Intentional-Sepal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$575

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

44,304

Trades

110,455

lifetime

Volume

$1.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$2.91K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 92% +$16,840

Other

6% 93% -$149

Politics

1% 100% +$432

Sports

0% 56% +$12

Pop-Culture

0% 12% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 2370 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	+2,060	$1,478	99¢	$2.0K	+$567	10-27 00:26
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+1,000	$720	77¢	$770	+$49	10-13 17:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+100	$83	90¢	$90	+$8	10-25 16:26
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	+100	$52	3¢	$3	-$49	10-26 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:15 UTC	36	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$40	04-15 11:20
Trump renames AI by December 31?	4	$3.7K	3,800	0	+3,800	Yes	+$53	09-29 19:15
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	42	$3.1K	3,105	1,045	+2,060	open	—	10-27 00:26
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	38	$2.9K	2,947	0	+2,947	Yes	+$33	04-14 04:32
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	3	$2.6K	2,600	0	+2,600	open	—	10-26 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:20 UTC	30	$2.5K	2,643	0	+2,643	Up	+$126	04-13 09:24
Trump renames AI by September 30?	9	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Yes	+$42	09-29 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:15 UTC	71	$2.4K	1,300	1,298	+2	Up	+$77	04-24 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:15 UTC	90	$2.3K	3,030	967	+2,062	Down	-$1,428	04-13 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:35 UTC	68	$1.7K	1,155	998	+157	Down	+$149	04-11 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:20 UTC	66	$1.7K	1,050	1,000	+50	Up	+$22	04-09 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:15 UTC	57	$1.7K	1,000	993	+7	Down	+$74	04-09 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:45 UTC	16	$1.6K	1,240	500	+740	Up	+$56	04-23 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:30 UTC	6	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$21	04-13 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:55 UTC	6	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	+$30	04-06 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:55 UTC	27	$1.5K	1,040	995	+45	Down	+$155	04-11 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 06:25 UTC	54	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$50	04-13 06:29
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$40	09-22 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:45 UTC	29	$1.4K	1,128	500	+628	Down	-$25	04-12 04:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	7	$1.3K	1,810	30	+1,780	No	+$547	09-21 16:11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$1.3K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$170	10-24 13:11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	15	$1.2K	1,653	550	+1,103	TheMongolz	+$94	05-21 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:35 UTC	37	$1.2K	1,198	569	+629	Down	+$64	04-12 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	23	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Down	-$8	05-23 07:09
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	26	$1.2K	774	774	+0	Yes	+$114	02-01 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:30 UTC	14	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$860	04-10 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:55 UTC	34	$1.1K	648	647	+0	Down	+$65	04-12 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 06:30 UTC	39	$1.1K	928	693	+235	Down	+$14	04-23 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:30 UTC	18	$1.0K	700	694	+6	Up	+$215	04-24 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	58	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Up	+$36	05-20 05:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:26:12	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x13634c…
10-27 00:26:02	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xd6642b…
10-27 00:26:02	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x4edce4…
10-27 00:26:02	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x09cead…
10-27 00:26:00	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf63068…
10-26 16:01:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe9347c…
10-26 15:39:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0xf725ab…
10-26 15:39:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x97ee8d…
10-26 14:26:14	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x26f850…
10-26 13:10:00	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x924028…
10-26 13:09:32	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0x60912a…
10-26 13:08:41	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5ef2de…
10-26 10:53:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x338147…
10-26 10:48:38	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x460807…
10-26 10:48:36	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7cc81c…
10-26 10:48:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x32a0f1…
10-26 10:48:32	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb55b7…
10-26 10:48:32	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5cea94…
10-26 10:43:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5131df…
10-26 10:43:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x49bc2e…
10-26 10:43:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c6661…
10-26 10:43:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02a942…
10-26 10:39:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xff93c0…
10-26 10:39:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb63a27…
10-26 10:39:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xed00f0…
10-26 10:39:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x24d6a8…
10-26 10:38:53	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x607d02…
10-26 10:29:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc9c7b1…
10-26 10:29:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa9319e…
10-26 10:29:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x803a2f…
10-26 10:28:57	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe9916e…
10-26 10:28:57	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xd35aaa…
10-26 10:28:56	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa30547…
10-26 10:28:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x78eab4…
10-26 10:28:32	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xef8bc8…
10-26 10:23:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x402ea6…
10-26 10:18:38	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbff50b…
10-26 10:18:36	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc17134…
10-26 10:18:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe35c2b…
10-26 10:18:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0c3eb…
10-26 10:13:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x991abf…
10-26 10:13:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x295a19…
10-26 10:13:35	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcc7cef…
10-26 10:08:47	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x41fd0f…
10-26 10:08:44	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe1205a…
10-26 10:08:41	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc92913…
10-26 10:08:41	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4e885a…
10-26 10:03:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xdaea7c…
10-26 10:03:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x809c27…
10-26 10:03:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf9b80f…
10-26 10:03:32	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcbe561…
10-26 09:59:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5f6ff8…
10-26 09:59:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7795b6…
10-26 09:58:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0a5e2b…
10-26 09:58:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x1dd631…
10-26 09:54:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9f606f…
10-26 09:54:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf24c43…
10-26 09:54:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5719d1…
10-26 09:54:35	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd3d6c1…
10-26 09:54:33	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xae4e1a…
10-26 09:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4872fe…
10-26 09:49:26	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf33f16…
10-26 09:49:26	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x40697f…
10-26 09:49:14	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x441bb1…
10-26 09:48:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6dc7bb…
10-26 09:43:53	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x085ed6…
10-26 09:43:50	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x323f60…
10-26 09:43:48	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdf10ce…
10-26 09:43:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x43035c…
10-26 09:43:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x410a95…
10-26 09:39:21	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeab96b…
10-26 09:39:21	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe796d3…
10-26 09:38:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x03c7bb…
10-26 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x553897…
10-26 09:33:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xac1ebc…
10-26 09:33:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb5398e…
10-26 09:33:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8b283f…
10-26 09:33:36	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xec5bc6…
10-26 09:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1edbd2…
10-26 09:24:35	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x772625…
10-26 09:24:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdca60d…
10-26 09:23:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x3d1bbc…
10-26 09:23:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x87e909…
10-26 09:23:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf16539…
10-26 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6d3b8d…
10-26 09:18:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9004b6…
10-26 09:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc5ec7e…
10-26 09:08:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfe872b…
10-26 09:08:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7c8197…
10-26 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x13405f…
10-26 09:08:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe4301b…
10-26 08:53:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2a2c2c…
10-26 08:43:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x50ee09…
10-26 08:33:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xce5cc3…
10-26 08:33:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x33e99d…
10-26 08:33:36	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x808411…
10-26 08:29:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6b8c8c…
10-26 08:23:56	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe37fe3…
10-26 07:54:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x538966…
10-26 07:53:42	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x892e88…