Grizzled-Candidate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

9,005

Trades

20,595

lifetime

Volume

$120.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-16 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 67% -$1,659

Other

9% 48% -$775

Sports

1% 30% -$14

Politics

0% 35% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:30 UTC	46	$336	576	100	+476	Down	+$45	04-12 19:33
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$300	727	0	+727	Spain	-$300	07-19 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:40 UTC	35	$277	550	0	+550	Down	+$23	04-12 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:50 UTC	40	$263	400	100	+300	Up	+$1	04-13 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:20 UTC	37	$259	450	50	+400	Up	+$3	04-12 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:20 UTC	29	$247	400	100	+300	Up	+$1	04-12 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:15 UTC	34	$247	450	50	+400	Down	+$3	04-12 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:25 UTC	32	$245	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	04-12 22:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:35 UTC	23	$245	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	04-12 05:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 15:25 UTC	27	$245	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	04-12 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:40 UTC	39	$245	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	04-12 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:55 UTC	48	$245	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	04-12 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:30 UTC	37	$244	500	0	+500	Up	+$6	04-13 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:50 UTC	44	$243	493	0	+493	Up	+$0	04-12 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:30 UTC	39	$235	477	0	+477	Up	-$8	04-12 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:05 UTC	42	$233	475	0	+475	Down	-$8	04-13 04:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:30 UTC	45	$233	500	0	+500	Down	+$67	04-12 05:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:50 UTC	27	$230	450	0	+450	Down	-$30	04-12 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:05 UTC	28	$230	450	0	+450	Up	+$20	04-12 08:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:20 UTC	18	$229	450	0	+450	Up	+$21	04-12 08:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:20 UTC	13	$227	450	0	+450	Up	+$22	04-12 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:35 UTC	37	$227	450	0	+450	Down	+$23	04-13 00:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 22:10 UTC	24	$226	400	100	+300	Down	+$5	04-16 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 09:10 UTC	27	$224	450	0	+450	Up	+$26	04-12 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 09:05 UTC	26	$223	450	0	+450	Up	-$24	04-12 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:15 UTC	43	$223	450	0	+450	Down	+$26	04-13 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:20 UTC	43	$222	400	50	+350	Up	-$14	04-12 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:40 UTC	32	$221	450	0	+450	Down	-$22	04-12 21:42
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$219	134	134	+0	Thunder	-$1	05-10 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:55 UTC	29	$217	408	0	+408	Up	-$59	04-12 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 21:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4578f6…
10-01 02:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x9e1443…
08-27 05:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	651	4¢	$25	0xf4c5ec…
07-19 17:48:54	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x949f99…
07-19 17:47:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	727	41¢	$300	0x151ffe…
05-31 14:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xfc3c0a…
05-31 07:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe8ca62…
05-30 21:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x7dc1f6…
05-30 21:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xaf9c69…
05-30 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xc51b51…
05-30 00:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa08990…
05-29 23:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd09580…
05-29 17:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x144905…
05-29 01:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x930bf7…
05-29 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x020dd4…
05-29 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd117f3…
05-29 00:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xc2e141…
05-28 15:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x2b6d64…
05-28 15:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xec1f0a…
05-28 15:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xe1e972…
05-28 15:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x57de74…
05-28 15:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x4df807…
05-28 14:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x3a4209…
05-28 14:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0x84852f…
05-28 14:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x47b194…
05-28 07:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf9517c…
05-28 05:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x8d55e2…
05-28 04:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8d4230…
05-28 04:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xecce6d…
05-28 03:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xcc1521…
05-28 01:33:08	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8f6778…
05-28 00:59:07	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x181389…
05-28 00:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2fd656…
05-28 00:33:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0bf9ff…
05-28 00:23:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc7656b…
05-27 23:59:08	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9957d3…
05-27 23:33:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd158e3…
05-27 23:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc999ea…
05-27 23:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	89¢	$39	0x25f464…
05-27 23:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd0a568…
05-27 23:18:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2784a6…
05-27 23:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa4a0b3…
05-27 23:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd5933d…
05-27 23:03:06	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x290f40…
05-27 22:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x92e372…
05-27 22:29:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x36e102…
05-27 22:23:21	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd9d699…
05-27 22:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x6be011…
05-27 22:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x646955…
05-27 22:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8eca8f…
05-27 22:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x471d2d…
05-27 22:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x33cc35…
05-27 21:58:28	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x623c1f…
05-27 21:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8f4ebd…
05-27 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xff845c…
05-27 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb94bdd…
05-27 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0x5a7e5d…
05-27 20:04:17	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x708751…
05-27 19:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf55245…
05-27 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbe0d0a…
05-27 19:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x96cde5…
05-27 19:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x148ae8…
05-27 18:53:29	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4dfd4d…
05-27 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcf3d4b…
05-27 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x15ef77…
05-27 18:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x87e960…
05-27 18:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3c5df8…
05-27 18:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x00d238…
05-27 18:13:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0cc484…
05-27 18:09:27	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb8b644…
05-27 18:09:25	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd7861b…
05-27 18:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa47849…
05-27 18:03:40	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x72dcc4…
05-27 17:19:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe09755…
05-27 16:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf450c5…
05-27 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe7c839…
05-27 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xaa330c…
05-27 16:53:19	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x77e016…
05-27 16:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xebdd6f…
05-27 16:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe17f81…
05-27 16:29:07	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbd217e…
05-27 16:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x852182…
05-27 16:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x25c9c4…
05-27 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xd082c0…
05-27 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6bb466…
05-27 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x4b71ea…
05-27 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2047b0…
05-27 16:03:51	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa97152…
05-27 16:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc111bb…
05-27 15:49:06	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x34f6eb…
05-27 15:38:25	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x891114…
05-27 15:38:24	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x89fabb…
05-27 15:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd2850c…
05-27 15:34:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x894cea…
05-27 15:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x067f1d…
05-27 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xeac29f…
05-27 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc30b56…
05-27 15:14:11	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x20ea41…
05-27 15:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6b89b8…
05-27 14:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3e8355…