Quixotic-Bacterium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

457

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-22 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

75% 66% +$107

Politics

16% 69% -$109

Sports

7% 67% +$13

Pop-Culture

2% 57% +$43

Crypto

0% 20% -$11

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No		+7	$5	100¢	$7	+$2	05-21 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	1	$111	124	+124	No	+$13	05-17 04:07
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$88	89	+89	No	+$1	05-21 20:40
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$52	100	+100	Yes	-$52	05-21 00:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?	4	$51	63	+63	No	-$15	05-21 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 17?	1	$48	49	+49	No	+$1	05-17 16:06
Will John Hsu be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?	1	$47	48	+48	No	+$1	05-22 03:06
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$45	58	+58	No	+$13	05-21 14:28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$42	50	+50	Yes	-$42	05-17 16:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	3	$41	110	+110	Yes	+$69	05-18 01:11
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$40	86	+86	No	+$45	05-21 00:02
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	05-22 08:34
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	1	$38	50	+50	No	+$12	05-22 08:11
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-21 08:34
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-17 16:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	05-21 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?	1	$32	36	+36	No	+$4	05-17 18:50
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	1	$31	33	+33	Yes	-$31	05-21 17:53
Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	1	$31	33	+33	No	+$2	05-21 17:53
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$31	34	+34	Yes	-$31	05-18 00:04
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?	1	$29	30	+30	No	+$1	05-17 18:53
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	2	$27	155	+155	Yes	-$27	05-21 11:36
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	2	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-21 20:22
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-17 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	2	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-17 03:01
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	2	$25	26	+26	No	+$1	05-21 21:53
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-22 07:02
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-21 06:59
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-18 02:22
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$23	28	+28	No	+$5	05-22 01:27
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-18 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:32:52	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb616de…
05-22 11:25:29	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd521e4…
05-22 11:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x557178…
05-22 10:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb3843f…
05-22 10:52:02	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.3% and 2.6%?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc10fc…
05-22 10:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 23?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7a9801…
05-22 10:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe2c85e…
05-22 10:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x62d669…
05-22 09:51:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xf02cf9…
05-22 09:14:40	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xc9244f…
05-22 09:14:40	Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x921785…
05-22 09:06:32	Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x206aba…
05-22 09:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xad093d…
05-22 08:53:42	Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0ab934…
05-22 08:34:57	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4a5225…
05-22 08:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa8f1d3…
05-22 08:11:33	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xef1b0a…
05-22 08:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0d140…
05-22 07:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7362a0…
05-22 07:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x907028…
05-22 07:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x11ac17…
05-22 07:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x70be9a…
05-22 07:14:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3bbe4e…
05-22 07:10:30	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xa86f1e…
05-22 07:02:17	Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xac4ebb…
05-22 06:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1fbd16…
05-22 06:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x958921…
05-22 06:52:25	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x6d6d5d…
05-22 06:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96b506…
05-22 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebf258…
05-22 06:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d1512…
05-22 06:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6ba4a…
05-22 06:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xebbaee…
05-22 05:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa72346…
05-22 05:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x4e7abb…
05-22 05:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xbd45e0…
05-22 05:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x85e815…
05-22 05:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa6399f…
05-22 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x171e69…
05-22 05:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x10dcbc…
05-22 04:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9c194f…
05-22 04:31:07	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xfa5c24…
05-22 04:29:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xf42bcf…
05-22 04:16:30	Will Mexico vs. Ghana end in a draw?	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xb9210a…
05-22 03:58:39	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x34478d…
05-22 03:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on May 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd00a60…
05-22 03:36:38	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x2a8f38…
05-22 03:35:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x35313d…
05-22 03:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 22?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb734d2…
05-22 03:06:11	Will John Hsu be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x2b7857…
05-22 03:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x7ebc8c…
05-22 03:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x54f441…
05-22 02:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x219ff4…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf465ef…
05-22 02:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfa844c…
05-22 02:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6c5ea…
05-22 02:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7a06ce…
05-22 02:27:30	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x2c4663…
05-22 02:05:06	Will Niall Murphy win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x843dd4…
05-22 01:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x3c4089…
05-22 01:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc72a5c…
05-22 01:46:12	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x117988…
05-22 01:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1c9f42…
05-22 01:27:16	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x09718f…
05-22 01:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6935c6…
05-22 01:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4d7ab6…
05-22 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf71362…
05-22 01:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x01d339…
05-22 01:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x417e59…
05-22 00:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa4a2ec…
05-22 00:39:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf3d33e…
05-22 00:33:15	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xb90851…
05-22 00:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x428098…
05-22 00:17:44	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x2f77ce…
05-22 00:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbde4c9…
05-22 00:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x13bd1b…
05-22 00:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0c64…
05-22 00:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x15eb2f…
05-22 00:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xac25dc…
05-22 00:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4b96b…
05-22 00:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa07332…
05-22 00:01:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ec204…
05-21 23:46:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe0bc4f…
05-21 23:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90ab29…
05-21 23:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c8a4d…
05-21 23:13:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x444958…
05-21 23:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6bf64d…
05-21 22:48:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51a989…
05-21 22:41:12	Will Asaad Alnajjar finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb35e85…
05-21 22:27:28	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x222a22…
05-21 22:20:38	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd248e6…
05-21 22:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x5e6a6e…
05-21 22:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5ec056…
05-21 21:59:45	Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x646118…
05-21 21:53:46	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x41fe18…
05-21 21:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47c29e…
05-21 21:43:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x209141…
05-21 21:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17ce38…
05-21 21:34:26	Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x2a068e…
05-21 21:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x120236…