Idealistic-Adjustment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

14,181

Trades

36,564

lifetime

Volume

$122.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-28 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 72% +$998

Other

42% 32% +$680

Politics

0% 0% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 1611 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down		+8	$8	96¢	$8	$0	10-28 16:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	20	$394	371	371	+0	Yes	+$281	05-08 07:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	4	$326	300	300	+0	Yes	+$272	06-09 18:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	18	$324	305	305	+0	Yes	+$284	06-11 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?	19	$321	300	300	+0	Yes	+$279	06-15 22:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?	14	$274	268	268	+0	Yes	+$261	06-11 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?	10	$214	190	190	+0	Yes	+$166	06-16 14:45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?	7	$211	208	208	+0	Yes	+$206	06-12 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?	9	$206	198	198	+0	Yes	+$188	06-21 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?	8	$196	184	184	+0	Yes	+$171	06-15 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?	12	$177	167	167	+0	Yes	+$157	06-13 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?	9	$170	159	159	+0	Yes	+$147	06-10 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?	11	$161	156	156	+0	Yes	+$150	06-16 15:04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?	7	$147	136	136	+0	Yes	+$123	06-10 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:20 UTC	45	$129	233	0	+233	Down	-$14	08-28 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:30 UTC	41	$119	215	0	+215	Up	-$1	08-28 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?	3	$115	111	111	+0	Yes	+$108	06-20 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?	7	$109	101	101	+0	Yes	+$93	06-11 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?	6	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	+$92	06-14 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	3	$106	100	100	+0	Yes	+$94	05-29 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	40	$104	250	0	+250	Up	+$29	09-10 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 23?	12	$104	62	62	+0	No	+$21	06-23 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?	2	$103	100	100	+0	Yes	+$95	06-20 17:20
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 21 2026 29c	6	$91	90	90	+0	Yes	+$88	04-21 17:22
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 32c	3	$91	90	90	+0	Yes	+$89	04-21 13:44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?	8	$91	55	55	+0	No	+$18	06-23 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:55 UTC	25	$90	130	0	+130	Up	+$13	08-28 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?	2	$85	82	82	+0	Yes	+$78	06-16 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:35 UTC	29	$84	155	0	+155	Down	+$9	09-17 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:25 UTC	23	$80	136	0	+136	Up	-$13	08-28 14:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$80	497	0	+497	No	-$80	05-30 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:03:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc5c7a7…
10-28 15:39:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x251008…
10-28 15:37:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5bf116…
10-28 15:32:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc36b46…
10-28 15:32:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x445fc6…
10-28 15:18:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb35af1…
10-28 15:13:25	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb8969a…
10-28 15:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe05a98…
10-28 15:09:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x13abca…
10-28 15:02:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26ea85…
10-28 15:02:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe9da42…
10-28 15:02:32	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc0e3d…
10-28 14:59:02	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84823a…
10-28 14:52:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd96897…
10-28 14:48:43	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9979a3…
10-28 14:43:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe55ad5…
10-28 14:43:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24d53c…
10-28 14:42:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe06b60…
10-28 14:34:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xff7953…
10-28 14:33:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x525e48…
10-28 14:26:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8dfe6…
10-28 14:25:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4412c8…
10-28 14:19:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70dac9…
10-28 14:18:10	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf177a5…
10-28 14:12:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50f08c…
10-28 14:12:01	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95a8c1…
10-28 14:04:11	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6cb00c…
10-28 13:57:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd35a8…
10-28 13:54:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14fd6b…
10-28 13:54:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfe2976…
10-28 13:54:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x221291…
10-28 13:53:49	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfadce3…
10-28 13:47:23	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x58ea09…
10-28 13:42:49	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa5a2f…
10-28 13:41:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c0dce…
10-28 13:38:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3eb531…
10-28 13:38:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x023a2f…
10-28 13:32:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05026b…
10-28 13:28:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3be221…
10-28 13:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x121335…
10-28 13:27:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f06d7…
10-28 13:24:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf6e7d1…
10-28 13:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xafc1c7…
10-28 13:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x200a25…
10-28 13:09:26	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x14893b…
10-28 13:03:59	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf10c3…
10-28 12:53:22	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x30e6d8…
10-28 12:48:08	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x511c59…
10-28 12:48:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0f3f6e…
10-28 12:37:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd455fc…
10-28 12:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5aa3dd…
10-28 12:12:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc85296…
10-28 12:08:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x471a3c…
10-28 12:07:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x29ff79…
10-28 12:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa16e0e…
10-28 11:57:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0e9046…
10-28 11:56:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaed118…
10-28 11:56:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca4ab8…
10-28 11:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbeffea…
10-28 11:49:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x553074…
10-28 11:44:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7da7a9…
10-28 11:43:37	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb505d…
10-28 11:41:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6bef8b…
10-28 11:38:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3ff9b6…
10-28 11:33:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1a48d9…
10-28 11:28:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdb1b2…
10-28 11:28:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb0a13d…
10-28 11:25:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x06619c…
10-28 11:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xae29e9…
10-28 11:19:43	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x17ba8d…
10-28 11:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfab75d…
10-28 11:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x14771c…
10-28 11:12:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f924c…
10-28 11:08:43	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x249dff…
10-28 11:03:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x966320…
10-28 11:03:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ba068…
10-28 11:02:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b2233…
10-28 10:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb7f36a…
10-28 10:58:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf52b23…
10-28 10:57:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3bf865…
10-28 10:56:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5f3da…
10-28 10:52:52	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x66a0df…
10-28 10:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x63cb46…
10-28 10:43:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4564e8…
10-28 10:42:49	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e5f6a…
10-28 10:19:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xff8cf3…
10-28 10:03:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2508b2…
10-28 09:53:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x26a00e…
10-28 09:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5f2022…
10-28 09:48:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc8fe6b…
10-28 09:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd52dbb…
10-28 09:34:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x666c93…
10-28 09:33:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6dfd13…
10-28 09:28:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x309131…
10-28 09:24:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x132120…
10-28 09:18:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xddf1e7…
10-28 09:18:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x340441…
10-28 09:18:26	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xce8d6b…
10-28 09:13:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5f315f…
10-28 09:09:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xde9948…