Polished-Runaway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

549

Trades

1,510

lifetime

Volume

$9.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-18 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

100% 60% -$398

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	11	$110	71	71	+0	No	+$31	05-17 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16?	9	$104	73	73	+0	No	+$8	05-16 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 16?	6	$103	64	64	+0	No	+$25	05-16 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?	8	$97	96	77	+19	No	+$1	05-16 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 16?	7	$88	58	58	+0	No	+$28	05-16 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 16?	6	$84	56	56	+0	No	+$27	05-16 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 16?	10	$71	61	51	+10	No	+$7	05-16 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 16?	6	$63	42	42	+0	No	+$4	05-16 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 15?	15	$62	136	0	+136	Yes	-$62	05-15 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 16?	9	$60	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?	10	$55	90	0	+90	Yes	-$55	05-15 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 16?	6	$54	52	52	+0	No	-$23	05-16 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	7	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$12	05-12 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 16?	3	$50	31	31	+0	No	+$12	05-16 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?	9	$48	29	29	+0	No	+$10	05-17 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 16?	4	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$8	05-17 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 16?	4	$47	28	28	+0	No	+$9	05-16 23:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 16?	5	$47	53	44	+9	Yes	-$9	05-15 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 17?	6	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$7	05-17 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?	6	$43	50	8	+42	No	+$15	05-15 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 16?	5	$42	26	26	+0	No	+$10	05-16 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 11?	4	$40	61	0	+61	Yes	-$40	05-11 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?	6	$39	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-17 08:45
highest temperature in cape town on may 17 2026 20c	7	$38	29	29	+0	resolved	+$0	05-17 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	5	$38	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-17 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 12?	3	$37	34	17	+17	No	+$14	05-12 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	6	$37	26	26	+0	Yes	-$1	05-17 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 17?	6	$37	27	27	+0	No	-$1	05-17 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?	5	$36	29	29	+0	Yes	-$3	05-17 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?	8	$35	41	16	+25	Yes	-$16	05-15 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 00:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 19?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1f0fe9…
05-17 09:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x648ccc…
05-17 09:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe7a61b…
05-17 09:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x0441d7…
05-17 09:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x318e15…
05-17 09:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x7f15bc…
05-17 08:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 18?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x5bf968…
05-17 08:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x8323e9…
05-17 08:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 18?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x30cbc4…
05-17 08:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xc369c0…
05-17 08:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 18?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x76fc3e…
05-17 08:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 18?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xe89336…
05-17 08:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xfd423a…
05-17 08:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 19?	No	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xe339e0…
05-17 08:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x265249…
05-17 08:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 18?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xf3fec6…
05-17 08:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x2b4840…
05-17 08:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xc125b3…
05-17 08:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?	No	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xee569c…
05-17 08:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 18?	No	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xa585cd…
05-17 08:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0xf5ea19…
05-17 08:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 18?	No	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xdbed2a…
05-17 08:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 18?	No	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x5f037d…
05-17 08:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x106750…
05-17 08:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x20df60…
05-17 08:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 19?	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xe162c5…
05-17 08:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 19?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x198192…
05-17 08:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x2950b7…
05-17 08:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x1a2a86…
05-17 08:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x018d58…
05-17 08:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0xee48ec…
05-17 08:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 19?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x3f0dd6…
05-17 08:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xb6b315…
05-17 08:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x93ae9a…
05-17 08:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0xe565c1…
05-17 08:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 19?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x0719ec…
05-17 08:56:02	highest temperature in cape town on may 17 2026 20c	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xee408f…
05-17 08:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 19?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xc26f62…
05-17 08:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 19?	No	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0x0a6e9d…
05-17 08:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 18?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x8bd145…
05-17 08:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 18?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0xa99798…
05-17 08:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 19?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xb6712f…
05-17 08:55:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x7c3a36…
05-17 08:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 19?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xc75de6…
05-17 08:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 18?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x72ef71…
05-17 08:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 19?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x9a0a83…
05-17 08:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 19?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa9206b…
05-17 08:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 19?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x7f6e25…
05-17 08:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xce8e41…
05-17 08:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x10deef…
05-17 08:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x606a7b…
05-17 08:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18?	No	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x616ec3…
05-17 08:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 19?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xb17265…
05-17 08:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	No	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x610308…
05-17 08:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 18?	No	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0xb31430…
05-17 08:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 18?	No	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x547c34…
05-17 08:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 19?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xdffde2…
05-17 08:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xb72342…
05-17 08:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x590f60…
05-17 08:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x8c8a85…
05-17 08:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xdfd7c4…
05-17 08:52:18	arch highest temperature in cape town on may 19 2026 21c	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xc0c172…
05-17 08:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xcbb566…
05-17 08:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x1dec52…
05-17 08:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x43ffb0…
05-17 08:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 19?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x60294d…
05-17 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 19?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x77be0f…
05-17 08:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x78eb32…
05-17 08:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 19?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x4be4ce…
05-17 08:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x926406…
05-17 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x923f0d…
05-17 08:50:12	highest temperature in cape town on may 17 2026 21c	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xae788c…
05-17 08:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 19?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xac74b6…
05-17 08:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 18?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x486a6a…
05-17 08:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x5601f0…
05-17 08:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xbda963…
05-17 08:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x1303f8…
05-17 08:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xf5a01e…
05-17 08:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 18?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x8374ea…
05-17 08:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x8bbb4e…
05-17 08:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xe4ae75…
05-17 08:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x028191…
05-17 08:46:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xf21569…
05-17 08:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x756bc7…
05-17 08:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x6068ae…
05-17 08:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 19?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x4c30f7…
05-17 08:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x8b639c…
05-17 08:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 19?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x3979b0…
05-17 08:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x23c7d2…
05-17 08:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$10	0xa303b1…
05-17 08:45:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 17?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xadacb5…
05-17 08:45:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x591916…
05-17 08:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 18?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xc671df…
05-17 08:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 18?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x904a47…
05-17 08:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 17?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x3bde99…
05-17 08:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xc34eb9…
05-17 08:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 19?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x57989b…
05-17 08:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 17?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xd0e7fa…
05-17 08:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x79c44e…
05-17 08:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 18?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xcdca94…