Nippy-Fact — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

771

Trades

1,894

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-30 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 53% -$43

Other

44% 86% -$64

Politics

0% 33% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:55 UTC	3	$137	71	69	+2	Down	$0	04-17 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?	5	$84	44	44	+0	No	+$4	05-15 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?	3	$81	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-15 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?	4	$41	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-16 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 15?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-15 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 16?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-16 09:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:00 UTC	1	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	04-17 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 21?	2	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$2	05-21 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?	3	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-28 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 20?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-20 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 20?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-20 11:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 14:30 UTC	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 17?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-17 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	5	$28	24	24	+0	Yes	-$6	05-17 11:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:55 UTC	2	$26	30	29	+1	Up	+$9	04-16 13:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 01:45 UTC	5	$26	30	29	+2	Up	+$8	04-18 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	13	$23	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 17?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-17 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 17?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-17 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-15 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 17?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-17 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-15 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 21?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-21 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 16?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-16 07:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:30 UTC	6	$21	21	19	+1	Down	+$16	04-03 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-15 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x53e987…
10-30 11:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x27ec85…
10-30 11:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x4708c3…
10-30 11:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcf0d07…
10-30 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x24fddd…
10-30 11:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x7d3cb9…
10-30 11:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xb0433e…
10-30 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc55af…
10-30 11:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xedc665…
10-30 11:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x0f8afe…
10-30 11:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6ea7f7…
10-30 11:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x051ddc…
10-30 10:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x6e7977…
10-30 10:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf5038e…
10-30 10:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x6f3c6a…
10-30 10:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b3491…
10-30 10:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x16de61…
10-30 10:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x001c5e…
10-30 08:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xad675b…
10-30 08:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x799f56…
10-30 08:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf10b94…
10-30 08:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xaad7c5…
10-30 08:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x38d9cc…
10-30 08:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x66422b…
10-30 08:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2e2d77…
10-30 08:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xadec56…
10-30 08:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x187692…
10-30 08:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x03eb0d…
10-30 08:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaff5fc…
10-30 08:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x5f8cd9…
10-30 08:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc270e8…
10-30 08:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf29c5a…
10-30 08:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x282d8a…
10-30 07:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x19ada5…
10-30 07:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xf5e0f7…
10-30 07:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8b0d42…
10-30 07:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4fb06a…
10-30 07:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6c9898…
10-30 07:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc6a6c3…
10-30 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x18fb55…
10-30 06:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe24bc8…
10-30 06:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x98a916…
10-30 06:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0aef81…
10-30 06:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x283eca…
10-30 06:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xff5e91…
10-30 06:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc23109…
10-30 06:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4c4ac…
10-30 06:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x002b4b…
10-30 06:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe7471e…
10-30 06:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xeb7f1c…
10-30 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x34b58f…
10-30 06:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcecdc7…
10-30 06:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xc82885…
10-30 06:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfb82cf…
10-29 15:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x92bd16…
10-29 15:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2ca715…
10-29 15:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x688982…
10-29 15:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x44574e…
10-29 15:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x603179…
10-29 15:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x6e8d85…
10-29 15:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc5efaf…
10-29 15:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xba082c…
10-29 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xedc6f8…
10-29 15:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6bed25…
10-29 14:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x49ea8b…
10-29 14:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbf0a25…
10-29 14:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xf0b68a…
10-29 14:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd427b…
10-29 14:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc3ec39…
10-29 11:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x4c5109…
10-29 11:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3d0d1e…
10-29 08:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xf6b15d…
10-29 08:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x525769…
10-29 08:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2a0f02…
10-29 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb41403…
10-29 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xd62bf6…
10-29 08:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7ee213…
10-29 08:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xc7c37a…
10-29 08:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb40488…
10-29 08:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfcc94f…
10-29 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe5d805…
10-29 07:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf1944c…
10-29 07:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0e23f3…
10-29 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xedbdf4…
10-29 07:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5bae6e…
10-29 07:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x93a152…
10-29 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x436006…
10-29 07:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x76441a…
10-29 07:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x3d2536…
10-29 07:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x956d08…
10-29 07:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x3733f7…
10-29 07:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfe6747…
10-29 07:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x311a4f…
10-29 07:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd203dc…
10-29 07:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf645b9…
10-29 07:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1212d4…
10-29 07:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x05fbec…
10-29 07:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x77cc66…
10-29 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x74ce86…
10-29 07:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfd0d8b…