Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$218
$1,491 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$2,468
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 10:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $65 | $50 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $16 | $29 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $32 | $32 |
| Median | 9 | $19 | $6 | +$13 |
| Below median | 8 | $19 | $8 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $11 | $4 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $46 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +68 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +51 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 00:04 |
| Swift-Metallurgist 0x1c9e…8d54 | No | +48 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-13 20:48 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-13 23:47 |
| Sophisticated-Bag 0x228e…08ef | Yes | +26 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:52 |
| Remarkable-Keyboard-Reprocessing 0xdfd4…7a38 | Yes | +26 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 03:48 |
| Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | +23 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:21 |
| Judicious-Bar 0x8ed9…de73 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 06:24 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 04:51 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 00:12 |
| Pure-Snob 0x1792…11a2 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:59 |
| Messy-Stem 0xaabf…21db | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 07:19 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x194b…e572 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7beb…69fb | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 09:52 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Great-Soap 0x9d9f…02b2 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:51 |
| Anguished-Fear 0x8236…3b85 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:18 |
| Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| Alarmed-Invader-Gymnast 0x0bf8…8f88 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:54 |
| Untimely-Productivity-Transparency 0x24e7…d2e8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:29 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:59:27 | Pure-Snob 0x1792…11a2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x0bd1fb… |
| 05-14 10:54:38 | Alarmed-Invader-Gymnast 0x0bf8…8f88 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xc3b957… |
| 05-14 10:29:45 | Untimely-Productivity-Transparency 0x24e7…d2e8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x56b5ba… |
| 05-14 07:19:07 | Messy-Stem 0xaabf…21db | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x71bedf… |
| 05-14 06:24:24 | Judicious-Bar 0x8ed9…de73 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x904850… |
| 05-14 06:18:57 | Anguished-Fear 0x8236…3b85 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xa5a079… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb523cd… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6080ab… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x5cf5cd… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x097558… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xfd2cb6… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x348af2… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 38 | 68¢ | $26 | 0x695c93… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x5832e1… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x754a01… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6aa5ed… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x481952… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x0694c3… |
| 05-14 04:40:34 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x263800… |
| 05-14 03:48:18 | Remarkable-Keyboard-Reprocessing 0xdfd4…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x2cedac… |
| 05-14 03:35:58 | Remarkable-Keyboard-Reprocessing 0xdfd4…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x205d44… |
| 05-14 02:21:34 | Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x673495… |
| 05-14 02:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x194b…e572 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xfcbb96… |
| 05-14 00:12:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x9cb881… |
| 05-14 00:04:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xb55742… |
| 05-14 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xa05531… |
| 05-14 00:04:06 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 51 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xdae95e… |
| 05-14 00:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x7beb…69fb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x2fa4dd… |
| 05-13 23:47:13 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $21 | 0x7b484b… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xae52be… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xd42c8f… |
| 05-13 20:48:25 | Swift-Metallurgist 0x1c9e…8d54 | No | BUY | 48 | 66¢ | $32 | 0x42cb54… |
| 05-13 09:52:58 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x88402e… |
| 05-13 09:52:58 | Sophisticated-Bag 0x228e…08ef | Yes | BUY | 26 | 38¢ | $10 | 0x79935b… |
| 05-13 05:31:20 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xc39b77… |
| 05-13 05:03:43 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xb86c1e… |
| 05-13 04:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x3fe1be… |
| 05-13 04:58:47 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x51f923… |
| 05-13 04:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x27cc6e… |
| 05-13 04:51:51 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x95aeda… |
| 05-13 04:51:28 | Great-Soap 0x9d9f…02b2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x4df28e… |
| 05-13 04:43:42 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x8fe70c… |
| 05-13 04:17:10 | Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x241262… |