Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$541
$34 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$864
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 18:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $44 | $12 | +$32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 46 | $240 | $131 | +$109 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $49 | $28 | +$20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 12 | $77 | $29 | +$48 |
| Below median | 14 | $31 | $18 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $117 | $24 | +$93 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $12 | $7 |
| unranked | 5 | $7 | $49 | $42 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +280 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-16 14:02 |
| United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | +177 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 05-16 13:57 |
| Young-Priest 0xfa1f…af40 | Yes | +151 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-15 21:45 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +109 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-15 01:32 |
| Cautious-Sponge 0x7299…a763 | No | +77 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 05-16 00:24 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +38 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-14 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +31 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 05:54 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Ethical-Vestment 0xb198…6291 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 15:06 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 22:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +17 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 05-16 02:34 |
| Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 10:36 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 11:35 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-16 02:29 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 03:29 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 02:23 |
| Vivid-Bowling 0x68e1…d73b | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 22:15 |
| Warm-Reception 0xbd6a…4614 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 12:31 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 21:17 |
| Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 22:09 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:31 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 15:01 |
| Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 07:04 |
| Simple-Ozone 0x5645…e203 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9731…a6dc | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 23:46 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 22:15 |
| Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:50 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 22:50 |
| Free-Hacksaw-Dependency 0x9400…1f3d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:17 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Blond-Godfather 0x7c41…500d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:31 |
| Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:31 |
| Needy-Trade 0x3a3f…88e2 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:56 |
| Bumpy-Lid 0x0c40…8ef9 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Violent-Volcano 0x16d9…fab9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 04:01 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:27 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 18:47:05 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa86854… |
| 05-16 14:51:41 | Idealistic-Adjustment 0x41fa…7cc4 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x40a7a4… |
| 05-16 14:22:18 | Snoopy-Conviction 0xe587…dc56 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x053bb1… |
| 05-16 14:19:18 | Poor-Month 0x1632…ad5a | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x2d6a80… |
| 05-16 14:11:22 | Lively-Vellum 0x998a…745b | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x14cfa7… |
| 05-16 14:02:23 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ff341… |
| 05-16 14:02:21 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x40c7d4… |
| 05-16 14:02:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x44fb10… |
| 05-16 14:02:14 | Polished-Runaway 0xa7f1…c062 | No | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x5c32e2… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b5413… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8844d7… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd35621… |
| 05-16 13:57:13 | United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 70¢ | $55 | 0xb78e93… |
| 05-16 13:54:41 | United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 64¢ | $46 | 0xedbfe4… |
| 05-16 13:44:37 | United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 52¢ | $14 | 0x9df0b7… |
| 05-16 12:31:06 | Warm-Reception 0xbd6a…4614 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xbe30a5… |
| 05-16 10:36:21 | Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xeb5032… |
| 05-16 04:01:03 | Violent-Volcano 0x16d9…fab9 | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xf8bbe6… |
| 05-16 03:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x0e0cfa… |
| 05-16 02:34:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x71b9d0… |
| 05-16 02:29:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x4a7ceb… |
| 05-16 02:23:49 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x972d4b… |
| 05-16 01:24:01 | Needy-Trade 0x3a3f…88e2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x78e4d6… |
| 05-16 00:24:09 | Cautious-Sponge 0x7299…a763 | No | BUY | 25 | 67¢ | $17 | 0xf5d96a… |
| 05-15 22:50:52 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcb884d… |
| 05-15 22:15:35 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x5695f6… |
| 05-15 22:15:29 | Vivid-Bowling 0x68e1…d73b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xcebff8… |
| 05-15 22:09:01 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x8a101c… |
| 05-15 22:08:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x36a92d… |
| 05-15 22:08:38 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 17 | 69¢ | $12 | 0x419c4b… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Young-Priest 0xfa1f…af40 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 49¢ | $74 | 0x4aff6a… |
| 05-15 20:38:20 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x6bb0e7… |
| 05-15 20:28:15 | Cautious-Sponge 0x7299…a763 | No | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x749120… |
| 05-15 18:57:46 | Bumpy-Lid 0x0c40…8ef9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x7c5145… |
| 05-15 18:26:56 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | SELL | 17 | 61¢ | $10 | 0xb660fb… |
| 05-15 17:51:51 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xdd5da7… |
| 05-15 17:09:51 | Simple-Ozone 0x5645…e203 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x1b3b4c… |
| 05-15 15:52:02 | Cautious-Sponge 0x7299…a763 | No | BUY | 26 | 63¢ | $16 | 0x0007be… |
| 05-15 15:06:58 | Ethical-Vestment 0xb198…6291 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x20cc23… |
| 05-15 15:06:46 | Blond-Godfather 0x7c41…500d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x79ae81… |
| 05-15 15:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xb525df… |
| 05-15 11:35:22 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0xa2331f… |
| 05-15 11:06:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x6b2a6e… |
| 05-15 09:44:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xe482d7… |
| 05-15 09:44:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xedea66… |
| 05-15 07:49:51 | Polished-Runaway 0xa7f1…c062 | No | SELL | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x5ec466… |
| 05-15 07:04:18 | Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x6424ea… |
| 05-15 01:32:59 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 39¢ | $9 | 0xa69f53… |
| 05-15 01:27:51 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x63f09c… |
| 05-14 23:56:58 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xaf27b8… |
| 05-14 23:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x9731…a6dc | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x2af1d1… |
| 05-14 23:27:34 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 37¢ | $32 | 0x859b18… |
| 05-14 23:17:48 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 36¢ | $5 | 0xd716c4… |
| 05-14 23:17:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xe95186… |
| 05-14 21:17:43 | Free-Hacksaw-Dependency 0x9400…1f3d | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x2ab8e4… |
| 05-14 21:17:31 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x5084f0… |
| 05-14 21:17:31 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x4ea0a7… |
| 05-14 20:31:58 | Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xad4737… |
| 05-14 20:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x749296… |
| 05-14 17:48:59 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x66a393… |
| 05-14 17:48:57 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xa4080b… |
| 05-14 17:29:33 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x83826c… |
| 05-14 14:31:15 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x33149d… |
| 05-14 13:25:36 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x8293a1… |
| 05-14 12:57:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xdb572f… |
| 05-14 12:50:41 | Tepid-Pepperoni 0x7581…2ca4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2a72ad… |
| 05-14 09:59:34 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xd3e246… |
| 05-14 05:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 31 | 75¢ | $24 | 0xf6f0a7… |