Realized P&L
-$7.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
85.7%
Resolved
5,656
Trades
49,651
lifetime
Volume
$737.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$111
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 08-20 21:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Crypto
88% 78% -$5,607
Other
11% 35% -$1,628
Politics
0% 31% -$10
Sports
0% 46% -$15
Tech
0% 11% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +10 $7 97¢ $10 +$2 05-20 14:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 05-20 13:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 88¢ $9 +$6 05-20 15:48
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 05-19 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 05-20 15:20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-20 10:42
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$2 05-19 23:07
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +5 $1 94¢ $5 +$3 05-20 00:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 05-20 15:26
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 05-19 09:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 05-19 09:49
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$1 05-20 16:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 05-19 09:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 05-20 15:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 05-19 10:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$2 05-19 23:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $0 54¢ $3 +$2 05-20 16:32
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +10 $3 20¢ $2 -$1 05-18 21:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 05-20 14:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 -$1 05-18 16:08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +5 $3 32¢ $2 -$2 05-20 17:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 -$1 05-19 12:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 05-20 16:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 05-20 09:16
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +10 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 05-18 22:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 05-19 23:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 05-20 13:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 05-19 08:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 05-20 00:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 05-18 23:57