Pesky-Item — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

13.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,605

lifetime

Volume

$91.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-08 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-0

Crypto

45% 0% $-10

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% 25% $-7

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 310 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+67	$20	16¢	$11	$-9	05-31 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea sas int 2026 02 08 int	7	$825	544	544	+0	open	—	02-08 19:05
lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	7	$740	512	512	+0	open	—	02-08 21:48
uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	9	$640	461	461	+0	open	—	03-26 21:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	6	$604	380	377	+3	open	—	04-11 16:30
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	4	$422	250	250	+0	open	—	02-11 20:10
btc updown 5m 1776288000	11	$400	391	375	+17	open	—	04-15 21:24
btc updown 5m 1774302600	3	$393	442	439	+3	open	—	03-23 21:54
btc updown 15m 1770820200	4	$390	302	297	+5	open	—	02-11 14:38
btc updown 5m 1771186200	4	$381	266	262	+4	open	—	02-15 20:14
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	5	$372	269	269	+0	open	—	03-29 20:46
epl ast bri 2026 02 11 ast	6	$361	260	260	+0	open	—	02-11 21:24
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	12	$334	261	257	+4	open	—	04-19 17:23
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?	5	$333	257	253	+4	open	—	04-25 19:00
sea rom cag 2026 02 09 rom	4	$323	250	188	+62	open	—	02-09 20:33
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	5	$317	217	217	+0	open	—	03-18 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$315	282	282	+0	open	—	04-23 08:12
epl sun liv 2026 02 11 liv	5	$308	217	217	+0	open	—	02-11 22:08
por scb por 2026 03 22 por	5	$307	244	244	+0	open	—	03-22 22:21
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	6	$301	246	246	+0	open	—	06-01 05:33
epl wol ars 2026 02 18 ars	2	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	02-11 14:17
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	2	$298	205	205	+0	open	—	02-16 15:36
nba bkn por 2026 03 23 total 218pt5	2	$296	196	196	+0	open	—	03-24 05:52
btc updown 5m 1776289200	4	$296	217	210	+7	open	—	04-15 21:42
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nld	7	$291	246	205	+41	open	—	03-27 21:27
atp cerundo medvede 2026 03 23	8	$289	202	202	+0	open	—	03-23 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$285	250	241	+9	open	—	04-27 21:23
fl1 ren psg 2026 02 13 psg	4	$282	205	205	+0	open	—	02-12 20:12
sea mil tor 2026 03 21 mil	4	$278	201	183	+18	open	—	03-21 18:30
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	4	$275	295	295	+0	open	—	04-16 06:18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	3	$269	200	197	+3	open	—	04-27 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:26:06	Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Netherlands	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x243afe…
06-07 04:40:45	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x3617a1…
06-07 04:40:01	Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6f96ad…
06-03 20:18:15	Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	27	83¢	$23	0x3417e0…
06-02 18:47:40	Spread: Italy (-2.5)	Italy	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0x367e84…
06-02 18:47:28	Spread: Italy (-1.5)	Italy	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x718d19…
06-02 18:47:16	Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xd8170d…
06-02 18:46:51	Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Netherlands	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0x05b12e…
06-02 18:46:41	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x4882bc…
06-01 18:42:43	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0xc8c4b6…
06-01 18:01:45	Spread: Norway (-2.5)	Norway	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x89a8d5…
06-01 17:24:46	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x568edc…
06-01 17:24:25	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7c8859…
06-01 17:24:07	Spread: Norway (-2.5)	Norway	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x57cc5d…
06-01 17:17:09	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xb3d3d4…
06-01 17:17:05	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x5d8499…
06-01 16:49:26	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x41d8ba…
06-01 16:48:55	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	25	87¢	$21	0x607561…
06-01 11:30:46	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x2dec41…
06-01 11:29:48	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa438c7…
06-01 11:20:25	Spread: Austria (-2.5)	Austria	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xaa1208…
06-01 11:20:12	Spread: Austria (-1.5)	Austria	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0xcd3bc5…
06-01 05:33:20	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xefbfb1…
06-01 05:33:14	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x4c53af…
06-01 05:33:11	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xc83b20…
05-31 21:09:41	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x5589b8…
05-31 19:41:20	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x2b21ba…
05-31 19:41:01	Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5	Over	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xdfc620…
05-31 19:36:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x13418e…
05-31 19:35:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x31b31c…
05-31 19:23:03	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xeef5e5…
05-31 19:17:51	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	SELL	41	47¢	$19	0xca51eb…
05-31 19:17:28	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xb426e9…
05-31 19:16:24	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Finland	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xd13d4e…
05-31 19:08:43	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0x2bafab…
05-31 18:29:05	United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1f971c…
05-31 18:28:53	United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd3d994…
05-31 18:28:46	United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xafc261…
05-31 18:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x749e2c…
05-31 18:05:22	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0xda27f9…
05-31 18:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf728a5…
05-31 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4e6220…
05-31 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xb07e98…
05-31 17:57:21	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Finland	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc6b065…
05-31 17:56:55	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x572a38…
05-31 17:56:46	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xbffc51…
05-31 17:56:34	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0fdd14…
05-31 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc747a6…
05-31 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x077fdf…
05-31 17:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd7ddaf…
05-31 17:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xada171…
05-31 17:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x940cbe…
05-31 17:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2e0e44…
05-31 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x96905f…
05-31 17:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x71348e…
05-31 17:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x2afe58…
05-31 17:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xe678dc…
05-31 17:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2cd38a…
05-31 17:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x81dab6…
05-31 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x5085d9…
05-31 17:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	23	84¢	$20	0x8f8097…
05-31 17:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0x015a27…
05-31 17:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x338f8d…
05-31 17:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7f4f70…
05-31 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8df1c7…
05-31 17:27:57	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	SELL	82	48¢	$39	0xb77c0f…
05-31 16:31:17	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x9bcfc9…
05-31 16:31:12	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0xf7e7fd…
05-31 16:31:01	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x93f6e8…
05-31 16:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa80601…
05-31 16:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x80d554…
05-31 14:51:41	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0ea17f…
05-31 14:44:07	Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)	Jong	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x354cd4…
05-31 13:31:00	Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x7c575d…
05-31 13:30:15	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Singapore	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfe679f…
05-31 12:43:56	Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2e6b5d…
05-31 12:42:21	Jong vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc9fc9d…
05-31 12:41:22	Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)	Jong	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xc9bb47…
05-31 12:41:11	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xadecca…
05-31 12:38:56	Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xe91d47…
05-31 12:38:30	Spread: Singapore (-2.5)	Singapore	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x4613ce…
05-31 06:53:28	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xd64394…
05-30 19:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc5aa35…
05-30 19:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5dc29c…
05-30 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5874f0…
05-30 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdd3a93…
05-30 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc73be6…
05-30 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa51d6c…
05-30 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x890d5f…
05-30 19:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3a06c1…
05-30 18:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd417e0…
05-30 17:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x19fcac…
05-30 17:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x11495c…
05-30 17:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xab88d0…
05-30 17:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x672aae…
05-30 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc9f8ff…
05-30 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3b8aa0…
05-30 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x02ebee…
05-30 16:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2f9c34…
05-30 16:31:16	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0xab4530…