Vibrant-Publisher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

616

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$7.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-18 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

88% 29% -$25

Politics

10% 59% +$47

Sports

1% 19% -$22

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+31	$2	15¢	$5	+$3	05-15 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	5	$186	114	114	+0	Down	+$6	09-08 18:57
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$113	155	155	+0	No	+$33	01-23 20:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$10	04-22 21:36
tsla up or down on june 15 2026	3	$88	52	52	+0	Up	+$14	06-15 20:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$88	61	61	+0	Yes	-$12	02-18 17:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 1?	2	$86	47	47	+0	Down	+$6	09-01 17:57
spy up or down on june 17 2026	3	$84	55	55	+0	Down	+$24	06-17 19:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$77	119	63	+56	Yes	-$13	04-03 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?	4	$76	70	70	+0	Yes	+$64	05-17 04:14
will one piece season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week 552	4	$70	47	47	+0	No	+$9	03-29 12:54
googl up or down on june 18 2026	4	$70	42	42	+0	Up	+$11	06-18 19:03
spy up or down on september 11 2026	2	$68	38	38	+0	Up	+$8	09-11 17:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$67	40	40	+0	No	+$7	04-22 21:37
spx up or down on september 14 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	09-14 20:26
spy up or down on june 12 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	06-12 19:54
nvda up or down on june 11 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	06-11 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16?	4	$60	61	61	+0	Yes	+$52	05-16 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?	3	$60	55	55	+0	Yes	+$40	05-09 11:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	2	$58	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	09-09 19:05
tsla up or down on june 18 2026	3	$56	70	20	+50	Up	-$44	06-18 19:25
nflx up or down on june 18 2026	2	$55	35	35	+0	Up	+$15	06-18 20:00
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	+$44	02-24 21:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	2	$54	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	09-01 17:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	2	$53	33	33	+0	Down	+$13	09-15 19:15
spy up or down on june 16 2026	2	$52	33	33	+0	Down	+$12	06-16 18:39
lol navi fnc 2026 01 19	2	$51	50	50	+0	Fnatic	+$49	01-19 17:19
spx up or down on september 3 2026	2	$51	31	31	+0	Up	+$11	09-03 22:07
ucl atm bog1 2026 01 28 bog1	2	$50	45	45	+0	Yes	+$40	01-28 22:07
aapl up or down on june 22 2026	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	-$50	06-22 19:00
spx up or down on july 28 2026	2	$50	30	30	+0	Up	+$10	07-28 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 14:25:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x0d9431…
09-16 16:21:59	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x4faff4…
09-16 12:48:06	spy up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9ea23b…
09-15 19:15:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x520c8a…
09-15 12:34:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa3f365…
09-14 20:26:19	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x944caa…
09-14 15:48:03	spy up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xc51277…
09-14 15:47:34	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x03100e…
09-11 17:51:43	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xc2d36a…
09-11 10:53:07	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x18f858…
09-10 07:28:36	xauusd up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8362c5…
09-09 19:05:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xadbe9d…
09-09 19:04:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x85e3de…
09-09 12:58:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x0c515b…
09-09 11:03:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xefb036…
09-08 18:58:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x58d36e…
09-08 18:57:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xee26ec…
09-08 18:57:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x7f5193…
09-08 13:44:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xa0994e…
09-08 12:30:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0x8ecea3…
09-08 08:15:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x30b4b2…
09-08 08:14:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbded55…
09-07 11:30:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xa9201c…
09-04 14:20:49	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x89c75e…
09-03 22:07:51	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x46292e…
09-03 09:12:28	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf3669c…
09-01 17:57:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xede46b…
09-01 17:56:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x75b65e…
09-01 11:38:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x139a9e…
09-01 11:37:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xfd9253…
08-31 18:30:54	spy up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0xc5ef1f…
08-31 18:30:42	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe7d080…
08-31 13:42:07	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x69f8c6…
08-31 13:41:30	spy up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x59bceb…
08-28 17:36:01	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xb06deb…
08-28 17:35:33	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0xb74a25…
08-28 17:35:01	spy up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x9f3c90…
08-28 17:34:46	spy up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x2a739a…
08-28 14:04:58	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xcf2077…
08-28 14:04:25	spy up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x989add…
08-27 21:13:18	spx up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x0dd8d7…
08-27 13:12:03	spx up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x0010dc…
08-27 13:10:48	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x44fb9d…
08-25 10:53:28	spx up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xd1a356…
08-25 10:52:31	spy up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xa5ec53…
08-21 19:08:40	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x649039…
08-21 19:08:25	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa397be…
08-21 10:55:54	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x506c57…
08-21 10:54:22	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd302be…
08-20 09:06:52	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x011b4b…
08-19 11:25:10	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x71ff0b…
08-18 18:29:27	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xfea143…
08-18 18:29:13	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xb531b1…
08-18 10:22:07	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x7bf6a5…
08-18 10:21:28	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xce23a3…
08-13 18:57:42	spx up or down on august 13 2026	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8e1773…
08-13 18:55:19	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xef8642…
08-13 11:46:49	spx up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x848dda…
08-13 11:46:22	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x5aaf4f…
08-12 21:19:07	spx up or down on august 12 2026	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe2bdad…
08-12 14:02:28	spx up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x197165…
08-12 14:01:34	spy up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb29b54…
08-11 14:31:57	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6188a3…
08-07 14:13:33	spy up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe05911…
08-07 14:12:24	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x303e4a…
08-06 19:59:45	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x036d25…
08-06 16:44:42	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xff1720…
08-05 17:03:59	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb958d7…
08-05 12:48:27	spy up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xbc7785…
08-04 16:58:35	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x90ffa2…
08-04 06:36:59	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd4a275…
07-31 17:26:45	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x84b443…
07-31 17:04:21	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0xbc3fb3…
07-31 13:14:50	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x1be145…
07-31 13:14:08	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x20318c…
07-30 15:54:42	spy up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xb4cb09…
07-30 09:17:03	spy up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x1ab013…
07-29 17:23:30	spy up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x03c54b…
07-28 19:29:28	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xdf9407…
07-28 13:11:34	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb52fa7…
07-24 06:05:13	spx up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x645cc1…
07-22 14:18:09	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d342d…
07-22 09:44:42	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9fc7f1…
07-21 16:43:39	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x36fd2c…
07-21 06:09:36	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xeabe58…
07-20 16:09:01	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xae736f…
07-15 20:59:50	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x68b544…
07-15 10:25:05	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf6b5cd…
07-15 10:21:56	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa1c787…
07-13 14:54:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	48	17¢	$8	0x17803c…
07-13 14:53:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0xcc5e5e…
07-03 14:53:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd26da2…
06-25 10:08:32	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x3f89cb…
06-24 15:55:59	nvda up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x09a801…
06-24 15:32:20	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb69683…
06-24 15:27:05	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xc78af1…
06-24 11:52:02	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x89b60c…
06-23 20:09:04	aapl up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcc304f…
06-23 18:00:01	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x61e8ac…
06-23 17:58:43	aapl up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbdb0e0…