Cultivated-Bin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$388

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

8,563

Trades

15,575

lifetime

Volume

$36.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-16 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 69% -$302

Other

8% 57% -$85

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$201	107	102	+5	Up	+$1	05-12 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	13	$109	72	72	+0	Yes	-$1	05-10 18:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 21:45 UTC	40	$72	63	61	+2	Down	+$0	04-08 21:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$56	40	40	+0	No	$0	04-25 15:02
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 22	6	$54	110	110	+0	No	-$6	03-22 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	11	$49	35	35	+0	No	-$4	05-11 16:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 00:35 UTC	2	$49	26	25	+0	Up	-$1	04-01 00:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 00:50 UTC	2	$48	26	25	+0	Up	-$1	04-01 00:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:10 UTC	25	$48	38	37	+1	Down	+$0	04-09 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:05 UTC	10	$48	34	34	+0	Up	$0	03-23 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?	16	$47	45	45	+0	Yes	+$43	05-11 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:05 UTC	7	$45	28	27	+0	Up	+$2	04-07 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:05 UTC	9	$44	49	19	+30	Up	-$7	03-23 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:10 UTC	7	$42	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	03-23 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	6	$40	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-11 22:05
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$38	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-22 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$36	23	23	+0	Up	+$7	04-29 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$36	23	23	+0	Down	+$6	04-29 06:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	2	$36	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	03-22 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$34	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	04-29 06:58
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	11	$33	30	30	+0	Yes	-$4	04-19 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:35 UTC	4	$32	30	30	+0	Up	-$8	03-24 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC	7	$30	20	17	+3	Down	-$1	03-20 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 12?	9	$30	25	25	+0	No	-$1	05-12 08:11
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 17c	6	$30	15	35	-20	No	-$9	04-19 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	9	$29	167	129	+38	Down	-$7	05-04 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	11	$29	28	27	+1	Up	-$2	04-27 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	18	$29	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 22:40
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$29	30	29	+0	Team Falcons	$0	04-25 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbf9935…
05-16 22:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbdf5e6…
05-16 17:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x784539…
05-16 16:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x26b350…
05-16 16:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2db112…
05-16 16:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xa9ed7e…
05-16 16:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x56da57…
05-16 16:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xdc196c…
05-16 16:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x32faae…
05-16 16:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xc3ad13…
05-16 16:01:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xe325c7…
05-16 16:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x5267f3…
05-16 16:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x19f2e1…
05-16 15:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc3149d…
05-16 15:59:05	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x688610…
05-16 15:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x012f57…
05-16 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x845f2e…
05-16 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x677ae3…
05-16 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x34cc67…
05-16 15:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x72a1bc…
05-16 15:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x422848…
05-16 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc4ba9f…
05-16 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf292cc…
05-16 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc57230…
05-16 15:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf55213…
05-16 15:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb99f23…
05-16 15:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x19c4e9…
05-16 15:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xa6538c…
05-16 14:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x105865…
05-16 14:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1ebaf9…
05-16 14:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf98827…
05-16 14:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x20939b…
05-16 14:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9b1ad5…
05-16 14:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcdf897…
05-16 14:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8bdbed…
05-16 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9a8745…
05-16 14:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x7bb0e4…
05-16 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc7edca…
05-16 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x86c8d3…
05-16 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x2d6027…
05-16 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x1a73be…
05-16 14:16:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x49eefa…
05-16 14:16:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1c4895…
05-16 14:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xc6bb99…
05-16 14:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcd7f39…
05-16 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0db623…
05-16 13:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf2c978…
05-16 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x796435…
05-16 13:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xca8346…
05-16 13:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xae9b31…
05-16 13:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe5fdc7…
05-16 13:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xc41c27…
05-16 13:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xb96808…
05-16 13:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdb8090…
05-16 13:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfd86e0…
05-16 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x7be207…
05-16 13:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdaa904…
05-16 13:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1d1198…
05-16 13:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xc5a0a7…
05-16 13:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7b8e61…
05-16 13:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f97c9…
05-16 12:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa6925d…
05-16 01:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x36a0fd…
05-16 01:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa2c3e2…
05-16 01:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x66d5e7…
05-16 01:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x7d6292…
05-16 01:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x02832e…
05-16 00:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa306f5…
05-16 00:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x440305…
05-16 00:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd170c1…
05-16 00:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5a99c6…
05-16 00:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8d4378…
05-16 00:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfb5f59…
05-16 00:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf42129…
05-16 00:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8cebf4…
05-16 00:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x6d159b…
05-16 00:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa1071d…
05-16 00:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xc10caf…
05-15 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0fb146…
05-15 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x136cb4…
05-15 18:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd0d746…
05-15 18:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xcb306f…
05-15 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x933ddf…
05-15 18:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xffcd62…
05-15 18:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xba9c07…
05-15 18:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xbd771c…
05-15 18:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe854ff…
05-15 18:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x9ecbf6…
05-15 18:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd4e725…
05-15 18:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x13b177…
05-15 17:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x333a28…
05-15 17:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x73951f…
05-15 17:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc5b4e1…
05-15 16:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x0778b8…
05-15 16:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xa8daae…
05-15 16:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x26ba06…
05-15 15:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xfdac86…
05-15 15:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb437b5…
05-15 15:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xa3da5d…
05-15 15:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe5df2e…