Fluffy-String — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

438

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-19 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

73% 80% +$2

Crypto

21% 84% +$1

Politics

4% 75% $0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	4	$119	59	59	+0	No	$0	07-26 21:52
ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	5	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on July 30?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-29 22:57
ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	3	$93	46	46	+0	No	$0	07-26 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	3	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-22 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 27?	3	$83	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-27 04:06
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	5	$73	36	36	+0	No	$0	07-30 21:36
xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	4	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-23 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	5	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-13 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 09:39
will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 23:16
will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on July 19?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 07:00
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-20 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 21?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 09:41
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 07:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	3	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-11 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 27?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-26 16:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 22:35
ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 12:26
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-20 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 27?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-27 11:16
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-15 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-29 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on July 25?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-24 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3c2a8d…
10-18 20:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x065759…
10-16 10:26:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe396b9…
10-13 19:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3fa4d…
10-13 19:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x6c483a…
10-13 15:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8026db…
10-13 15:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x552b95…
10-13 09:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbafcae…
10-12 05:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xca90b5…
10-12 02:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on October 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xba3c31…
10-12 01:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xad12be…
10-12 00:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x8fe9cd…
10-11 22:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x90b357…
10-11 19:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2633c7…
10-10 09:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4df577…
10-10 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9e866…
10-10 01:11:35	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be at least $14B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x71606a…
10-05 09:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7262c4…
10-02 01:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa59273…
10-01 23:24:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x992d7d…
10-01 06:17:15	Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa455dd…
09-28 04:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x344e6e…
09-27 21:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x086bf6…
09-23 12:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x372b33…
09-23 03:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5e66cc…
09-23 01:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa80cfb…
09-22 15:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x40a70c…
09-22 14:16:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe9e03c…
09-21 23:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x99787a…
09-18 21:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf263c3…
09-17 23:42:31	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be at least $14B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x913268…
09-13 03:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeeda9e…
09-11 19:08:19	Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9fd481…
09-11 19:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x9e0bf4…
09-11 01:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xc74b04…
09-10 19:30:33	Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe39207…
09-07 15:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc46d12…
09-06 15:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x209aca…
09-06 09:25:55	Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9d349a…
09-05 22:50:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xc17b55…
09-05 22:44:51	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x912558…
09-05 07:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfa0e1e…
09-05 02:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7353dd…
09-04 21:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3efb6e…
09-04 19:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8c9f0c…
09-04 13:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xffaa27…
09-04 01:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x66debb…
09-03 16:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x560ea5…
09-03 07:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x698579…
09-03 02:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcd4b15…
09-02 18:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x725f90…
09-02 09:40:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x11f7c5…
09-02 06:02:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2230c1…
09-02 00:12:27	Will Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8b9c8…
09-01 07:40:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x24ddcb…
09-01 02:22:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8caf51…
08-31 04:10:03	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6f27cb…
08-31 01:51:54	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f80fd…
08-30 20:12:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd0bc4…
08-30 15:43:52	bitcoin above 70k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf02c1…
08-30 01:20:40	will bitcoin dip to 76k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf9689e…
08-29 17:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b6e3…
08-29 14:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd40739…
08-28 11:25:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6e6b4…
08-28 05:28:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7f2b73…
08-27 14:27:45	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x58b464…
08-27 09:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97925a…
08-27 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x25dbc9…
08-27 01:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6f171…
08-26 19:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xed3d09…
08-26 16:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8276da…
08-25 14:09:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9babe7…
08-25 09:53:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x86028b…
08-25 06:50:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0cd6aa…
08-24 20:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe9746b…
08-24 17:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc5660e…
08-24 10:07:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xee80ce…
08-24 07:29:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0b9908…
08-23 18:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9a91a8…
08-14 17:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe6f7d1…
08-14 09:25:40	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x930173…
08-13 17:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0bfc7e…
08-13 16:31:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff4cf2…
08-13 10:42:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa8a6d1…
08-13 06:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x07b1d0…
08-12 23:05:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf6cdbc…
08-12 08:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x019502…
08-12 04:21:40	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x49a6a3…
08-12 01:21:06	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcc41c5…
08-11 21:59:15	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6571ea…
08-11 14:27:36	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa641a1…
08-10 21:56:37	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe584d0…
08-10 20:01:31	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe8aba0…
08-10 13:27:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8f726a…
08-10 12:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5cce98…
08-09 14:15:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1beb9f…
08-09 07:28:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xd6c9ee…
08-09 03:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xff4bf5…
08-09 03:17:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd928e4…
08-08 19:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcd517b…