Political-Bump 0x07cdda…f6fbeb
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$254
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
1,815
Trades
26,067
lifetime
Volume
$153.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$326
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-10 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 77% +$88
Other
27% 55% $-358
Sports
18% 53% +$16
Politics
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 814 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Spread: Senegal (-1.5) Saudi Arabia +118 $80 100¢ $117 +$38 06-09 22:58
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +23 $0 100¢ $23 +$23 06-07 20:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +25 $15 80¢ $20 +$5 06-03 08:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +58 $15 20¢ $11 $-4 06-07 13:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 06-01 00:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +38 $5 25¢ $10 +$5 06-05 16:46
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Under +9 $5 100¢ $9 +$4 05-31 22:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +45 $5 20¢ $9 +$4 06-04 12:15
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +18 $5 35¢ $6 +$1 06-04 00:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 06-04 17:34
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +11 $5 55¢ $6 +$1 06-04 08:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 06-02 04:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 55¢ $6 +$1 06-04 19:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-01 14:37
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-05 10:48
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-01 21:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-03 07:20
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-03 03:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-04 19:18
US recession by end of 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-03 14:44
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +25 $5 20¢ $5 +$0 06-04 14:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-04 10:35
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 05-31 21:01
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-03 14:46
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-04 23:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 06-09 11:47
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $-0 06-05 08:27
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +13 $5 38¢ $5 $-0 06-05 02:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 73¢ $5 $-0 06-01 07:12
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +16 $5 32¢ $5 $-0 06-04 08:43