Honest-Pregnancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

-$152

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

1,296

Trades

6,532

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$58

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-16 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Other

95% 15% -$75

Sports

3% 60% +$59

Crypto

2% 13% -$126

Politics

0% 0% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$100	2¢	$23	-$76	05-10 04:36
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,050	$22	2¢	$21	-$1	08-07 13:06
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+400	$64	3¢	$13	-$51	08-06 14:45
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	+100	$24	0¢	$0	-$24	10-06 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$360	386	0	+386	No	+$26	06-27 08:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 28c	5	$275	300	300	+0	Yes	+$213	04-15 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?	4	$269	200	200	+0	Yes	+$91	09-07 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	8	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$132	08-07 08:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	9	$175	200	200	+0	Yes	+$155	08-13 14:07
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$174	500	220	+280	No	+$6	07-19 05:07
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 24c	4	$169	300	0	+300	No	-$169	04-05 12:59
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$163	200	189	+11	No	+$75	04-26 21:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?	3	$157	100	100	+0	Yes	+$33	06-01 08:31
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$155	138	138	+0	Yes	+$92	03-09 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	7	$143	200	100	+100	Yes	+$147	06-18 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	7	$143	121	121	+0	Yes	+$93	08-28 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	5	$135	100	100	+0	Yes	+$63	05-26 08:30
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	1	$132	200	0	+200	Yes	+$68	07-02 09:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	5	$131	100	100	+0	No	+$35	06-25 12:30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	3	$127	100	100	+0	Yes	+$63	08-17 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	9	$127	100	100	+0	Yes	+$63	07-02 06:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?	4	$126	100	100	+0	Yes	+$66	08-22 03:29
highest temperature in hong kong on april 8 2026 26c	2	$126	100	100	+0	Yes	+$70	04-08 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?	2	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	+$65	06-27 07:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?	5	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	+$69	05-30 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?	6	$124	100	100	+0	Yes	+$66	07-24 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?	5	$123	100	100	+0	Yes	+$67	05-25 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	7	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	+$66	06-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	9	$120	100	100	+0	Yes	+$74	07-06 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?	9	$119	100	100	+0	Yes	+$79	08-21 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	2	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$62	06-25 05:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?	3	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$58	07-01 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?	2	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$82	06-30 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	6	$117	100	100	+0	Yes	+$81	08-06 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 05:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xc95ec9…
10-13 05:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x3fee63…
10-06 07:35:45	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x700efd…
10-04 04:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x9215bb…
10-04 04:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0xabeb2f…
10-04 04:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x526fb1…
10-04 03:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe1eecf…
10-03 03:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x749dd5…
10-02 12:46:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	71	18¢	$13	0xe400b9…
10-02 12:46:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x85d04a…
10-02 12:46:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x166e02…
10-02 00:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x45a131…
10-01 06:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xb8c7dc…
10-01 06:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	91	13¢	$12	0x753494…
10-01 06:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x1cb80b…
09-30 20:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xae0059…
09-30 19:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xdfecf2…
09-30 18:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x7e4bc6…
09-30 17:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x38527c…
09-30 14:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa37ce9…
09-30 14:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x4a631f…
09-30 03:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	212	1¢	$1	0x836386…
09-29 06:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x358558…
09-29 01:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0xa3f652…
09-29 00:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0x1b2db9…
09-28 04:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0x5ea546…
09-27 03:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xe0196c…
09-27 03:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0xcca607…
09-27 03:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x8f49ea…
09-27 03:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x6b0feb…
09-26 04:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x61ac7e…
09-26 04:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x17005a…
09-26 04:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf854f0…
09-26 04:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1df798…
09-26 04:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd4e9cd…
09-26 04:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xe965a3…
09-26 04:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xd3eb7e…
09-26 03:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x84da95…
09-25 04:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	46	25¢	$11	0xc5a005…
09-25 04:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x791219…
09-25 04:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x23a2d7…
09-25 04:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0x88494b…
09-25 04:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x86a9ac…
09-25 04:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xda513c…
09-25 04:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xce5308…
09-25 04:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb6aa3e…
09-25 04:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x01b9b5…
09-25 04:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4125b4…
09-25 03:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa3de8c…
09-25 03:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x34d9a0…
09-24 07:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfc7587…
09-24 07:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe73ec9…
09-24 07:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe89b40…
09-24 07:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x42ffc9…
09-24 07:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	327	0¢	$1	0xfc990f…
09-24 05:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x286df4…
09-24 05:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x8c8363…
09-24 05:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xd5d795…
09-24 05:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x09bbff…
09-24 05:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xeecea4…
09-24 04:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xde14bf…
09-24 04:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x25feb2…
09-24 03:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2cee48…
09-24 03:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xf9a683…
09-23 06:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0xb35ce3…
09-23 06:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7c0b2c…
09-23 06:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x31c9f3…
09-23 06:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1c50cd…
09-23 06:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x88f915…
09-23 06:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa214fa…
09-23 05:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0x32dc46…
09-23 05:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0x764e72…
09-23 04:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xd73bf0…
09-23 04:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x956ec8…
09-23 04:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x12650b…
09-23 04:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc52f26…
09-23 04:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x05b5c6…
09-23 04:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22cca7…
09-23 04:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	328	2¢	$5	0x981a9c…
09-22 13:40:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	66	16¢	$11	0x6a3efe…
09-22 12:54:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0xba53f0…
09-21 21:40:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xab9f31…
09-21 21:40:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaa6a55…
09-21 21:40:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7e9327…
09-21 11:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x27491f…
09-21 08:07:11	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc27de8…
09-21 05:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xe516fd…
09-21 05:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x7ad309…
09-21 04:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x2d1160…
09-21 04:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc7cc12…
09-21 04:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x49c080…
09-21 04:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x394e3f…
09-21 04:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0x0e1214…
09-21 04:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0xab86d3…
09-20 07:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x0a72a6…
09-20 07:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x5258b0…
09-20 06:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d2d49…
09-20 06:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	98	18¢	$18	0xaf98cb…
09-20 06:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x426e9c…
09-20 00:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x8d7701…