Ugly-Elongation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

2,235

Trades

3,791

lifetime

Volume

$44.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-25 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

98% 95% +$98

Sports

2% 94% +$1

Crypto

0% 50% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	12	$418	160	260	-100	India	+$1	03-08 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 27?	4	$179	90	90	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 10?	5	$140	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 27?	4	$139	70	70	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 17:15
nhl utah las 2026 03 19	6	$133	67	67	+0	Utah	+$2	03-20 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?	3	$120	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 4?	5	$115	58	58	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?	6	$110	57	57	+0	Yes	-$2	07-11 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?	4	$100	78	25	+53	No	+$1	07-03 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-19 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-03 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-21 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	3	$99	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-04 09:59
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	5	$99	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	04-22 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-15 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 8?	4	$97	49	49	+0	Yes	+$1	07-08 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	4	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	06-18 15:37
highest temperature in lucknow on april 24 2026 43c	7	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-24 17:59
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	10	$94	75	48	+27	Yes	+$6	03-09 08:19
nba cle orl 2026 03 11	7	$91	46	46	+0	Magic	+$1	03-12 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	5	$86	45	45	+0	No	-$3	04-25 16:07
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 28corhigher	4	$82	55	27	+28	No	+$0	04-24 10:30
highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 56 57f	2	$82	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 10?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?	3	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?	2	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 17:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-22 17:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?	6	$79	80	0	+80	Yes	+$1	06-18 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	6	$77	43	43	+0	Yes	-$7	07-08 11:34
highest temperature in lucknow on april 21 2026 41c	3	$76	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x99c15f…
10-25 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xac1046…
10-25 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xe78a47…
10-25 14:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbc7dbc…
10-25 12:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4057be…
10-25 11:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x269d05…
10-25 08:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa095f9…
10-25 07:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x68fc34…
10-25 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x953b75…
10-25 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x196311…
10-25 05:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe579c6…
10-25 04:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xf94034…
10-25 04:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe8e009…
10-24 18:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x8017bb…
10-24 18:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x3ab525…
10-24 18:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfe14f3…
10-24 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	61	44¢	$27	0xdfe5dd…
10-24 18:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x1f5aec…
10-24 18:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xffe03e…
09-24 16:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2ad1dc…
09-24 05:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 25?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd448c6…
09-24 04:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 25?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1a4704…
09-24 04:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x89adbf…
09-24 02:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 24?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x56254c…
09-24 02:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5e93da…
09-24 02:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46a4dc…
09-24 02:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6fead…
09-23 19:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc7c742…
09-23 19:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x084f62…
09-23 12:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 23?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x52719f…
09-23 10:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe26003…
09-23 10:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb5a1d8…
09-23 05:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x35c851…
09-23 05:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xd21e0b…
09-23 05:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x896c82…
09-23 05:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x664db4…
07-31 06:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa89c75…
07-31 06:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdac6d8…
07-31 06:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4d0c73…
07-31 06:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcbaa87…
07-31 06:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8b6585…
07-31 06:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca34d3…
07-31 06:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x509b28…
07-31 06:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x34912c…
07-26 11:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x45537b…
07-26 09:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8db010…
07-26 08:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x004719…
07-25 15:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf1f669…
07-25 15:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb3ec15…
07-25 14:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb0b273…
07-25 14:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0e93d4…
07-25 13:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe5965f…
07-25 13:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xfee96b…
07-25 13:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x41c555…
07-25 13:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5bb375…
07-25 12:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf57ddc…
07-25 12:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x13a709…
07-25 12:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8ac595…
07-25 12:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x77205d…
07-25 12:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 25?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9bed6f…
07-25 12:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7a5882…
07-25 07:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x1e2a59…
07-25 07:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x9dbcd8…
07-25 07:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 25?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd745c3…
07-25 07:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef6f1c…
07-25 06:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc67212…
07-25 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x698fe8…
07-25 06:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 25?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xda11f9…
07-25 06:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2feab…
07-25 06:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d9998…
07-25 06:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 25?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd9b660…
07-25 06:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x626a2e…
07-24 16:24:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e6fef…
07-24 16:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6ff243…
07-24 15:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x0e2cdd…
07-24 15:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7e398e…
07-24 15:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x38faf8…
07-24 14:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x341fa1…
07-24 14:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02c0ea…
07-24 14:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x937668…
07-24 14:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3ce781…
07-24 13:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfce4f2…
07-24 13:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a75ae…
07-24 13:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x366ce8…
07-24 13:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x585722…
07-24 13:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d4b63…
07-24 13:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5726ad…
07-24 12:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54aa12…
07-24 12:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x05bbec…
07-24 12:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 24?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x26d3a1…
07-24 12:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa07c58…
07-24 12:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x45c252…
07-24 11:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x77c87c…
07-24 11:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6150f8…
07-24 09:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10bc52…
07-24 09:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x330b46…
07-24 09:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x69b7b6…
07-24 09:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaeaf56…
07-24 09:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x876c83…
07-24 08:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53cff9…