Vivacious-Deputy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$301

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

545

Trades

852

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-29 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

58% 25% -$198

Crypto

36% 58% -$104

Sports

4% 60% +$5

Politics

2% 50% -$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	13	$45	33	33	+0	No	+$21	05-16 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?	2	$43	50	50	+0	Yes	+$33	05-21 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	5	$41	33	33	+0	Yes	+$17	05-14 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?	3	$33	32	23	+9	Yes	+$20	05-22 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 31?	4	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$5	06-01 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	3	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	+$22	05-17 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?	5	$25	34	34	+0	Yes	+$15	05-16 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 18:00 UTC	13	$24	60	0	+60	Up	-$24	04-21 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?	3	$22	16	12	+3	No	+$4	05-23 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 26?	2	$22	16	16	+0	No	+$6	05-26 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 30?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$4	05-31 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on May 26?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$4	05-26 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	2	$20	13	13	+0	No	+$4	05-25 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?	2	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$3	05-24 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:45 UTC	4	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	04-21 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 25?	2	$19	13	12	+0	No	+$3	05-25 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?	2	$19	13	12	+0	No	+$3	05-24 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	2	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$3	05-26 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 28?	3	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$3	05-28 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?	3	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	+$14	05-17 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 3?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	06-03 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?	2	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 13:33
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 19:30 UTC	3	$15	35	0	+35	Down	-$15	04-23 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	06-15 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?	13	$13	1,947	0	+1,947	No	-$13	05-15 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 29?	2	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	-$13	05-28 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 5?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	06-05 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?	4	$12	44	36	+7	No	-$2	05-14 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 5?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	06-05 09:35
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 16?	12	$12	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$12	05-15 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 04:17:05	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x941172…
06-21 23:30:26	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5d4817…
06-20 13:17:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe8f2d1…
06-20 04:03:46	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x513295…
06-20 00:16:29	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc6b6a5…
06-19 21:59:59	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x168830…
06-19 18:55:29	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xabc9eb…
06-19 17:20:38	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x0b0e61…
06-19 17:20:29	will spirit reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3bb69b…
06-18 21:39:28	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb038f9…
06-18 21:38:26	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb73098…
06-18 18:10:16	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3c7d5c…
06-18 09:24:56	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa50b73…
06-18 03:02:59	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x8a29ce…
06-17 22:19:23	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb7837e…
06-17 19:06:37	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x153531…
06-17 19:06:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3eb78a…
06-17 15:40:56	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc89d72…
06-17 15:12:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf3a05f…
06-17 00:12:25	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2ec808…
06-16 22:27:01	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x39e9f9…
06-16 20:02:40	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf0a91b…
06-15 21:36:28	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe64122…
06-15 18:37:10	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdb8ef0…
06-15 18:36:31	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa0d2cd…
06-15 17:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x309664…
06-15 17:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x7c7603…
06-15 17:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xa29fd6…
06-15 17:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x4a0b74…
06-15 17:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa658d2…
06-15 02:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb93a94…
06-15 00:23:00	will spirit reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb8ae9c…
06-14 14:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x97429a…
06-14 14:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9e890b…
06-14 14:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xcbb58f…
06-14 03:31:24	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf31abc…
06-14 03:31:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 5pt5	Spurs	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea3b16…
06-13 03:14:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 5pt5	Spurs	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x56e83b…
06-13 03:14:52	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xda0761…
06-13 03:13:57	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0b2e0a…
06-13 03:03:54	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa04d8a…
06-12 03:08:30	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4c18c1…
06-12 03:03:33	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x2d5f02…
06-11 04:02:39	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x141f95…
06-10 19:02:06	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd33a60…
06-10 18:58:54	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeaecdd…
06-10 17:40:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 9pt5	Knicks	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa99469…
06-10 17:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5cb622…
06-10 14:38:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x8393a4…
06-10 07:41:43	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa21bef…
06-10 07:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc022e3…
06-10 07:01:12	wta mboko pliskov 2026 06 10	Victoria Mboko	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x713e81…
06-10 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdab75b…
06-10 03:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2c3f5d…
06-10 03:04:46	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x95d761…
06-10 01:50:40	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x7e3969…
06-10 01:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb84b8d…
06-09 21:45:18	wnba atl chi 2026 06 09	Atlanta Dream	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcb1872…
06-09 14:06:55	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x99c57d…
06-09 14:06:51	wta gao bronzet 2026 06 08	Xinyu Gao	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcd78c7…
06-09 14:06:40	ethereum above 1700 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe8dd80…
06-09 13:19:49	mlb bos tb 2026 06 09 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xe739a1…
06-09 13:19:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8d46a2…
06-09 04:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe845c9…
06-09 04:44:27	Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x67cd3a…
06-09 03:11:16	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb9f8fd…
06-09 03:10:04	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x5a2fad…
06-08 20:36:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xac831c…
06-08 20:33:39	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x69fd2e…
06-08 18:27:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8f7bf9…
06-08 18:27:30	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbc5a5f…
06-08 18:27:28	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf3d123…
06-08 17:58:00	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9d96a4…
06-08 17:57:58	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x426485…
06-08 17:57:57	mlb hou laa 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xaaa44a…
06-08 17:57:54	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x2d38f1…
06-08 17:57:51	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xfb9f58…
06-08 17:57:45	ethereum above 1700 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdd6e69…
06-08 17:54:43	Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xbe976b…
06-08 17:54:27	Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x049e3d…
06-08 17:54:15	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x9cbf3a…
06-08 17:53:43	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf6fbe7…
06-08 17:53:27	Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x400a5d…
06-08 17:53:04	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x58d899…
06-08 17:52:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x7327eb…
06-08 17:52:22	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x5e2ffb…
06-08 17:52:13	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xbf8326…
06-08 17:47:21	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa9ae88…
06-08 17:46:18	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x0f4e52…
06-08 17:44:36	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f652e…
06-07 17:02:13	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5d4737…
06-06 16:19:12	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa841ec…
06-06 16:19:07	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe0f49c…
06-06 16:19:07	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xce7a77…
06-06 16:19:04	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x305c1b…
06-05 15:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x521d7a…
06-05 09:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x881e0b…
06-04 14:33:18	atp harris bu 2026 06 03	Yunchaokete Bu	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc72e5a…
06-04 11:51:42	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x918512…
06-04 09:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x83d1d3…