Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$87,893

Trades

10,056

Unique wallets

1,725

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-05-16

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-16 15:47

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Plump-Sauerkraut +4,010 Swift-Census +3,300 Hearty-Project-Bargain +3,236 (anon) +1,130 Equal-Heritage +1,097 Popular-Insurrection +934 Svelte-Chicory +905 Sophisticated-Leptocephalus +900

NO holders

Plump-Sauerkraut +4,584 Functional-Bran +2,500 Hot-Cashier +1,703 Sophisticated-Leptocephalus +1,609 Haunting-Cheese +1,506 Alive-Supermarket +1,199 (anon) +1,018 Inferior-Fry +1,011

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +9.3¢ (top1%: 57% YES on $40.5K vs crowd: 47% YES on $75.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	181	$12.5K	$18.7K	$6.2K
🐬 Dolphin	432	$16.1K	$12.7K	+$3.4K
🐟 Fish	661	$5.7K	$6.1K	$460
🦐 Shrimp	451	$1.6K	$2.1K	$549

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	259	$23.0K	$17.5K	+$5.5K
🏆 Top 5%	235	$4.9K	$5.4K	$460
✅ Top 10%	95	$481	$841	$360
Median	111	$70	$773	$704
Below median	456	$1.3K	$2.4K	$1.1K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	244	$974	$2.0K	$1.1K
🔻 Bottom 5%	230	$2.9K	$4.0K	$1.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	95	$2.2K	$6.7K	$4.5K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Down	+4,584	$2,241	$2,241	345	05-16 15:44
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Up	+4,010	$1,096	$1,096	282	05-16 15:45
Swift-Census 0xbadb…31a7	Up	+3,300	$1,932	$1,932	90	05-16 15:41
Hearty-Project-Bargain 0xd32c…f93a	Up	+3,236	$1,888	$1,888	118	05-16 15:41
Functional-Bran 0x1e50…2473	Down	+2,500	$875	$875	1	05-16 15:37
Hot-Cashier 0xbbaf…f3c9	Down	+1,703	$681	$681	96	05-16 15:43
Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773	Down	+1,609	$611	$611	22	05-16 15:42
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Down	+1,506	$1,478	$1,478	49	05-16 15:46
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	Down	+1,199	$595	$595	3	05-16 15:44
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Up	+1,130	$608	$608	93	05-16 15:44
Equal-Heritage 0x1a4c…a420	Up	+1,097	$700	$700	10	05-16 15:44
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Down	+1,018	$548	$548	94	05-16 15:44
Inferior-Fry 0x91aa…19b8	Down	+1,011	$541	$541	7	05-16 15:45
Opulent-Crab 0xb416…4588	Down	+1,000	$600	$600	32	05-16 15:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+934	$353	$353	40	05-16 15:45
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+905	$398	$398	52	05-16 15:44
Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773	Up	+900	$416	$416	42	05-16 15:44
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+900	$372	$372	9	05-16 15:43
Stingy-Plastic 0x4be6…dc20	Down	+849	$348	$348	20	05-16 15:41
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Down	+828	$16	$1,577	73	05-16 15:47
Unusual-Dancer 0xcfbb…4197	Up	+800	$40	$40	11	05-16 15:44
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	Down	+791	$547	$547	23	05-16 15:44
Aggravating-Tax 0xf323…4c32	Up	+790	$470	$470	49	05-16 15:41
Specific-Recorder 0x4631…5454	Down	+778	$770	$770	1	05-16 15:44
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	Up	+756	$440	$440	48	05-16 15:41
Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e	Up	+717	$323	$323	35	05-16 15:44
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Down	+708	$381	$381	6	05-16 15:44
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Up	+700	$409	$409	3	05-16 15:43
Metallic-Surplus 0x1ebc…64bc	Up	+700	$319	$319	3	05-16 15:43
Spotted-Representation 0x69c7…b03c	Up	+700	$29	$29	10	05-16 15:44
Exotic-Scholar 0x63ad…c072	Up	+683	$408	$408	3	05-16 15:43
Inferior-Fry 0x91aa…19b8	Up	+680	$369	$369	31	05-16 15:43
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Up	+668	$364	$393	15	05-16 15:44
Accurate-Downtown 0xd8d8…bcbe	Up	+631	$388	$388	38	05-16 15:41
(anonymous) 0x8882…03fb	Up	+627	$95	$95	3	05-16 15:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+607	$263	$263	20	05-16 15:44
Silent-Median 0xc6e2…11d1	Up	+600	$238	$238	1	05-16 15:43
(anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63	Up	+600	$285	$285	12	05-16 15:41
Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd	Down	+556	$200	$200	1	05-16 15:37
Aggravating-Tax 0xf323…4c32	Down	+554	$434	$434	14	05-16 15:44
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+542	$215	$215	43	05-16 15:44
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Up	+527	$68	$68	19	05-16 15:44
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	Up	+527	$276	$276	21	05-16 15:43
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	Down	+527	$240	$240	15	05-16 15:44
Ornate-Louse-Racing 0x3fb7…6b52	Down	+519	$511	$511	2	05-16 15:45
Limping-Freedom 0x9003…fa6e	Up	+511	$351	$351	11	05-16 15:37
Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e	Down	+500	$478	$478	5	05-16 15:44
French-Forestry 0xb62a…83ba	Up	+500	$275	$275	22	05-16 15:44
Swift-Census 0xbadb…31a7	Down	+500	$155	$155	32	05-16 15:43
Famous-Outrigger 0x5fa1…0c16	Up	+500	$296	$358	37	05-16 15:44
Limping-Freedom 0x9003…fa6e	Down	+497	$299	$299	21	05-16 15:44
Diligent-Calm 0x804d…632f	Up	+494	$341	$341	2	05-16 15:37
Hearty-Project-Bargain 0xd32c…f93a	Down	+488	$151	$151	18	05-16 15:44
(anonymous) 0x15c5…47f6	Up	+477	$311	$311	1	05-16 15:40
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	Down	+472	$183	$183	26	05-16 15:41
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Down	+472	$281	$281	63	05-16 15:43
Discrete-Raffle 0xbe05…c67c	Up	+461	$300	$300	1	05-16 15:38
(anonymous) 0x93b1…7c90	Down	+440	$174	$174	3	05-16 15:37
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	Down	+433	$284	$284	36	05-16 15:44
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Down	+422	$155	$155	12	05-16 15:40