Silent-Median — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

11,458

Trades

49,408

lifetime

Volume

$1.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$47

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 295 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 50% +$20,750

Other

3% 50% -$164

Sports

0% 17% +$115

Politics

0% 43% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	+20	$10	98¢	$20	+$10	10-27 11:58
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+20	$18	92¢	$18	+$0	10-27 09:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+20	$5	26¢	$5	$0	10-26 12:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$4	34¢	$3	$0	10-26 18:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 25 2pm et	255	$15.1K	14,900	14,900	+0	Down	+$3,996	02-25 19:38
lol jdg tt 2026 08 20	3	$9.0K	9,200	0	+9,200	JD Gaming	+$193	08-20 11:36
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	13	$8.9K	9,000	0	+9,000	Team Yandex	+$90	08-20 12:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 11:00 UTC	43	$6.0K	4,379	4,346	+33	Up	+$1,283	01-16 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 16:05 UTC	2	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$56	04-11 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$4.5K	4,484	40	+4,444	Up	+$63	05-06 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:15 UTC	9	$4.3K	4,440	0	+4,440	Down	-$25	04-22 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 02:05 UTC	62	$4.2K	4,200	0	+4,200	Up	+$42	02-21 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC	7	$4.1K	4,500	0	+4,500	Down	-$18	02-21 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 21:10 UTC	2	$4.1K	4,100	0	+4,100	Down	+$41	02-22 21:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:00 UTC	129	$4.0K	435	4,235	-3,800	Up	-$219	01-06 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:20 UTC	49	$4.0K	4,450	0	+4,450	Down	+$0	02-19 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:20 UTC	104	$3.9K	3,909	197	+3,712	Up	+$63	04-05 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:50 UTC	19	$3.6K	3,913	0	+3,913	Up	+$6	02-20 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:55 UTC	4	$3.5K	3,600	0	+3,600	Up	+$79	04-04 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:20 UTC	1	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Up	+$35	02-21 20:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 19:00 UTC	14	$3.3K	3,573	0	+3,573	Down	-$199	01-15 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?	22	$3.2K	11,719	0	+11,719	Down	+$2,473	09-01 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 21:25 UTC	5	$3.2K	3,395	0	+3,395	Down	+$2	02-21 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 09:10 UTC	80	$3.1K	3,307	0	+3,307	Up	-$33	04-04 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC	42	$3.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	Up	+$11	02-21 21:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 14:30 UTC	41	$3.1K	4,791	780	+4,011	Down	-$2,075	01-17 14:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC	29	$3.1K	3,200	0	+3,200	Up	+$21	02-21 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 12:30 UTC	78	$3.1K	3,191	3,168	+23	Down	+$765	01-16 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC	45	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	Down	+$31	02-21 23:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:35 UTC	2	$3.1K	3,200	0	+3,200	Up	+$31	02-21 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 21:15 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,010	0	+3,010	Up	+$28	04-10 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 21:05 UTC	1	$3.0K	3,020	0	+3,020	Up	+$52	02-21 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 20:45 UTC	31	$3.0K	3,019	0	+3,019	Down	+$1	01-15 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 10:45 UTC	8	$2.9K	5,171	0	+5,171	Down	-$2,902	01-16 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb986a8…
10-27 11:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2c3ae4…
10-27 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2c8d35…
10-27 11:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xdb7ada…
10-27 11:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x2c2ca4…
10-27 11:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd2b9c4…
10-27 11:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x3c0b39…
10-27 10:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xb43c1a…
10-27 10:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x4be601…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xfdb90e…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0xfc21d7…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x9bceb8…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0x927859…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0x492019…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x3637c9…
10-27 10:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2fec7c…
10-27 10:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,151	52¢	$600	0x79afc4…
10-27 10:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xe3474d…
10-27 10:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x79102f…
10-27 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x2b9406…
10-27 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x2ac817…
10-27 10:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	365	52¢	$190	0x9e0191…
10-27 10:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xaa7167…
10-27 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xcbe309…
10-27 10:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe3b5a6…
10-27 10:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd0d275…
10-27 10:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x8443b5…
10-27 10:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x247549…
10-27 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xf15ee8…
10-27 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5b0071…
10-27 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x388715…
10-27 10:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x1267d4…
10-27 10:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x323df3…
10-27 10:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb17f58…
10-27 10:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x184815…
10-27 10:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x78a9e6…
10-27 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1cbe7d…
10-27 10:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcff5fa…
10-27 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xf24829…
10-27 09:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x400d08…
10-27 09:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfa45ca…
10-27 09:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6ac519…
10-27 09:53:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc6eabc…
10-27 09:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x55e9fc…
10-27 09:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf09705…
10-27 09:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x0057d5…
10-27 09:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3b25df…
10-27 09:26:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c22f4…
10-27 09:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x338db3…
10-27 09:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x13d7a1…
10-27 09:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6ccbae…
10-27 09:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7416f8…
10-27 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x10af9a…
10-27 09:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x2350ff…
10-27 09:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9187f1…
10-27 08:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf64908…
10-27 08:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb1309a…
10-27 08:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x051fb0…
10-27 08:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xafeb08…
10-27 08:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c0e71…
10-27 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd708ca…
10-27 08:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x89d141…
10-27 08:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4749bd…
10-27 08:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3c5870…
10-27 08:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x20cf6c…
10-27 00:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb51e45…
10-26 23:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x4eed31…
10-26 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x068de9…
10-26 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3bde22…
10-26 23:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x010419…
10-26 23:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7ffa01…
10-26 22:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb16cb2…
10-26 22:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x055884…
10-26 22:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc7c743…
10-26 22:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x470a12…
10-26 22:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf230e0…
10-26 22:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x44ee37…
10-26 22:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xe6cc75…
10-26 22:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ca99b…
10-26 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4cadd3…
10-26 22:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x96789c…
10-26 21:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x919961…
10-26 21:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x20e9ee…
10-26 21:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x658f94…
10-26 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x360a0d…
10-26 21:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc870bc…
10-26 21:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xf6ebf9…
10-26 21:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xd4c97b…
10-26 21:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe7dd25…
10-26 21:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2ff137…
10-26 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xd43692…
10-26 21:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xb2b929…
10-26 21:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe2b2c7…
10-26 21:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x67c7f3…
10-26 21:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x9d5e8a…
10-26 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xa982c2…
10-26 21:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x1deb63…
10-26 21:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xef8bb5…
10-26 21:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf530d0…
10-26 21:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8358e0…