Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$594
$581 in 24h
Trades
84
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$1,325
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 13:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+60.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $9
vs crowd: 40% YES on $396)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $17 | $34 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $142 | $195 | $53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $10 | $14 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $28 | $4 | +$24 |
| Median | 10 | $2 | $47 | $45 |
| Below median | 13 | $41 | $22 | +$19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $9 | $27 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $37 | $123 | $86 |
| unranked | 2 | $22 | — | +$22 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue-Scratch 0xc944…1686 | Yes | +196 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-15 11:11 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +126 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-15 11:51 |
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +118 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | +70 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Barren-Parsley-Lie 0x5a9e…cd3f | Yes | +67 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 09:29 |
| Disgusting-Marxism 0xfb85…f401 | Yes | +49 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 10:46 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-15 08:44 |
| Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | +25 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4de…f9c4 | No | +24 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 12:50 |
| Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 10:10 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 08:29 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 09:24 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x904c…4172 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-15 12:04 |
| Nippy-Fact 0xd23f…1876 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 13:17 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 11:31 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-15 09:24 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 09:04 |
| Big-Hearted-Level 0xe8e2…6e3f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:00 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +9 | $0 | $5 | 3 | 05-15 09:37 |
| Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | +8 | $0 | $185 | 5 | 05-15 13:31 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:44 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 08:37 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:21 |
| Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 06:29 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 08:56 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 22:04 |
| Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1522…d0bd | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 23:50 |
| Quarterly-Giggle 0xd0e1…7e35 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 15:31 |
| Precious-Recess 0x758d…9548 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 07:41 |
| Intentional-Strength 0x20f2…3b5c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:50 |
| Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:49 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:20 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:04 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:41:17 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xeb4e76… |
| 05-15 13:37:42 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x175894… |
| 05-15 13:37:42 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x53e53b… |
| 05-15 13:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xddd867… |
| 05-15 13:31:59 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x1c706b… |
| 05-15 13:31:55 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x9082db… |
| 05-15 13:31:52 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x562241… |
| 05-15 13:17:22 | Nippy-Fact 0xd23f…1876 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x8da254… |
| 05-15 12:37:21 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd7223f… |
| 05-15 12:30:37 | Direct-Golf 0x6e41…5e0c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8a9b24… |
| 05-15 12:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x904c…4172 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x3b264b… |
| 05-15 11:59:40 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x2e3e13… |
| 05-15 11:51:07 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 19¢ | $14 | 0x3c6b14… |
| 05-15 11:50:25 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xa1f3df… |
| 05-15 11:31:08 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x5622f4… |
| 05-15 11:27:23 | Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | SELL | 58 | 80¢ | $47 | 0x51a767… |
| 05-15 11:22:04 | Direct-Golf 0x6e41…5e0c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xabcc07… |
| 05-15 11:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x904c…4172 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xee9eac… |
| 05-15 11:20:05 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x38f6a9… |
| 05-15 11:11:13 | Blue-Scratch 0xc944…1686 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x492b9c… |
| 05-15 11:01:30 | Misty-Hydrocarb 0xc67e…8929 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdbb092… |
| 05-15 10:46:27 | Disgusting-Marxism 0xfb85…f401 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 19¢ | $9 | 0xa36d12… |
| 05-15 10:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xeb49…643c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb5fa70… |
| 05-15 10:10:24 | Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x47c832… |
| 05-15 10:10:19 | Blue-Scratch 0xc944…1686 | Yes | BUY | 138 | 22¢ | $30 | 0xc4ac1f… |
| 05-15 09:56:17 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x770907… |
| 05-15 09:37:13 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xd797b4… |
| 05-15 09:29:22 | Barren-Parsley-Lie 0x5a9e…cd3f | Yes | BUY | 67 | 21¢ | $14 | 0x013e21… |
| 05-15 09:24:23 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 14 | 82¢ | $11 | 0x083f05… |
| 05-15 09:24:23 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xf30185… |
| 05-15 09:04:57 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x142f19… |
| 05-15 09:04:21 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd311d0… |
| 05-15 08:59:53 | (anonymous) 0x1522…d0bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x6acb4f… |
| 05-15 08:56:49 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x5fb7e4… |
| 05-15 08:56:49 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x008ce3… |
| 05-15 08:49:51 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x8c0b16… |
| 05-15 08:49:32 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x9dd25c… |
| 05-15 08:44:34 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x6b72f1… |
| 05-15 08:44:24 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x83eb04… |
| 05-15 08:44:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xd9ce31… |
| 05-15 08:37:04 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x406194… |
| 05-15 08:32:30 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 37 | 85¢ | $32 | 0x5878f1… |
| 05-15 08:29:24 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0x19bc07… |
| 05-15 08:16:52 | Decimal-Boundary 0x3926…9d3e | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x611789… |
| 05-15 07:41:59 | Precious-Recess 0x758d…9548 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x3dfb77… |
| 05-15 06:29:19 | Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x066d54… |
| 05-15 06:29:18 | Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x46ba1c… |
| 05-15 05:24:20 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2b3b75… |
| 05-15 05:24:17 | Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x83f150… |
| 05-15 00:00:16 | Big-Hearted-Level 0xe8e2…6e3f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3e465… |
| 05-14 23:30:26 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x523dfe… |
| 05-14 22:57:00 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x40fc24… |
| 05-14 22:29:23 | Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xbaa478… |
| 05-14 22:29:13 | Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x0e374a… |
| 05-14 22:13:59 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x929914… |
| 05-14 22:13:59 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf989e0… |
| 05-14 22:04:53 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x3a9af6… |
| 05-14 21:18:45 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x324501… |
| 05-14 20:02:18 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x8b2fc5… |
| 05-14 18:40:06 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x9e724e… |
| 05-14 16:11:27 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x068fc2… |
| 05-14 15:31:06 | Quarterly-Giggle 0xd0e1…7e35 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xbed796… |
| 05-14 13:20:37 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x54eeb1… |
| 05-14 12:55:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x10cccd… |
| 05-14 12:55:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xe1f016… |
| 05-14 12:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xb4de…f9c4 | No | BUY | 24 | 77¢ | $18 | 0xb81626… |
| 05-14 10:49:13 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x25f4ca… |
| 05-14 02:26:35 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 34¢ | $24 | 0x11e9ef… |
| 05-14 02:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xae18a7… |
| 05-14 00:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe9c340… |
| 05-14 00:57:15 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x748f4a… |
| 05-14 00:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x752538… |
| 05-13 23:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd47628… |
| 05-13 23:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xdc59ce… |
| 05-13 23:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x9c0f77… |
| 05-13 23:36:50 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x531e45… |
| 05-13 23:21:56 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x6c952f… |
| 05-13 22:50:41 | Intentional-Strength 0x20f2…3b5c | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x249571… |
| 05-13 22:03:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x23b98b… |
| 05-13 22:03:26 | Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x99ad88… |
| 05-13 20:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x56c3…c5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x7f846f… |
| 05-13 11:33:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x44e1d8… |
| 05-13 11:33:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa971c0… |
| 05-13 11:33:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x4d7c90… |