Sweltering-Delivery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

436

Trades

834

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

75% 78% -$13

Crypto

19% 77% +$1

Politics

3% 86% +$0

Sports

2% 75% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	5	$98	49	49	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 23:09
Will Pedri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	07-19 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	4	$84	42	42	+0	No	$0	10-12 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	4	$78	48	30	+18	No	+$0	07-31 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 25?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-24 10:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 04:05
Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 5 - 3 Argentina?	2	$67	35	32	+3	No	$0	07-19 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 24?	6	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-24 10:00
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-29 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 25?	4	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 00:22
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 06:41
xrp above 1pt3 on july 27 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-26 15:55
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-27 18:07
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 2 and 3 days?	4	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-30 13:15
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 25?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:02
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-15 14:53
will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C or below on July 29?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-26 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 19?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-27 06:06
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 09:49
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 24?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 12:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 21?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 23:58
bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ca176…
10-18 20:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x58f775…
10-16 09:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x7fe835…
10-13 01:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0ff0b1…
10-13 00:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e7eca…
10-13 00:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9e4841…
10-13 00:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x17d00f…
10-13 00:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbb3a8d…
10-12 06:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9219f6…
10-12 06:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x6b4384…
10-12 01:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3be1e9…
10-12 01:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc6a2c4…
10-12 00:54:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x830ce6…
10-11 23:09:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x06cb1c…
10-10 07:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x51ab45…
10-10 03:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0f4a10…
10-05 09:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5e6805…
10-02 01:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3a747b…
10-01 23:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd2d85f…
10-01 06:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x815c5a…
09-28 05:09:02	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x62ba42…
09-27 21:18:24	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x60e4b5…
09-23 21:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x42dcc6…
09-23 18:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x74d653…
09-22 19:51:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d22c1…
09-22 16:39:25	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd99470…
09-22 16:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x46495d…
09-21 23:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfce6d3…
09-18 18:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x72a153…
09-17 23:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa3863f…
09-17 11:55:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x70811a…
09-13 04:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf14873…
09-11 19:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8536fb…
09-11 00:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbdfdb4…
09-10 20:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc440db…
09-07 13:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xab11d7…
09-06 12:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x33f07d…
09-06 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbb1a54…
09-06 00:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8fc3e1…
09-05 05:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3f8008…
09-04 23:41:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x0e4cc8…
09-04 22:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x778639…
09-04 17:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b5413…
09-04 10:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xed465c…
09-04 01:57:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8af5f8…
09-03 19:56:31	will bitcoin dip to 75k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x06f1b6…
09-03 10:36:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8f1401…
09-02 23:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9b5477…
09-02 18:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8529e3…
09-02 09:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb384e9…
09-02 09:13:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x42b6e6…
09-01 05:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1a1adc…
09-01 02:04:57	will trump meet with mark carney by august 31 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1a7dd…
08-31 03:47:21	Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd92c38…
08-31 00:26:25	Kash Patel out by August 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf1c7de…
08-30 19:05:22	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb299ee…
08-30 13:31:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa719cd…
08-30 02:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x52d172…
08-29 23:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x91abf4…
08-28 20:33:52	where will it rain on august 28 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xaa4584…
08-28 10:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6f25e3…
08-28 04:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfc612a…
08-27 12:47:43	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc2f5cf…
08-27 05:29:22	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf15814…
08-26 22:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x70a645…
08-26 20:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x2f35b9…
08-26 19:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x16f9b5…
08-25 15:12:37	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x8c5644…
08-25 12:18:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8709ab…
08-25 06:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x67b9c4…
08-25 00:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x4ad858…
08-24 17:00:13	will bitcoin dip to 71k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x517499…
08-24 11:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x01c0d8…
08-24 01:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13646f…
08-23 19:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc13731…
08-23 16:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfc4f56…
08-14 07:14:39	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x683e30…
08-13 18:59:43	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde9073…
08-13 16:20:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x327baa…
08-13 10:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xe68957…
08-13 06:48:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x897cee…
08-12 21:36:13	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 12	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x32c690…
08-12 07:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa211dd…
08-12 05:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc9c349…
08-11 23:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1d86d6…
08-11 15:06:04	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x22f89c…
08-11 13:18:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf4dd9f…
08-10 22:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe4391c…
08-10 20:48:49	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x812b9a…
08-10 14:00:07	bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdb15b5…
08-10 12:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd29d43…
08-09 14:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0d2820…
08-09 11:26:13	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x35a566…
08-09 06:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x528dc8…
08-09 02:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0efd0c…
08-08 19:13:51	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x78ed2a…
08-08 06:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb2884…
08-08 00:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e41a2…
08-07 19:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8da234…
08-07 15:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x8ed284…