Reasonable-Doughnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

1,316

Trades

4,230

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-22 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% -$295

Other

3% 35% -$13

Politics

0% 25% -$22

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+500	$5	1¢	$5	$0	05-14 04:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	5	$203	368	157	+211	Down	-$57	06-27 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:45 UTC	8	$150	106	106	+0	Down	+$6	06-28 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:10 UTC	8	$135	113	113	+0	Up	-$9	07-09 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 17:50 UTC	6	$119	85	84	+0	Up	+$11	07-09 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 12:45 UTC	6	$113	69	69	+0	Up	+$5	06-28 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 12:25 UTC	6	$110	75	75	+0	Up	+$2	06-28 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:15 UTC	6	$110	81	81	+0	Up	+$2	06-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 17:45 UTC	6	$108	78	78	+0	Up	$0	07-10 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:40 UTC	6	$108	82	82	+0	Up	$0	07-09 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:35 UTC	4	$106	115	115	+0	Up	-$34	06-27 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 09:15 UTC	6	$104	77	77	+0	Down	-$4	06-28 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:50 UTC	8	$102	73	73	+0	Up	-$8	07-09 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 12:30 UTC	7	$102	83	60	+23	Up	-$10	06-28 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	18	$96	64	64	+0	Down	+$6	05-20 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:15 UTC	5	$94	86	61	+25	Up	-$14	07-09 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:05 UTC	9	$92	97	97	+0	Up	-$32	07-10 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:45 UTC	6	$90	66	66	+0	Up	+$6	07-09 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:10 UTC	9	$88	138	96	+42	Down	-$34	07-10 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:00 UTC	6	$87	55	55	+0	Up	+$3	07-09 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:10 UTC	6	$87	92	92	+0	Up	-$21	07-01 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	12	$86	69	69	+0	Down	+$6	05-16 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:55 UTC	5	$85	77	51	+26	Down	-$23	07-09 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:35 UTC	6	$82	54	54	+0	Down	+$6	07-08 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:15 UTC	6	$81	53	53	+0	Up	-$4	07-01 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:25 UTC	6	$80	56	56	+0	Down	+$2	07-06 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:35 UTC	4	$79	53	53	+0	Up	+$7	07-09 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:20 UTC	4	$78	46	46	+0	Up	+$6	07-09 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:20 UTC	4	$78	52	52	+0	Down	+$6	07-01 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	6	$78	54	54	+0	Down	+$2	07-09 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:30 UTC	4	$77	59	59	+0	Down	+$5	07-09 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 19:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x77d283…
10-22 19:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xda8749…
10-22 19:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8f5e7c…
10-22 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x85f69d…
10-22 19:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdc6ebf…
10-22 19:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1e5ef8…
10-21 13:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x84772f…
10-21 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa5f945…
10-21 13:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x20b9a0…
10-21 13:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x03c74c…
10-21 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a8842…
10-21 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbdbe02…
10-21 12:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab9a78…
10-21 12:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xee8fa4…
10-21 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x922860…
10-21 12:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8a7950…
10-21 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x32149b…
10-21 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9da023…
10-20 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7d4948…
10-20 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x86c6b7…
10-20 15:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x24e851…
10-20 15:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1e57b9…
10-20 15:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe334c8…
10-20 15:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9ac0f6…
10-20 15:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6ebea6…
10-20 08:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x33703a…
10-20 08:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1e985c…
10-20 08:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc97b1d…
10-20 08:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x35abe5…
10-20 08:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xbbad6b…
10-20 08:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x114269…
10-20 08:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x40b829…
10-20 08:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4d70c1…
10-19 23:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x4b197c…
10-19 23:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6ff088…
10-19 20:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6cccd3…
10-19 20:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf30f18…
10-19 19:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x580396…
10-19 19:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x916e2e…
10-19 19:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xaf5f03…
10-19 19:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x19c43c…
10-19 19:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x90ff48…
10-19 19:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf3a515…
10-19 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xbd677e…
10-19 19:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfe1896…
10-19 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0b4e6e…
10-19 19:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xa873b2…
10-19 19:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaaa5db…
10-19 19:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x424424…
10-19 19:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa5bac0…
10-19 19:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x26eb76…
10-17 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x32bba7…
10-17 19:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x3203ba…
10-17 19:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7a280e…
10-17 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x71d8bb…
10-17 19:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd2e70d…
10-17 19:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x51f05f…
10-17 19:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x03200b…
10-17 19:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa18328…
10-17 19:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x023615…
10-17 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf5cb7c…
10-17 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xee88d9…
10-17 19:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x7e0443…
10-17 19:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x10fe52…
10-17 19:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x900df9…
10-17 19:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5d3188…
10-17 19:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x725379…
10-17 19:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x03bb13…
10-17 19:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5b826c…
10-17 19:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5d349f…
10-17 19:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb71527…
10-17 19:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb49499…
10-16 18:04:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c4a60…
10-16 18:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbf5788…
10-16 17:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2ff3b…
10-16 17:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x20c9e2…
10-16 17:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9b60c6…
10-16 17:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x61c2c9…
10-16 17:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe04a11…
10-16 17:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1dc5d7…
10-16 17:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1a5d50…
10-16 17:26:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2077d1…
10-16 17:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x899d0d…
10-16 17:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6fb38e…
10-11 19:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x80819a…
10-07 20:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2410db…
10-07 20:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa89404…
10-07 20:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7eb769…
10-07 20:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x408669…
10-07 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0fa0ff…
10-07 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x76ae4f…
10-07 20:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x95259c…
10-07 20:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x952a58…
10-07 20:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xefbc76…
10-07 20:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6347c4…
10-07 20:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe51e3f…
10-07 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40a349…
10-07 20:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb22098…
10-07 19:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8d1b69…
10-07 19:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa8fb48…