Fearless-Expense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-13 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$2.0K	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	01-26 12:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	12	$1.3K	630	630	+0	open	—	05-21 13:58
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	open	—	02-01 17:15
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	open	—	01-27 16:49
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$516	520	0	+520	open	—	01-28 23:11
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$504	506	0	+506	open	—	01-27 18:03
bitcoin above 96k on january 22	5	$348	121,653	0	+121,653	open	—	01-22 16:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	4	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	05-26 19:14
bitcoin above 88k on february 2	4	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	02-02 16:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	2	$294	147	147	+0	open	—	05-23 13:34
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	02-13 19:02
wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	6	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	07-07 15:40
wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	6	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	07-05 18:46
wti closes above 66 on july 6 2026	4	$191	96	96	+0	open	—	07-06 19:37
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	02-10 23:37
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	3	$160	115	46	+69	open	—	02-04 00:11
amzn close above 220 on february 10 2026	3	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	02-10 23:37
will james harden get traded to cleveland cavaliers	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	02-04 16:13
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	02-08 12:37
ethereum above 2900 on february 2	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	02-02 16:16
will dean dafis be the democratic nominee for the nj 11 special election	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	02-10 23:38
will how to train your dragon be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	02-01 23:08
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	07-13 12:40
highest temperature in dallas on february 2 56 57f	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	02-02 21:06
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	07-13 12:42
will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	2	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	07-13 12:43
highest temperature in seoul on february 4 2026 2c	2	$91	91	0	+91	open	—	02-04 00:10
highest temperature in dallas on february 11 2026 51forbelow	2	$91	45	45	+0	open	—	02-10 23:38
wti closes above 71 on july 6 2026	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	07-06 19:38
wti closes above 62 on july 6 2026	4	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	07-06 09:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 12:43:19	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xcb8098…
07-13 12:42:31	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x201d36…
07-13 12:42:08	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x193bdb…
07-13 12:41:13	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x979583…
07-13 12:40:49	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x404a70…
07-13 12:40:37	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc277ca…
07-07 15:40:20	wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xb38c0a…
07-07 15:38:47	wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x694292…
07-07 15:37:37	wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xc612ad…
07-07 15:37:19	wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0b477c…
07-07 15:35:58	wti closes above 67 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xfac097…
07-07 15:35:40	wti closes above 67 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbfd724…
07-07 15:34:31	wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xfbf070…
07-07 15:34:13	wti closes above 66 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6ed977…
07-06 19:38:35	wti closes above 71 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	45	98¢	$45	0x8b42c2…
07-06 19:38:19	wti closes above 71 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9ba307…
07-06 19:37:01	wti closes above 66 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xfdc3c1…
07-06 19:36:28	wti closes above 66 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x02c078…
07-06 19:33:43	wti closes above 66 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x15ca9c…
07-06 19:33:23	wti closes above 66 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x20394c…
07-06 09:39:23	wti closes above 64 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc50260…
07-06 09:38:55	wti closes above 64 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75f81b…
07-06 09:37:20	wti closes above 62 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x60b211…
07-06 09:37:01	wti closes above 62 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2221ef…
07-06 09:36:01	wti closes above 62 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x83d687…
07-06 09:35:05	wti closes above 62 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7e3663…
07-05 18:46:56	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x327d36…
07-05 18:45:40	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x17dc13…
07-05 18:43:50	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xded508…
07-05 18:43:17	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9d9e9f…
07-05 18:42:29	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x604041…
07-05 18:42:07	wti closes above 63 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5ef51f…
06-29 09:45:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3cd568…
06-25 15:26:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x787ad9…
06-12 09:51:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc21d5e…
06-07 08:12:06	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcaf267…
06-06 09:30:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x069081…
06-05 13:54:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe96651…
06-05 10:51:51	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8f75c…
06-05 10:50:30	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0005c2…
06-03 10:22:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13ae1c…
06-03 10:20:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf22ec8…
06-03 10:15:21	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x28520a…
05-31 10:06:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fe750…
05-31 09:58:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1d389…
05-31 09:58:38	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0cae57…
05-28 07:47:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26efcf…
05-28 07:42:33	Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe59665…
05-28 07:39:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5439f6…
05-27 08:26:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab9879…
05-26 19:14:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xdd96b1…
05-26 16:24:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x1e2f1e…
05-25 08:21:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36b96c…
05-23 13:34:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x2b798f…
05-22 13:07:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x931b4d…
05-21 13:58:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x3c6234…
05-19 08:35:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x904e0c…
05-18 19:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x0e8d0f…
05-17 20:06:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xe927b8…
05-17 08:46:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x4e2f18…
05-16 18:15:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x5e6b28…
05-16 18:14:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x4983fb…
05-12 08:26:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x03b811…
05-11 09:11:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9942bb…
05-10 21:34:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x284960…
05-10 21:33:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xba9112…
05-08 11:47:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x234e2a…
05-08 11:00:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x206ef4…
05-08 10:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd9a18…
05-07 17:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7c81a…
05-07 15:37:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb5a6c4…
05-07 07:36:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x483925…
05-07 07:28:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1b546…
05-06 09:56:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x942c6c…
05-06 07:54:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x206585…
05-05 20:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xea5adf…
05-05 20:40:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb9c92c…
05-05 20:29:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xebf1ad…
02-16 12:20:17	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 140 164	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x3ff2d0…
02-16 11:42:47	will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 54 and 56	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x76d0c9…
02-16 11:42:35	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x29307c…
02-13 19:02:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 460 479	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc54802…
02-13 19:02:19	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xea7be8…
02-13 15:12:55	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0cf348…
02-13 15:10:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xd854cc…
02-13 15:09:01	will the fall off debut week album sales be less than 150k	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x3c8e07…
02-13 11:17:05	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 460 479	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5be4c8…
02-12 18:38:13	meta close above 690 on february 12 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb40033…
02-12 18:34:49	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the february meeting	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3b4f68…
02-12 14:10:31	will national citizen party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7ae78d…
02-11 19:29:25	will national citizen party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x03cd67…
02-11 19:24:33	will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9a4a7c…
02-11 19:23:37	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in january	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe14aee…
02-11 19:23:01	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 12 be less than 1600000	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2e93f5…
02-10 23:38:33	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x903538…
02-10 23:38:21	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfac14a…
02-10 23:38:15	highest temperature in dallas on february 11 2026 51forbelow	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa1ab61…
02-10 23:38:05	will dean dafis be the democratic nominee for the nj 11 special election	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x9bfe87…
02-10 23:37:57	amzn close above 220 on february 10 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$76	0xa99950…
02-10 23:37:47	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x35a968…