Free-Clamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

440

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-19 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

71% 81% -$11

Crypto

20% 87% +$1

Politics

5% 74% +$0

Sports

2% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	4	$101	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 04:58
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	3	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	07-26 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	4	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-27 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-25 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 30?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 18:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	09-11 17:44
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-26 05:33
ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 24?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 16:23
Will "The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-22 00:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:29
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 22:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 11?	9	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-11 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	2	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	08-12 06:46
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-27 12:34
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	3	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 20:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 23?	3	$57	46	11	+35	No	+$0	07-23 05:55
Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 20:40
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 04:39
xrp above 1pt2 on july 28 2026	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 05:11
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:22
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on July 23?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 25?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-25 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7b3934…
10-18 14:06:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa630b8…
10-13 18:53:46	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x59c3dd…
10-13 02:02:54	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3904bb…
10-12 05:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa4e1e8…
10-12 05:16:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1693f3…
10-11 22:56:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x12a78b…
10-11 21:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x646e1b…
10-11 18:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9f3f78…
10-11 18:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf8c1c4…
10-11 18:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x38bf52…
10-11 17:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6e7b0c…
10-10 09:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4de312…
10-10 01:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb435b3…
10-05 09:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd065f9…
10-01 23:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd73e2a…
10-01 23:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa790fe…
10-01 04:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71b1cc…
09-28 03:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 28?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf5b0b5…
09-27 21:47:38	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf30f36…
09-23 10:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x056fdd…
09-23 05:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa56916…
09-23 03:46:41	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0dfba3…
09-23 01:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0f4973…
09-22 01:22:18	will bitcoin dip to 80k on september 21 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68e56c…
09-19 02:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9cadf0…
09-18 01:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3cced7…
09-17 12:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c41fe…
09-13 05:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2857af…
09-11 17:49:06	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x93f966…
09-11 17:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8d4bf9…
09-11 17:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xd3f860…
09-11 01:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xac6fe9…
09-10 19:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9d4776…
09-07 14:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1a9655…
09-06 14:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe4a3e2…
09-06 06:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xca7351…
09-06 01:10:21	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4ed29f…
09-05 06:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd4d9c0…
09-05 04:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd31ace…
09-04 19:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1b6530…
09-04 19:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2cf383…
09-04 11:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x224d2b…
09-04 03:51:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfc8597…
09-03 12:56:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68ded1…
09-03 07:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9da5c6…
09-02 22:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x23078c…
09-02 20:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4915d2…
09-02 12:00:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x30e58e…
09-02 06:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0e70cd…
09-01 15:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a7c3d…
09-01 11:56:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4ee73b…
09-01 02:49:25	Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe400dc…
08-31 05:29:48	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6e13c2…
08-30 23:29:54	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb94531…
08-30 17:29:01	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xda809f…
08-30 14:35:22	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfb29fb…
08-30 04:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb0210d…
08-29 18:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x737ee2…
08-29 16:17:43	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe9d3dd…
08-29 09:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x060ec4…
08-27 09:44:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on August 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x87496c…
08-27 05:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7af66f…
08-26 22:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xbb772f…
08-26 18:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e940e…
08-26 12:23:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2eb9c5…
08-26 03:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x777165…
08-25 08:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x05d27d…
08-25 07:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xec9ae4…
08-25 01:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe3f43c…
08-24 15:28:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0431cc…
08-24 09:44:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x66fb43…
08-23 22:40:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38094e…
08-23 17:53:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5283a7…
08-14 17:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x281031…
08-14 07:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdad48a…
08-13 22:08:51	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcbe3e…
08-13 21:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68950…
08-13 16:32:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc0e16f…
08-13 06:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x193b11…
08-13 05:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x847342…
08-12 21:02:21	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8af2f0…
08-12 06:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7e741c…
08-12 04:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7f96be…
08-11 23:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe266a6…
08-11 20:47:37	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4d4391…
08-11 12:26:48	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f8e91…
08-10 21:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb6a250…
08-10 18:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x41052d…
08-10 15:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa68d2a…
08-10 11:22:01	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1d9898…
08-09 12:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x919381…
08-09 10:02:18	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x27be59…
08-09 04:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x6ad8a5…
08-09 01:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x08dcd3…
08-08 19:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x44d88e…
08-08 02:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb581ee…
08-08 01:51:34	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa35314…
08-07 23:03:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc0ceaa…
08-07 18:15:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf33458…