Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$235
$19 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$834
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 11:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $8 | $4 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $29 | $76 | $47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 8 | $8 | $8 | +$0 |
| Below median | 3 | $12 | $2 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $50 | $49 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imaginative-Income-Emerald 0x393e…b2f0 | No | +71 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 02:15 |
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +44 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:29 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 11:36 |
| Plush-Distribution 0x4b1a…af71 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 10:26 |
| Second-Rainy 0xeb61…9969 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 10:01 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-16 11:18 |
| Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 10:01 |
| Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 17:01 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 01:55 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 03:00 |
| Direct-Programme 0x13e0…7465 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 01:14 |
| Unwieldy-Shin 0x363f…3e5e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:26 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 01:44 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:06 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 08:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 11:36:30 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x0c2964… |
| 05-16 11:30:52 | Energetic-Compassion 0x1e6e…cfe9 | No | SELL | 116 | 83¢ | $95 | 0x38693e… |
| 05-16 11:25:32 | Helpful-Workforce 0xe179…63e9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8ba962… |
| 05-16 11:18:37 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x5c6a78… |
| 05-16 10:26:23 | Plush-Distribution 0x4b1a…af71 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x90c3eb… |
| 05-16 10:01:39 | Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xf85e80… |
| 05-16 10:01:30 | Second-Rainy 0xeb61…9969 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x43392e… |
| 05-16 09:56:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x420165… |
| 05-16 08:34:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0689f5… |
| 05-16 08:34:42 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x6be6dc… |
| 05-16 08:34:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2e5296… |
| 05-16 06:26:17 | Unwieldy-Shin 0x363f…3e5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x203c7b… |
| 05-16 03:00:46 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x60493e… |
| 05-16 01:55:56 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x99770f… |
| 05-16 01:44:04 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xaaa03e… |
| 05-16 01:14:12 | Direct-Programme 0x13e0…7465 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1a8eff… |
| 05-15 17:01:27 | Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x080520… |
| 05-15 16:06:28 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x5a1b1e… |
| 05-15 15:26:45 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x28209e… |
| 05-15 13:17:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x44b94e… |
| 05-15 11:06:49 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbae0b9… |
| 05-15 07:59:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4d20bd… |
| 05-15 07:49:56 | Polished-Runaway 0xa7f1…c062 | No | SELL | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0xecec70… |
| 05-15 02:15:20 | Imaginative-Income-Emerald 0x393e…b2f0 | No | BUY | 71 | 70¢ | $50 | 0x831919… |
| 05-14 18:08:59 | Self-Reliant-Washcloth 0x973a…0ef4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x476483… |
| 05-14 12:29:19 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 28¢ | $12 | 0x84ca3b… |