4001e2… |
| 05-16 17:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x3c0f…652e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xea1dd6… |
| 05-16 17:07:37 | Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xfc93ef… |
| 05-16 17:07:36 | Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x5f949a… |
| 05-16 17:07:29 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xc739e6… |
| 05-16 17:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x2242…89bc | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe8b3f4… |
| 05-16 17:06:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x553515… |
| 05-16 17:06:43 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x090477… |
| 05-16 17:06:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2ece7… |
| 05-16 17:06:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x47659e… |
| 05-16 17:06:19 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfd372c… |
| 05-16 17:06:12 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf5879d… |
| 05-16 17:02:59 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x890ae6… |
| 05-16 16:40:04 | Quixotic-Bacterium 0xe418…28b5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd750f… |
| 05-16 16:21:55 | Strong-Monument 0x97c5…48c4 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x7d0589… |
| 05-16 16:17:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x600877… |
| 05-16 16:17:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684474… |
| 05-16 16:17:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa72e77… |
| 05-16 16:13:00 | Winding-Pack 0x4876…22e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc871f7… |
| 05-16 16:04:53 | Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | BUY | 142 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1b0b15… |
| 05-16 16:01:06 | Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0xe99a6d… |
| 05-16 15:01:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8dda6d… |
| 05-16 13:33:45 | Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | BUY | 68 | 100¢ | $68 | 0x3530ac… |
| 05-16 06:24:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd42366… |
| 05-16 03:44:12 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x342569… |
| 05-16 02:19:14 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x72a2a5… |
| 05-15 20:43:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51b51b… |
| 05-15 20:35:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45472a… |
| 05-15 20:35:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xd81398… |
| 05-15 20:33:33 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x438592… |
| 05-15 18:07:40 | Vibrant-Publisher 0x47dc…6663 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbe98c5… |
| 05-15 18:01:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x8e1eb6… |
| 05-15 18:01:51 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x92ba19… |
| 05-15 09:15:12 | Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf3be76… |
| 05-15 07:24:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x2023ca… |
| 05-15 07:14:30 | Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5a83ed… |
| 05-14 20:14:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x55cb24… |
| 05-14 19:39:31 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x08b482… |
| 05-14 18:14:35 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9d5060… |
| 05-14 18:04:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x5afb3c… |
| 05-14 17:32:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72e478… |
| 05-14 15:38:33 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x19ec89… |
| 05-14 14:14:24 | Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xafbff6… |
| 05-14 05:55:46 | Double-Dose 0x098e…9209 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xccc523… |