Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$2,250
$5,490 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$6,727
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 04:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $2 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 12 | — | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trustworthy-Marines 0x9177…0491 | No | +2,173 | $2,153 | $2,153 | 1 | 05-10 10:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f0…3196 | Yes | +667 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:47 |
| Frilly-Buffalo 0x1c15…c2bf | Yes | +239 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:49 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 00:44 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Menacing-Stacking 0x6459…8f41 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 16:43 |
| Strict-Victory 0xe203…f027 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:35 |
| Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 02:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-11 03:12 |
| White-Junior 0xa81b…f421 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 05:06 |
| Medical-Jellybeans 0x4d3c…d670 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Formal-Capon 0xee96…e0c5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b94…fe4f | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:33 |
| Elated-Corsage 0x88ed…21e9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:24 |
| Canine-Buffalo 0xf826…b3dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:49:14 | Frilly-Buffalo 0x1c15…c2bf | Yes | BUY | 239 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3d7252… |
| 05-12 02:18:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d36a7… |
| 05-11 23:12:51 | Submissive-Diesel 0x6ed8…e3a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6346c4… |
| 05-11 21:32:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e3c12… |
| 05-11 16:47:56 | (anonymous) 0xb4f0…3196 | Yes | BUY | 667 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x35d8a3… |
| 05-11 16:47:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d246c… |
| 05-11 16:47:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64f155… |
| 05-11 16:47:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfdfa80… |
| 05-11 16:43:23 | Menacing-Stacking 0x6459…8f41 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x20cb45… |
| 05-11 16:37:25 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a1a4a… |
| 05-11 16:00:36 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x4d2581… |
| 05-11 13:14:35 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 195 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87735b… |
| 05-11 13:04:37 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x50eb5f… |
| 05-11 10:37:14 | Canine-Buffalo 0xf826…b3dd | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3b353f… |
| 05-11 09:57:01 | Formal-Capon 0xee96…e0c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x7841bb… |
| 05-11 09:24:59 | Elated-Corsage 0x88ed…21e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1cf837… |
| 05-11 03:12:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xedb21c… |
| 05-11 02:46:10 | Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1bca47… |
| 05-11 01:35:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7f05a… |
| 05-11 00:44:16 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf88f1b… |
| 05-11 00:30:23 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1d7eb6… |
| 05-10 23:40:54 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1032ef… |
| 05-10 22:30:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e7f8d… |
| 05-10 13:56:41 | Medical-Jellybeans 0x4d3c…d670 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xed9422… |
| 05-10 10:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x0b94…fe4f | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x00da92… |
| 05-10 10:33:11 | Trustworthy-Marines 0x9177…0491 | No | BUY | 2,173 | 99¢ | $2,153 | 0xa080d9… |
| 05-10 09:47:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa81158… |
| 05-10 09:42:19 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ebedd… |
| 05-10 09:42:11 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x361a5b… |
| 05-10 09:26:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa9075b… |
| 05-10 09:19:06 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xffe1f9… |
| 05-10 05:06:30 | White-Junior 0xa81b…f421 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x0b1f8c… |
| 05-10 04:35:40 | Strict-Victory 0xe203…f027 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x47f9d6… |