Acceptable-Peak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

729

Trades

879

lifetime

Volume

$61.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-18 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 21% -$74

Politics

10% 50% -$121

Other

8% 24% +$128

Sports

6% 57% +$1,266

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	22	$2.6K	1,400	1,542	-142	No	-$15	05-26 23:02
bitcoin above 98k on january 5	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$0	01-05 17:13
bitcoin above 86k on january 12	2	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	Yes	$0	01-12 11:00
bitcoin above 60k on february 12	2	$1.0K	3,503	0	+3,503	Yes	-$7	02-12 07:06
bitcoin above 60k on february 21	2	$1.0K	2,189	0	+2,189	Yes	-$2	02-20 21:42
bitcoin above 58k on march 6	2	$1.0K	2,003	0	+2,003	Yes	-$1	03-05 03:36
bitcoin above 60k on february 16	2	$1.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	-$1	02-15 22:38
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	2	$1.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	-$1	03-02 02:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	2	$1.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	-$1	03-23 22:10
bitcoin above 62k on april 10	2	$1.0K	2,101	0	+2,101	Yes	-$1	04-09 19:53
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	2	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	No	-$1	03-14 23:55
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	2	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	-$1	02-26 23:58
bitcoin above 60k on february 14	2	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	-$1	02-13 23:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	2	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	-$1	03-16 21:46
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	2	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	-$1	03-12 22:30
bitcoin above 58k on february 19	2	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	-$1	02-18 21:38
bitcoin above 80k on march 20	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	03-19 14:54
bitcoin above 88k on january 13	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	01-13 15:23
bitcoin above 88k on january 17	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	01-16 21:26
bitcoin above 84k on january 7	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	01-06 21:13
bitcoin above 96k on january 29	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-28 23:36
bitcoin above 84k on january 10	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	01-09 23:17
bitcoin above 92k on january 30	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-29 22:41
bitcoin above 58k on february 18	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	02-17 20:22
bitcoin above 98k on january 23	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-22 22:03
bitcoin above 82k on january 2	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	01-01 23:03
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-15 21:50
bitcoin above 84k on february 5	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	02-04 22:10
bitcoin above 88k on february 3	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	02-02 23:08
bitcoin above 98k on january 20	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$4	01-19 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 20:31:07	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	639	1¢	$6	0x4010bd…
09-14 20:44:58	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0xd1f3e0…
09-13 07:38:22	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	3¢	$10	0xf1fc63…
09-05 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xfe17b1…
09-05 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xf0a63f…
09-05 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xccc418…
09-05 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0xcc3fdc…
09-05 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0x556e5c…
09-05 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	57¢	$27	0x037382…
09-05 21:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x71ed44…
09-05 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x873f38…
09-05 21:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xcc54a9…
09-05 21:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x4e4750…
09-05 21:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x939efc…
09-05 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	131	79¢	$104	0x088c0e…
08-25 21:37:51	will trump say mission during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x90da64…
06-26 11:16:52	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x0167e1…
06-26 11:10:38	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x1b5be3…
06-25 22:19:16	mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x058c2a…
06-25 22:18:05	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 25	New York Yankees	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x3ce107…
06-25 22:16:55	mlb chc nym 2026 06 25	New York Mets	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4cbf5f…
06-25 22:15:25	mlb tex tor 2026 06 25	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xbcbab5…
06-25 22:14:14	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 25	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x5ad339…
06-25 22:13:20	mlb hou det 2026 06 25	Detroit Tigers	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x0b32c7…
06-23 09:10:31	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x147549…
06-23 09:09:34	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23	Miami Marlins	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf6dcac…
06-23 09:08:32	mlb kc tb 2026 06 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0xe45232…
06-23 09:07:13	mlb sea pit 2026 06 23	Seattle Mariners	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x62ee68…
06-23 09:06:23	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	Detroit Tigers	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb6f689…
06-21 08:06:08	mlb cws det 2026 06 21	Detroit Tigers	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd38e8f…
06-21 08:00:32	mlb sf mia 2026 06 21	San Francisco Giants	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x113443…
06-21 07:50:08	mlb wsh tb 2026 06 21	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x619fdc…
06-21 07:44:37	mlb mil atl 2026 06 21	Atlanta Braves	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x07aa58…
06-21 07:43:29	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 21	New York Yankees	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8cbc94…
06-18 22:15:38	mlb stl kc 2026 06 18	Kansas City Royals	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x85a25d…
06-18 22:14:25	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xc2d226…
06-18 22:10:11	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 18	New York Yankees	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x7d68a5…
06-18 22:08:58	mlb nym phi 2026 06 18	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x53df7b…
06-16 20:35:44	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Chicago Cubs	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x73d38a…
06-16 20:34:49	mlb sd stl 2026 06 16	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xe9030a…
06-16 20:33:43	mlb cle mil 2026 06 16	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x71cf98…
06-16 20:32:55	mlb sf atl 2026 06 16	Atlanta Braves	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x1a1079…
06-16 20:29:19	mlb nym cin 2026 06 16	New York Mets	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x277519…
06-16 20:27:53	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 16	New York Yankees	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0xdbf66e…
06-16 20:26:53	mlb tor bos 2026 06 16	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xdc493f…
06-16 20:25:47	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 16	Washington Nationals	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x68a295…
06-16 20:24:43	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x1a0a6c…
06-14 21:40:40	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Hurricanes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x9226ad…
06-14 21:39:16	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	37	75¢	$27	0x8b6237…
06-14 21:37:28	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	52	82¢	$43	0x05a783…
06-14 21:35:36	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xb51fd2…
06-14 21:33:46	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1914a7…
06-14 21:32:18	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Josh Hokit	BUY	45	81¢	$36	0xb4db9e…
06-14 21:30:28	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x520820…
06-14 21:27:58	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0x4c4432…
06-11 10:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x13c8ef…
06-11 10:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x823244…
06-11 10:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb9fa43…
06-11 10:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc0bf21…
06-11 10:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x417fee…
06-11 10:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1b57fe…
06-10 20:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x832632…
06-10 20:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0186cd…
06-10 20:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdeff74…
06-10 20:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xc9b5f4…
06-10 20:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa0ec8e…
06-10 20:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x1a27e2…
06-10 20:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12?	Yes	SELL	188	2¢	$3	0xa91d7a…
06-10 20:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x40b1c2…
06-10 20:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb9a057…
06-10 20:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6f253b…
06-10 20:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2b8c0c…
06-10 20:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd972c3…
06-10 20:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12?	Yes	BUY	188	3¢	$5	0x55cf16…
06-10 20:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9d9661…
06-10 20:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xed2b64…
06-10 20:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x78945e…
06-10 20:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf544f8…
06-09 22:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe58b89…
06-09 22:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x19e363…
06-09 22:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8818fe…
06-09 22:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x2aea2f…
06-09 22:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc30ccd…
06-09 22:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe23e4b…
06-09 21:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa5da99…
06-09 21:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x28755e…
06-09 21:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe73b30…
06-09 21:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x746536…
06-09 21:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x4bbf78…
06-09 21:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa8971c…
06-08 10:38:55	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x352e74…
06-08 10:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x53a41c…
06-08 10:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdaf0fd…
06-08 10:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xe8e603…
06-08 10:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0xb40db1…
06-08 10:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xef3c9e…
06-08 10:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x053a09…
06-08 10:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0c8310…
06-08 10:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdc71d3…
06-08 10:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xeb9f48…