Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 8?
open
Total volume
$45
$1,597 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$4,820
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 20:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $0 | $22 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $11 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 13 | 05-06 04:55 |
| Limping-Colorlessness 0xab01…a875 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 07:58 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 20:46 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Outlying-Van 0x9fab…6e44 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 07:23 |
| Formal-Capon 0xee96…e0c5 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 02:28 |
| Rundown-Micronutrient 0x8cfc…7854 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 20:46:49 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xced8c4… |
| 05-07 14:39:42 | Fantastic-Methodology 0xa46d…e5f9 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x34f90f… |
| 05-07 08:58:20 | Wiggly-Grassland 0x23d7…2b2b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9937ca… |
| 05-07 08:28:10 | Rundown-Micronutrient 0x8cfc…7854 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc48c5b… |
| 05-07 07:58:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x3ac878… |
| 05-07 07:23:10 | Outlying-Van 0x9fab…6e44 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x780960… |
| 05-07 04:58:42 | Limping-Colorlessness 0xab01…a875 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x1762f4… |
| 05-07 02:28:19 | Formal-Capon 0xee96…e0c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4a3a68… |
| 05-06 18:50:57 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e453e… |
| 05-06 18:20:58 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x959392… |
| 05-06 04:55:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa732f8… |
| 05-06 04:55:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a74b7… |
| 05-06 04:54:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10ec31… |
| 05-06 04:54:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb62c2… |
| 05-06 04:54:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0beb3… |
| 05-06 04:54:24 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x17de48… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc80d16… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x631a17… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbfb68b… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x015e6e… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc3da96… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2c5133… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4991d3… |
| 05-06 04:49:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x527aa3… |
| 05-06 04:49:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x54c223… |
| 05-06 04:49:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5dd9c3… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8126c5… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x374609… |