Formal-Percentage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

527

Trades

1,535

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-12 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

89% 95% -$13

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	14	$99	50	49	+1	Yes	+$0	05-10 20:23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 6?	9	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-05 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 11?	7	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 4?	10	$53	27	26	+0	No	+$0	05-03 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	11	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-12 10:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on May 4?	6	$47	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 5?	7	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 5?	8	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-05 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	7	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-09 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 6?	5	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or below on May 6?	7	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 6?	6	$41	21	20	+0	No	+$0	05-05 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on May 11?	5	$41	21	20	+0	No	+$0	05-10 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 6?	5	$41	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 4?	6	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-03 23:57
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on May 10?	6	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-10 05:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on May 5?	7	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-05 08:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 11?	8	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on May 4?	10	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-03 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C or below on May 5?	6	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-04 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 5?	6	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-04 18:08
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	6	$38	22	16	+6	No	+$0	05-06 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on May 6?	6	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-05 19:58
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	6	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-11 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 10?	6	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-09 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 11?	5	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-10 13:09
Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	5	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-12 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on May 8?	4	$35	18	17	+0	No	+$0	05-08 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?	6	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-12 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 11:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf77c82…
05-12 11:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc79506…
05-12 11:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7de9b7…
05-12 10:58:59	Will Darren Millar be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x66a884…
05-12 10:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 13?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x027d36…
05-12 10:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x468070…
05-12 10:58:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4732bb…
05-12 10:58:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2d91d5…
05-12 10:58:34	Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x73159f…
05-12 10:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x59f45d…
05-12 10:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb52673…
05-12 10:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb8f334…
05-12 10:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3e7a73…
05-12 10:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57b2f8…
05-12 10:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe763fe…
05-12 10:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9433a4…
05-12 10:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x083a83…
05-12 10:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x31d15c…
05-12 10:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb88cfb…
05-12 10:57:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa6250b…
05-12 10:57:35	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x751c62…
05-12 10:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x556dc2…
05-12 10:57:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe3ac1f…
05-12 10:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on May 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x324d73…
05-12 10:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x51d35f…
05-12 10:57:12	Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8265f4…
05-12 10:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x43281d…
05-12 10:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6c693d…
05-12 10:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa3fc95…
05-12 10:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3eb0d6…
05-12 10:52:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 12?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x232754…
05-12 10:52:04	Will Gary L. Rogge win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf0dcd3…
05-12 10:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd7291c…
05-12 10:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb6ca6e…
05-12 10:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa9fe0a…
05-12 10:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x12d6e9…
05-12 10:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x67130a…
05-12 10:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on May 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcd4f8b…
05-12 10:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x940b51…
05-12 10:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2bd404…
05-12 10:13:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee4039…
05-12 10:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf56ecb…
05-12 10:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b59da…
05-12 10:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on May 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x546ac0…
05-12 10:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x16c1bf…
05-12 09:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3fdc2a…
05-12 09:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0e25c2…
05-12 09:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe95b7e…
05-12 09:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf46897…
05-12 09:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa46d66…
05-12 09:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76b6b1…
05-12 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc74cbf…
05-12 09:29:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9e045d…
05-12 09:19:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8464ca…
05-12 09:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf90af1…
05-12 09:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x618f39…
05-12 09:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2af181…
05-12 09:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc14bee…
05-12 08:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d58b1…
05-12 08:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x717492…
05-12 08:40:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1efe14…
05-12 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x022cc2…
05-12 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc0f90e…
05-12 08:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f421c…
05-12 08:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xae76c0…
05-12 08:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95798b…
05-12 08:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x421f58…
05-12 08:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 13?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x688c1f…
05-12 07:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x669589…
05-12 07:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7a05e7…
05-12 07:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xde4d8d…
05-12 07:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0d2d2…
05-12 07:47:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2cf6bb…
05-12 07:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7c446…
05-12 07:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2966dc…
05-12 07:34:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc01907…
05-12 07:32:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x85a05a…
05-12 07:32:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3bf3f8…
05-12 07:32:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2fad20…
05-12 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdad9d6…
05-12 07:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc633dc…
05-12 07:11:08	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x39383e…
05-12 07:00:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5a4270…
05-12 06:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x98f777…
05-12 06:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x18742b…
05-12 06:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8aa39e…
05-12 06:33:25	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x257b8a…
05-12 06:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc58db3…
05-12 06:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x316860…
05-12 06:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6631c1…
05-12 06:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on May 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd5470c…
05-12 06:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x34b5f2…
05-12 06:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa9f4d2…
05-12 06:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x2e066e…
05-12 06:04:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf24bec…
05-12 05:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xff13ab…
05-12 05:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0aae5…
05-12 05:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x911efb…
05-12 05:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x281f9a…
05-12 05:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xddf347…