Limping-Colorlessness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

444

Trades

793

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

76% 81% +$3

Crypto

19% 82% +$1

Politics

3% 75% +$0

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on July 31?	8	$115	57	57	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	5	$101	51	51	+0	No	$0	07-23 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-22 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 26?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-26 08:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 31?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 24?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-24 03:53
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 23	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:54
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:59
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-31 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 10?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-10 18:12
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-04 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	10-13 16:46
ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 10?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	10-12 00:45
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on May 7?	3	$56	38	18	+20	No	+$0	05-07 04:30
ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 05:02
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 27?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-26 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:09
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-26 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 29?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-29 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 30?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-30 00:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 27?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-26 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	9	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-27 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on July 29?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:34
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-18 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on July 19?	2	$47	24	23	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9eb1c2…
10-18 18:12:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0c0ac7…
10-16 08:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9d9d3…
10-13 18:53:37	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x98245c…
10-13 16:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x969622…
10-13 08:38:01	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc31236…
10-12 15:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3a86de…
10-12 09:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x75e16b…
10-12 09:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43263e…
10-12 00:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1ca594…
10-12 00:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6ee7b0…
10-11 19:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbd3a6d…
10-10 08:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc97806…
10-10 04:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x15ca2c…
10-05 11:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x91fc7a…
10-02 00:56:41	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x232023…
10-01 22:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb7f463…
10-01 05:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on October 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb915d5…
09-28 02:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x31e4b2…
09-27 21:58:23	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x56af64…
09-23 10:36:25	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 3°C or below on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x602d17…
09-23 02:03:35	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x27bfe6…
09-23 01:31:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5304e6…
09-23 01:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xff4cda…
09-22 18:22:55	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4bf345…
09-21 19:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa6a611…
09-19 02:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf35c80…
09-18 01:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xab1e84…
09-17 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5957b0…
09-13 04:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd8bb33…
09-11 22:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc9aa2d…
09-11 03:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1b96bd…
09-10 20:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x56ef15…
09-07 14:10:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd8ab12…
09-06 21:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce1f8f…
09-06 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x7e9838…
09-06 05:23:28	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9633f0…
09-05 23:32:01	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf8e538…
09-05 08:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6f852…
09-05 02:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef7c9d…
09-04 22:23:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb97abc…
09-04 17:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0ca180…
09-04 12:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc78cf2…
09-04 05:30:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x14727c…
09-03 15:54:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4ffcfa…
09-03 08:10:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xda8fe6…
09-03 00:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x81e509…
09-02 15:48:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8ad3b0…
09-02 09:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4dee56…
09-02 09:01:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x565a49…
09-01 12:21:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x617bcb…
09-01 02:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb9d997…
08-31 04:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0c70d8…
08-31 01:38:43	Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x004640…
08-30 18:52:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x42d8f3…
08-30 17:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x03a264…
08-30 16:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x16eb26…
08-29 23:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x708e93…
08-29 22:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8e5c24…
08-29 15:01:42	ethereum above 2900 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2dbca3…
08-28 17:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79cfea…
08-28 17:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x800e60…
08-27 15:24:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xef8414…
08-27 05:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c600e…
08-26 21:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbbb335…
08-26 20:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6eec65…
08-26 12:37:58	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in July?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ec4ff…
08-25 14:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf944c8…
08-25 12:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4959be…
08-25 06:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8d7fbc…
08-25 01:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b7b5f…
08-24 19:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb3781d…
08-24 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xab849d…
08-24 00:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb3b96d…
08-23 19:44:58	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe02a8e…
08-14 15:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb3b6a4…
08-14 07:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x084be2…
08-13 18:07:16	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xca188d…
08-13 16:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8f61b9…
08-13 09:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe06be9…
08-13 06:59:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x606235…
08-13 05:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8ccbe6…
08-12 21:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x35f685…
08-12 06:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf1a098…
08-12 01:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x699e06…
08-11 22:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x839351…
08-11 20:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x4b71ea…
08-11 14:13:55	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09481f…
08-10 21:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5ec2ee…
08-10 19:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x7f51a0…
08-10 11:29:18	bitcoin above 68k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd460a1…
08-09 12:06:46	will super troopers 3 score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231498	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x663ac0…
08-09 10:07:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x997e99…
08-09 05:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd7e80f…
08-09 01:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 9?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x10b991…
08-08 18:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5df0e…
08-08 08:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x115718…
08-08 04:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xba6de5…
08-07 22:09:46	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xad4ea7…
08-07 17:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x555ca4…