Little-Bog-Fanlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-29 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 38% -$6

Other

18% 20% +$8

Politics

12% 20% -$2

Sports

7% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$7	110	0	+110	Down	-$7	05-16 12:59
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	1	$5	7	0	+7	Natus Vincere	+$2	05-16 17:58
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-16 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 15:45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	18	0	+18	No	-$3	06-11 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-16 13:50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	05-30 13:07
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?	1	$2	13	0	+13	No	-$2	06-14 10:13
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	05-16 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$2	18	0	+18	Up	$0	05-16 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$2	18	0	+18	Up	-$1	05-16 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	-$1	05-16 14:04
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 16:49
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	2	$1	3	3	+0	No	-$1	05-16 17:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-24 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-16 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-16 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	-$1	05-16 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-16 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:25 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	06-17 13:26
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-16 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-16 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-16 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:30 UTC	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	06-17 13:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	05-16 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:50 UTC	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	+$5	07-29 11:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:55 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	06-10 13:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	-$1	05-16 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 12:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x127c94…
07-29 11:56:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcbbdac…
07-29 11:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x96bcf8…
06-17 13:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x82b61f…
06-17 13:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2e4925…
06-17 13:22:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbac651…
06-17 13:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x723cdc…
06-17 13:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x01d41c…
06-17 13:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc7b3a4…
06-16 14:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x07fdb6…
06-16 14:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc9bd8…
06-14 10:15:57	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe8cfa9…
06-14 10:13:39	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe1b766…
06-11 13:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x32f6ae…
06-11 13:43:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x98c3c2…
06-11 13:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f95fe…
06-11 13:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb6f579…
06-11 13:33:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x098231…
06-11 13:26:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7be03a…
06-10 13:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x505122…
06-09 13:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf7c32e…
06-09 13:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x94f5be…
06-09 12:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce016d…
05-30 13:08:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe9ea09…
05-30 13:07:48	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0dc252…
05-30 13:05:56	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc1bd88…
05-24 12:10:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x1bc8b4…
05-17 21:55:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf3e6f6…
05-17 16:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x88b5fd…
05-16 19:52:58	Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x06f7d0…
05-16 19:35:37	Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8d8626…
05-16 19:10:46	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbe74d2…
05-16 18:00:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9df6db…
05-16 17:59:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xab762b…
05-16 17:59:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9109ef…
05-16 17:58:42	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa650b2…
05-16 17:08:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x58b067…
05-16 17:06:52	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xeecb82…
05-16 16:49:39	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x350aad…
05-16 16:49:03	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xa41f0c…
05-16 16:06:59	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe53373…
05-16 16:03:22	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1c27f9…
05-16 15:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd2361a…
05-16 15:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x110bbd…
05-16 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x35f16a…
05-16 15:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x319f64…
05-16 15:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0eec31…
05-16 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa69678…
05-16 15:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xca8e53…
05-16 14:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf0e4a4…
05-16 14:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x40fe98…
05-16 14:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9497b2…
05-16 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0b8847…
05-16 14:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb90b1a…
05-16 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1da6c8…
05-16 14:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe074dd…
05-16 14:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0921fa…
05-16 14:01:24	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x54e0c0…
05-16 13:58:57	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4b3cdf…
05-16 13:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe79a3f…
05-16 13:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8aeb9b…
05-16 13:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x45868b…
05-16 13:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x304e30…
05-16 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6de2db…
05-16 13:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04af52…
05-16 13:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x79a65c…
05-16 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x53f326…
05-16 13:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4fae16…
05-16 12:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f9bee…
05-16 12:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x34c95c…
05-16 12:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x97d86d…